NYMEX-US crude hits $103 on Libyan worries, eyes data
* Libyan output down more than 25 pct - Reuters calculation
* North Sea Brent nears $120, U.S. crude hits $103
* Coming up: U.S. EIA oil stocks data, 11 a.m. EST Thursday
NEW YORK, Feb 24 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures rallied for a third session Thursday as prices soared to their highest since late August 2008 as escalating violence in Libya sparked supply worries.
Speculation that the Libyan unrest could spread to other big oil producers in the Middle East and North Africa again spurred buying, traders said.
The violence in Libya has cut at least 400,000 barrels per day of that country's 1.6 million bpd output, Reuters calculations show. [ID:nLDE71M1RM]
"The market cannot accommodate another disruption, in our view, with the problems in Libya potentially absorbing half of OPEC's spare capacity," Goldman analyst Jeffrey Currie said in a research note.
The upheaval in Libya, which holds Africa's largest proven oil reserves, has ignited fears of an inflationary spike and hitting industrial commodities. [ID:nLDE71N1AY]
Another assurance that any supply shortfall from Libya could be replaced came from from senior Saudi sources.
"Saudi is willing and capable of supplying oil of the same quality, either Arab extra light or through blending," one source said. "OPEC stipulates that it is able to supply all types of oil if needed," the source added.
Traders are also gearing up for the weekly U.S. inventory report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
In a Reuters poll on Wednesday, analysts forecasts called for a 1.2 million barrel increase in domestic crude stocks in the week to Feb. 18 (EIA/S)
The poll also forecast a 1.2 million barrel decline in distillates and a 400,000 barrel build in gasoline supplies.
Late Tuesday, industry group American Petroleum Institute said in its inventory report that crude stocks rose by 163,000 barrels, distillates fell by 534,000 barrels and gasoline stocks dropped by 1.6 million barrels. [API/S]
FUNDAMENTALS
* On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude for April delivery CLJ1, was up $2.54, 0or 2.6 percent at $100.64. It traded from $98.50 to $103.41, the highest since prices hit an intraday high of $106.91 on Sept. 29, 2008.
* In London, ICE Brent for April delivery LCOJ1 was up $3.64, or 3.27 percent, at $114.89 a barrel, after trading from $111.83 to $119.79, the highest since Aug. 22, 2008 intraday high of $120.91.
* Reuters market analyst Wang Tao said technical charts showed Brent could be on course for a rise to $158 per barrel in 2011, well above its 2008 high of $147.50, while he expected U.S. crude to touch $159 per barrel. [ID:nL37DOODV]
* In early trading, both NYMEX March heating oil HOH1 and March RBOB RGH1 have risen more than 5 percent, swept higher by crude's rally. Both contracts ended at their highest levels since September 2008 on Wednesday.
* Residents of Benghazi have jailed those they say are mercenaries and set up committees to run this eastern city now out of the control of leader Muammar Gaddafi, who has lost control of swaths of Libya. [ID:nLDE71N1FC]
* For the U.S. Northeast, temperatures will range from the 20s to lower 30s in New England to the 30s to lower 40s in the Mid-Atlantic states as the region braces for snow in its northern and rain in its southern sections. [ID:nN1313]
* U.S. President Barack Obama said the violent crackdown in Libya violated international norms and that he had ordered his national security team to prepare the full range of options dealing with the crisis. [ID:nWEN8378]
MARKET NEWS
* Wall Street stock index futures fell, signaling another down day as oil continued to rally on the Libyan turmoil, which has dented investor sentiment.[.N]
* In early trading, the dollar was down 0.32 percent against a basket of currencies. .DXY [USD/]
* Gold steadied near seven-week highs as investor fear over inflation stemming from higher crude oil prices were partially offset by pockets of profit-taking. [GOL/]
* Copper fell on concerns that higher oil prices may slow economic growth and cripple demand for industrial metals. [MET/L]
UPCOMING DATA/EVENTS
* U.S. weekly jobless claims, 8:30 a.m. EST, Thursday
* U.S. durable goods for January, 8:30 a.m. EST, Thursday 8:12 LAST NET PCT LOW HIGH CURRENT DAY AGO
CHNG CHNG VOL VOL CLc1 101.22 3.12 3.2% 98.50 103.41 101,260 37,925 CLc2 102.65 2.83 2.9% 100.22 104.95 27,993 638,193 LCOc1 115.11 3.86 3.5% 111.83 119.79 117,954 258,624 RBc1 2.7889 0.0740 2.7% 2.7362 2.8560 2,298 28,694 RBc2 2.9470 0.0793 2.8% 2.8883 3.0354 5,259 40,777 HOc1 2.9600 0.0551 1.9% 2.9120 3.0625 2,097 32,721 HOc2 2.9750 0.0584 2.0% 2.9286 3.0767 9,117 52,246 * NYMEX crude oil for April CLc1 rose $3.12 to $101.22 a barrel by 8:12 a.m. in volume of 101,260 lots. (Reporting by Gene Ramos; Editing by John Picinich)
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Comments (4)
lantanalenox wrote:
The administration should release oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve now that Light Sweet Crude is trading at close to $100/bbl. In so doing, the Treasury can recoup money that the Bush Administration paid to Koch Industries to top off the Reserve when prices were this high last time. In addition, this action (by flooding the market with supply) will keep energy cost increases from suddenly choking off the recovery.
bham4ever wrote:
Libya pumps 1.8 percent of “world oil” supply.So how do you get a 3.5 % increase .ask B.P. ,Exon-Mobil, Chevron-Texaco..called price gouging in my book as always they find a way to make it sound like they need more money but it ends up to be extra profit. When have they ever told a story and say well we need to drop the price then..
bham4ever wrote:
Exactly lantanalenox..Can I just say if the President is really interested in keeping the economy going in the right direction then he would open up the “oil reserves” and keep gas prices down before they crush the people that are just starting to recover..higher gas prices mean not only tough on the individual but higher food prices and materials that would damage any gain on the economy and us in the lower middle class.
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