UPDATE 6-ArcelorMittal, Vale vie for huge Mongolia coal mine

Mon Mar 7, 2011 3:56am EST

(Edits)

* Six short-listed to develop Tavan Tolgoi mine

* ArcelorMittal, Vale, Xstrata, Peabody among bidders

* Korean bidder estimates initial investment of $7.3 bln

* Mongolia says no timeframe to announce final bidder

By Hyunjoo Jin and David Stanway

SEOUL/BEIJING, March 7 (Reuters) - ArcelorMittal , Vale and Xstrata are among six bidders short-listed to develop Mongolia's Tavan Tolgoi mine, the world's largest untapped coking coal deposit, Mongolia said on Monday.

U.S. coal miner Peabody , a consortium of Chinese energy firm Shenhua and Japan's Mitsui & Co , and a separate consortium of Japanese, South Korean and Russian firms are the other preferred bidders, said Erdenes MGL, the government body which controls Tavan Tolgoi.

The firms are vying to develop the west Tsankhi block of the mine, which has 1.2 billion tonnes of coal reserves and could produce 15 million tonnes annually for more than 30 years.

One of the South Korea bidders said the project would need an initial investment of around $7.3 billion, with the winning bid announced on June 30.

But Mongolian official Ch Batbaatar, who is handling the bids for Erdenes, said there was no specific timeframe for selecting the final bidder. The $7.3 billion figure could also not be confirmed, he said by telephone from the capital Ulan Bator.

Foreign miners and steelmakers have eagerly competed for the right to develop the mine in Mongolia, a frontier economy neighbouring booming China that sits on vast reserves of coal and copper.

"It is massively significant in terms of large, undeveloped metallurgical coal resources. So it's a big prize for whichever parties get to ultimately develop it," said Tim Schroeders, a portfolio manager at Pengana Capital in Melbourne.

"The cost is going to be big because it's going to be difficult for whoever does get the gig to ensure the infrastructure solution is in keeping with the size of the resource."

Tavan Tolgoi has estimated reserves of 6 billion tonnes of coal, including the world's largest untapped deposit of coking coal, used by steelmakers.

Investment bankers handling a separate IPO for the mine estimate the eastern part of the deposit is worth around $15-20 billion.

Strong demand for coking coal from big Asian buyers has pushed prices to near record highs this year.

China, Japan and South Korea are scouring the world and snapping up iron ore and coking coal assets to diversify from heavyweight suppliers such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto .

The focus has shifted to undeveloped Mongolia, which some analysts say could be one of the fastest growing economies of the next decade because of its vast quantities of untapped mineral wealth.

Tavan Tolgoi, in Mongolia's south Gobi region, consists of six coal fields and Tsankhi is the main one, containing most of its coking coal resources.

It lies 540 km (336 miles) south of Ulan Bator and 270 km north of the Chinese border. The nearest port is China's Tianjin 1,570 km away, with the closest Russian port of Vanino more than three times the distance, according to Mongolian data.

Members of the South Korean bidding group, led by state body Korea Resources, include POSCO , utility firm KEPCO , trading firm LG Corp and Daewoo International . Russian Railways, Japanese trading houses Itochu Corp , Sumitomo Corp , Marubeni Corp and Sojitz Corp make up the rest of that consortium.

Of the original list of 15 bidders, Australia's Fortescue Metals , China's Erdos Chenglong, Oleg Deripaska's En + Group and three Mongolian firms did not make the shortlist.

"Russia has traditionally had a very strong relationship with Mongolia; the Mitsui-Shenhua grouping is interesting because Mitsui is a very active and early player in difficult jurisdictions, they are quite forward in their outlook, they'll go into places earlier than others," said Andrew Harrington, an analyst with Patersons Securities in Sydney.

MINING BOOM

Mongolia last month short-listed four global banks to manage the sale of shares in the mine, in what could become the country's biggest share sale. Bankers have said the IPO could raise between $1.5-$5 billion.

The separate western section is offered on a contract basis and 15 bidders had eyed the mining rights.

Mongolia is poised to overtake Australia as China's largest coking coal supplier this year.

It exported 16.6 million tonnes of coal to China in 2010, up nearly three-fold from the preceding year and just 2.5 million tonnes in 2005.

The first phase of Tavan Tolgoi will add 15 million tonnes of coal per year to Mongolia's total production, eventually rising to 30 million tonnes, Mongolia's mining minister said last month.

Mongolia lingered in isolation for 70 years as a Soviet satellite state, serving as a sleepy buffer zone between its giant neighbours, Russia and China.

Now the democratic government, in power since the early 1990s, is trying to pull its 3 million citizens out of poverty by exploiting its largely untapped mineral wealth. (Additional reporting by Cho Mee-young, Sonali Paul in Melbourne, Rebekah Kebede in Perth; Writing by Miyoung Kim in Seoul, Editing by Jonathan Hopfner and Dhara Ranasinghe)

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