UPDATE 5-Merck clot drug seen unfit for stroke, shares fall

Thu Jan 13, 2011 5:41pm EST

* Top experimental drug found unfit for stroke patients

* Vorapaxar acquired in Merck's buy of Schering-Plough

* Dashed drug hopes pose challenge to new CEO

* Merck shares drop 6.6 pct (Adds Merck drag on Dow, drug sales potential, stroke statistics)

By Ransdell Pierson

NEW YORK, Jan 13 (Reuters) - One of Merck & Co's (MRK.N) most important experimental drugs, blood clot preventer Vorapaxar, has been deemed inappropriate for patients who have suffered a stroke, dashing investor hopes and erasing nearly $8 billion from its market value.

Vorapaxar, meant to prevent heart attacks and strokes or their recurrence, was considered a crown jewel in Merck's $41 billion acquisition in late 2009 of Schering-Plough Corp and deemed capable of generating annual sales of more than $3 billion.

"The market is wiping it out," Deutsche Bank analyst Barbara Ryan said of Merck's 6.6 percent stock decline on the news, suggesting Wall Street considers the drug dead.

Merck's swoon dragged down the Dow Jones industrial average and reminded investors about the riskiness of drug development.

The company said on Thursday it stopped giving the drug to some patients in two late-stage trials at the recommendation of a Data and Safety Monitoring board. Such boards often require changes to trials, or halt them, when safety issues arise, or when a drug shows clear effectiveness or lack of effectiveness.

The setback for the high-profile medicine presents an early challenge for Kenneth Frazier, a longtime Merck executive who just days ago replaced Richard Clark as chief executive.

Frazier has been counting on revenue from Vorapaxar and other Schering-Plough drugs to offset plunging sales of Merck's $4.8 billion-a-year Singulair asthma treatment, when it faces U.S. generic competition next year. The drug now accounts for about 10 percent of annual company sales.

Sanford Bernstein analyst Tim Anderson said in a research note the possible safety risk and more-limited potential for Vorapaxar "will partly call into question the value of Merck buying Schering-Plough."

Pfizer Inc (PFE.N) and Sanofi-Aventis SA (SASY.PA) have been stunned in recent years by the failure of their own top experimental drugs, which they had hoped would cushion the loss of patent protection for their older medicines.

Pfizer drug torcetrapib, meant to raise good cholesterol and garner annual sales of more than $10 billion, was scrapped after a number of patients died in costly trials. Sanofi's obesity drug, Acomplia, was discontinued because of psychiatric side effects.

RISK TO STROKE PATIENTS UNCLEAR

One of the two late-stage Merck trials of Vorapaxar, called TRA-2P, includes patients that have had a prior heart attack, stroke or peripheral artery disease -- a condition in which blood vessels, typically in the lower part of the body, are clogged and disrupt circulation.

The other study, called TRACER, enrolled patients with acute coronary syndrome, meaning patients who have chest pain or a risk of heart attack.

"It does not appear to be appropriate in patients who have had a stroke," a researcher said in a separate statement issued by Duke University.

Merck declined to speculate whether excess bleeding had arisen as a side effect of the drug and therefore made it unwise to use among stroke patients, who are more prone to brain hemorrhage.

"It appears that excessive bleeding may have been the culprit," Anderson said in his note, adding the side effect is often seen with anti-clot medicines.

Stroke is the third leading cause of death in the United States, taking an estimated 145,000 lives each year, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Each year about 795,000 Americans suffer a stroke, 600,000 of which are first attacks.

Merck declined to speculate how many stroke patients, or those at risk of stroke, might have benefited from Vorapaxar.

The drug works by blocking receptors to a clotting protein called thrombin. Often called by its nickname, TRA (thrombin receptor antagonist), it has been deemed a potential blockbuster treatment for heart and stroke patients.

In the TRA-2P trial, Merck said 20,000 patients who have had a stroke or peripheral artery disease would continue to receive the drug, but it would be immediately discontinued in thousands of other patients who had a stroke prior to entry into the study or during the trial.

On a conference call with analysts, Merck said the respective chairmen of the two trials had not informed the drugmaker why Vorapaxar was inappropriate for stroke patients.

Merck said patients in the TRACER study will no longer receive the drug and the trial will be discontinued in a "timely and orderly fashion." It said the study had already lasted long enough to achieve its goal of comparing the incidence of heart attacks and other cardiovascular events among patients taking its drug and those taking placebos.

But Merck said some TRACER patients will not continue to receive Vorapaxar through a planned one-year follow-up period.

Merck officials declined to speculate when an analyst asked if the TRACER trial was being halted because of signs of overwhelming drug effectiveness.

Merck closed down $2.46 at $34.69 on the New York Stock Exchange. (Reporting by Ransdell Pierson and Lewis Krauskopf; editing by Gerald E. McCormick, Dave Zimmerman, Tim Dobbyn, Andre Grenon)

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