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PRECIOUS-Gold supported by physical buying, EU summit eyed

Thu Dec 16, 2010 2:28am EST

 * Bargain-hunting seen on physical market
 * Gold strength to continue into next year
 * Gold seeks direction - technicals [ID:nL3E6NG015]
 * Coming up: U.S. initial jobless claims; 1330 GMT

 (Updates prices)	
 By Rujun Shen	
 SINGAPORE, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Spot gold edged up on 
Thursday as physical buying lent support amid a steady dollar 
after upbeat U.S. data, while investors looked towards a 
European Union summit that is expected to find solutions for 
the region's debt crisis for trading cues.	
 U.S. industrial production rose at its fastest pace in 
four months in November, implying a self-sustaining recovery 
is now entrenched, but a mild gain in consumer prices 
indicated still abundant slack in the economy. [ID:nN15122981]	
 Spot gold edged up 0.2 percent at $1,383.09 an 
ounce by 0656 GMT, after declining in the previous session on 
the dollar rally following Moody's move to put Spain on review 
for a possible downgrade.	
 U.S. gold futures edged down 0.2 percent to 
$1,383.9. 	
 "So long as the U.S. doesn't raise interest rates, gold 
will remain strong, and people are looking at $1,500 or even 
$1,600 price levels for next year," said a Hong Kong-based 
dealer. 	
 "China has been tightening, but it would be reluctant to 
raise interest rates rapidly, fearing the inflow of hot money."	
 Gold was expected to trade in the range of $1,370 to 
$1,420 in the last few weeks of the year, he added.	
 The technical signals for spot gold are conflicting as 
chances are even for a rise as well as a fall from the current 
level, according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. 	
 For a 24-hour gold technical outlook:  	
 here	
 Bargain hunting was seen on physical market in Asia, but 
scrap selling has subsided since prices eased from record high 
levels hit last week, dealers said.	
 In the first ten months of the year, the gold flow from 
Hong Kong, a bullion trade hub, to the mainland China more 
than doubled from a year earlier, showing robust demand from 
China. [ID:nL3E6NG04R]	
 For a graphic on the gold flow from Hong Kong to China, as 
well as China's gold output, click:	
 link.reuters.com/wap22r	
 Investors are watching the European Union leaders start a 
two-day summit on Thursday, hoping to find a solution to the 
region's sovereign debt crisis. [ID:nLDE6BE29I]	
 The euro, which came under pressure on Wednesday, remained 
weak and could decline further, as the EU summit was seen 
unlikely to come up with a cure. The dollar was steady against 
a basket of currencies. 
 With the euro zone's debt crisis lingering and the outlook 
for U.S. economy still lukewarm, gold prices are seen to be 
well-supported into the first quarter. But the momentum, which 
has pushed prices up 26 percent so far this year, could ease 
after that.	
 "After averaging around the $1,375 per ounce level in the 
March quarter 2011, we expect the gold price to gradually ease 
as the global recovery looks better entrenched and investor 
jitters abate," said a research report by National Australia 
Bank.	
 "Even so, the gold price should hold up quite well next 
year with some ongoing investment demand and a further 
recovery in jewellery consumption being supportive factors."	
 Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest 
gold-backed exchange-traded fund, edged down less than one 
tonne to 1,286.187 tonnes, its lowest since late November. 
 
 	
  Precious metals prices at 0656 GMT                                
 Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg  Turnover   
  Spot Gold        1383.09    2.64   +0.19     26.23                
  Spot Silver        29.06    0.27   +0.94     72.67                
  Spot Platinum    1692.74   -2.76   -0.16     15.39                
  Spot Palladium    747.72    1.00   +0.13     84.39                
  TOCOM Gold       3756.00    3.00   +0.08     15.25       40757    
  TOCOM Platinum   4641.00   13.00   +0.28      5.93        8435    
  TOCOM Silver       79.00    0.00   +0.00     52.80        2056    
  TOCOM Palladium  2041.00   -1.00   -0.05     75.19         324    
  Euro/Dollar       1.3230                                          
  Dollar/Yen         84.24                                          
                                                                 
  TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce.         
	
 (Editing by Himani Sarkar)	
 
  
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