Housing pop is no bubble: Trulia CEO
At the Reuters Tech Summit, Trulia chief executive Pete Flint says private equity investors are starting to pull back from buying U.S. real estate, while overseas buyers are coming on strong once again. Video
Read
- Journalist who brought down U.S. general is killed in Los Angeles car crash
- Kanye West wins over critics with 'daring' new album 'Yeezus'
- Angelina Jolie stunt double sues News Corp over hacking
- Massachusetts police search NFL player's home in homicide probe: report
- UPDATE 2-United Dreamliner diverted due to possible oil filter problem
Reuters Photojournalism
Our day's top images, in-depth photo essays and offbeat slices of life. See the best of Reuters photography. See more | Photo caption
The Afghan Army
The many faces of the Afghan National Army, which has taken over security of the country from NATO. Slideshow
Sponsored Links
Netflix profit up, adds subscribers, shares jump
NEW YORK |
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Movie rental service Netflix reported better-than-expected quarterly profit, fueled by rapid subscriber growth that shows no sign of letting up this year.
Shares of Netflix rose 7 percent after its quarterly results, marking yet another big jump for a company whose stock has nearly quadrupled in the past year as it shakes up Hollywood's traditional business models.
Netflix's results on Wednesday showed -- once again -- that a company traditionally associated with delivering its customers movies and TV shows through the mail in bright red envelopes is having little trouble keeping up with changing media tastes.
Fourth-quarter profit soared past expectations and it added roughly 500,000 more subscribers than analysts on average had expected.
Netflix's total subscriber base now stands at 20 million, making it the third largest U.S. video subscription service behind only Comcast and DirecTV.
It said it should end the first quarter with between 21.9 million and 22.8 million domestic subscribers, adding that it expects the addition "to continue to grow in 2011." It also offered first-quarter profit and revenue forecasts ahead of analyst estimates.
Overall, it posted fourth-quarter earnings of $47.1 million, or 87 cents a share -- up from $30.9 million, or 56 cents a share, a year ago. Revenue rose to 34 percent to $596 million.
"We would say that our huge subscriber growth, fueled by the excitement of watching instantly, impressed even us," Chief Executive Officer Reed Hastings said in a letter to shareholders on Wednesday.
CONSTERNATION IS NATURAL
The Los Gatos, California-based company started in the United States as a mail-in DVD service, but Netflix now says the vast majority of its U.S. subscribers stream content on a range of devices. Recently, it launched a streaming-only subscription plan in the United States, a move that could eventually help it phase out the mail side of its business.
Justin Patterson, analyst at Morgan, Keegan & Co, said that the growth of Netflix's streaming business has resulted in a decline in the costs associated with winning new customers. Netflix spent about 10 percent less in the fourth quarter on marketing than a year ago.
"As their streaming business has grown it's become more about word of mouth and it costs a lot less to market this service because it's built into all these various consumer devices like video consoles and connected TVs," Patterson said.
But concerns abound about the rising cost of paying studios for content -- particularly content that can be streamed. At the moment, its streaming library is tiny compared to its DVD by-mail library.
Netflix already has pricey partnerships with EPIX pay TV, a deal estimated to be worth $1 billion, and NBC Universal.
It has a Starz deal due to expire in 2012 and analysts believe the pricing on that deal may have to at least double. The current deal is thought to be worth around $50 million.
Hastings said in his investor letter that Starz "is one of our most important deals" and that the two sides would be working together to "explore renewal options."
Netflix is also facing an increasingly crowded playing field, with heavy-duty competitors Google Inc and Amazon.com Inc trying to make headway in offering streaming TV shows and movies over the Web.
Its headstart has sounded alarm bells from some media executives, including Time Warner Chief Executive Jeffrey Bewkes. The media veteran has been a vocal critic of Netflix's business plan, at one point comparing the company to a 200 pound chimp rather than an 800 pound gorilla.
Hastings said in his letter on Wednesday that "some of the consternation about Netflix success is natural," comparing the reaction to that of the broadcast TV industry when an up-and-coming Fox started churning out big hits 20 years ago.
He added, however, that "the evidence is pretty clear that content that is also licensed to Netflix generates more money to its owners that content that is withheld from Netflix."
Netflix shares rose 9 percent to $199.50 after the earnings report. They ended at $183.03 in the Nasdaq session.
(Additional reporting by Yinka Adegoke; Editing by Gary Hill)
- Tweet this
- Link this
- Share this
- Digg this
- Reprints
Why no Guidance? Because breaking through 25 million subs at their current rate of churn is going to be very hard, and if they admit that it is going to kill the stock.
“Notably, Netflix is NOT providing full-year revenue or subscriber growth guidance, other than that it expects “domestic subscriber net additions to continue to grow in 2011.”
Netflix says it’s doing this because its business is “so dynamic.” Note that they never account for the FREE subscriber additions.
The insiders KNOW the PPS will most likely move dynamically DOWN once the smoke clears and the mirrors are cleaned.
BEWARE any time a company tells you what they are NOT going to report(DISCLOSE) in the future that which was a PRIMARY METRIC in the past. It is cause for SERIOUS concerns.
If it remained good you would have no problem reporting it. Obviously, gross subscriber increases (or decreases) must not look that great – since most are FREE giveaways that did NOT lead to a paid subscription…or why refuse to report going forward? Refusing to release cost of new subscribers is what the .com companies did before the bubble burst.
What does that say? Couple it with the suprising 10% drop in spend due to lower shipments it is very easy to figure out. The Wii and other methods of online delivery are growing (higher margins/lower gross) while hard property disk via mail is dropping. Soon people will see that the cost of online Netflix is far cheaper than 2-3 discs per month via mail and overall revenue will drop. The longterm concern for Netflix is this boost is caused by the sudden jump in net (due to more online delivery). You can not coninue to have those conversions and if you do the net will indeed increase, but your gross revenue will FALL.




Follow Reuters