FACTBOX-Quotes on unrest in Libya

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Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:09pm EST

Feb 21 (Reuters) - Following are quotes on the unfolding situation in Libya:

* Denotes new or updated item.

JULIEN BARNES-DACEY, MIDDLE EAST ANALYST, CONTROL RISKS

"These really seem to be last, desperate acts. If you're bombing your own capital, it's really hard to see how you can survive. But I think Gaddafi is going to put up a fight. I think the rumours of him fleeing to Venezuela are going to prove wide of the mark. In Libya, more than any other country in the region, there is the prospect of serious violence and outright conflict."

"In terms of investment risk, it's obviously very serious. People are just pulling out. Even if Gaddafi survives, there will be huge worries and reputational issues about doing business in Libya. Libya would be much more isolated after this."

GEOFF PORTER, NORTH AFRICA ANALYST, CONTRIBUTOR TO POLITICAL RISK CONSULTANCY WIKISTRAT

"I think what's going to happen is going to be much more chaotic than what we saw in Egypt or Tunisia. Gaddafi and his sons don't have anywhere else to go. They're not going to go to Jeddah or a resort by the Red Sea. They are going to fight.

"There's a lot of weapons in the country and Gaddafi has armed tribes before that have supported him. The question is whether it is possible for the centre to hold if they have lost Benghazi and other areas of the country. What we could see something more along the lines of Lebanon's civil war -- a prolonged period of violence and bloodshed."

* SPOKESMAN FOR U.N. SECRETARY GENERAL BAN KI-MOON

"The secretary-general expressed deep concern at the escalating scale of violence and emphasised that it must stop immediately. He reiterated his call for respect for basic freedoms and human rights, including peaceful assembly and information," the spokesman said after Ban spoke to Gaddafi.

" ... The secretary-general underlined the need to ensure the protection of the civilian population under any circumstances. He urged all parties to exercise restraint and called upon the authorities to engage in broad-based dialogue to address legitimate concerns of the population."

* ITALIAN PRIME MINISTER SILVIO BERLUSCONI

"Prime Minister Berlusconi is alarmed over the escalation of clashes in Libya and for the unacceptable use of violence on the civilian population," the government said in a statement.

"The European Union and the international community must do everything to prevent the Libyan crisis from degenerating into a civil war with unpredictable consequences and favour a peaceful solution that protects citizens, the integrity and the stability of the country and the entire region."

* FRENCH PRESIDENT NICOLAS SARKOZY

"The president of the republic condemns the unacceptable use of force against Libyans who are only exercising their fundamental right to protest and express themselves freely," said the statement issued by the presidential palace.

"The president calls for an immediate end to the violence and a political solution to respond to the Libyan people's aspirations for liberty and democracy," it said.

* SWISS FOREIGN MINISTER MICHELINE CALMY-REY

"The situation is evolving by the hour. We have seen the images of live ammunition being fired on people. This is unacceptable. We call for a halt to violence and recognising people's right to express themselves," she told Swiss television.

"History is unfolding before our eyes. From the year-long diplomatic crisis we had with Libya, we have a certain knowledge of how this regime functions.

"Today we greatly admire the Libyan people for going out in the street and demanding their liberty and democracy."

AUSTRIAN FOREIGN MINISTER MICHAEL SPINDELEGGER

"The violent conduct of the Libyan government is shocking and must be condemned in the strongest of terms. Violence against peaceful demonstrators, that are only exercising their right to free assembly and freedom of expression, must be stopped immediately. I call on the Libyan leadership to begin immediately a broad dialogue answering to the demands of the Libyan people for reform. This is the only way more bloodshed can be avoided."

BRITISH FOREIGN SECRETARY WILLIAM HAGUE

"The UK is gravely concerned about the situation in Libya which is deplorable and unacceptable."

"We are today summoning the Libyan Ambassador to London to the Foreign Office, to convey in the strongest terms our absolute condemnation of the use of lethal force against demonstrators."

FORMER RUSSIAN PRIME MINISTER YEVGENY PRIMAKOV

"What is happening is a revolutionary outburst organized by non-Islamic groups; it is social in nature.

"This will end differently in different countries. But I think there will be no return to stable authoritarian regimes."

CHANCELLOR ANGELA MERKEL'S SPOKESMAN STEFFEN SEIBERT

"All that (use of force) is to be completely condemned ... The chancellor is personally very upset about this development."

SHADI HAMID, DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH AT THE BROOKINGS DOHA CENTRE (IN QATAR)

"Where is the compromise solution? It was not available in Egypt or Tunisia and it is likely to be the same in Libya.

"Libya is the most likely candidate for civil war because the government has lost control over part of its own territory.

"Benghazi was lost to the opposition and there are reports of other smaller cities going the same way. It is not something the Gaddafi regime is willing to tolerate."

ALASTAIR NEWTON, POLITICAL ANALYST, NOMURA "We believe that the 11 February ousting of President Mubarak of Egypt is proving to be a pivotal moment in turning turmoil into a tsunami ... The past week has seen unrest spread geographically -- notably to Libya (where regime collapse may be imminent), Bahrain and Iran -- to the point where there does now appear to be a potential threat to oil and gas output.

"Further contagion cannot be ruled out; but we think this will likely be limited to the MENA region for the time being."

FINNISH FOREIGN MINISTER ALEXANDER STUBB

"We're in a situation in Libya where we can only condemn the violence. At the same time it's not our job to change the leader of Libya, it is the job of the leadership of Libya to listen to its people. And to be quite honest, listening to people doesn't mean you should be using a machine gun."

GERMANY DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER WERNER HOYER

On Libyan threat to withdraw cooperation on migrants

"This was unbelievably off track, the European Union should not let itself be blackmailed."

LUXEMBOURG FOREIGN MINISTER JEAN ASSELBORN

On Libya and migrant threat

"We can't return to medieval methods, especially after what has happened in Egypt and Tunisia. They (Libya) used snipers to shoot at people who are uttering their free opinion and want more democracy.

"We can't ignore the elementary humanitarian issues and be blackmailed by such a regime. It can't be that we have to stick with a regime that bumps off its own people."

SWEDISH FOREIGN MINISTER CARL BILDT

"If you look at the demographic development, during the next decades, Egypt will be bigger than Russia and there will be two additional Egypts added from the populations of the south of the Mediterranean.

"So the challenges in terms of reforms over the next years and decades are ominous."

BULGARIAN FOREIGN MINISTER NIKOLAI MLADENOV

"Bulgaria is seriously alarmed by the abrupt worsening of the situation in Libya. I call upon the authorities to do everything possible to stop the escalating violence. We also call for national dialogue in the country to answer to the just demands for reforms, thus preserving Libya's territorial integrity." (Reporting by Reuters bureaux, compiled by London World Desk)

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