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U.S. mortgage rates at 10-month high, proposals loom

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NEW YORK | Wed Feb 9, 2011 4:33pm EST

NEW YORK (Reuters) - A jump in U.S. mortgage rates to their highest level in 10 months has highlighted the fragility of the housing market that will make it difficult for Washington to remove its backstop.

Data on Wednesday showed fixed 30-year mortgage rates averaged 5.13 percent in the week ended February 4, up from 4.81 percent the prior week.

It was the highest rate since the week ended April 9, 2010, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.

The increase sapped demand for mortgages as the MBA's seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, fell 5.5 percent in the week.

Higher interest rates could prove problematic for a market where weak demand remains one of the biggest challenges.

The large number of houses for sale, as well as a continuing wave of foreclosures, has put pressure on prices and eroded homeowner equity, while weak job growth limits demand for loans.

The headwind poses a Catch-22 for the Obama administration, which is due to release proposals on Friday for reducing the government's involvement in the housing market.

Doing nothing would leave taxpayers exposed to potential further bailouts, but acting too aggressively could drive interest rates higher, strangle demand and freeze lending.

"Everyone agrees there needs to be sustained and meaningful change, it's just that the shock-and-awe treatment is probably not the best solution because it's going to have unintended consequences," said Cameron Findlay, chief economist at Lending Tree in Irvine, California.

Signs of strength in other areas of the economy have already pushed up interest rates as investors worry the Federal Reserve will be forced to hike its benchmark interest rate sooner than had been anticipated.

Last April, when rates saw a similar spike higher at the end of the Fed's first stimulus program, mortgage applications also dropped off, suggesting the market -- particularly for refinancing -- is highly reactive to rate increases.

Analysts say the main questions over the government's proposals will be to what degree it gets out and how quickly. The government backed more than 85 percent of new home lending last year and proposals will likely have a long timeframe.

Susan Wachter, professor of real estate and finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School, said any plan will need to see the private sector take on substantial capital risk to avoid another too-big-to-fail scenario where the government is still forced to bail out these institutions.

"In re-regulating the market, it needs to be transparent where standards are maintained and regulators and the private sector are accountable," said Wachter.

(Additional reporting by Julie Haviv; Editing by James Dalgleish)

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Comments (1)
breezinthru wrote:
I can’t quite accept that it matters whether or not the US government is legally on the hook for mortgages.

The US government was not legally on the hook for Wall Street’s corporate debt when the markets tumbled in 2008 yet the government (taxpayers) absorbed trillions in corporate debt anyway.

What really matters when the chips are down is whether or not the government intends to look out for corporate interests or the interests of taxpayers.

We know unequivocally from recent experience that in Washington, DC, the interests of citizens takes a back seat to the interests of corporations. If there are any legal obstacles to that arrangement, then Congress removes the obstacles.

In recent years, America has not done a much better job of being fair to its citizens than has Egypt’s government.

The American populace isn’t yet ready for an Egyptian-style rally on Pennsylvania Avenue, but Congress is still in session.

Feb 11, 2011 6:29am EST  --  Report as abuse
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