Marijuana called pot, grass, weed -- and now investment?

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Small marijuana plants, available for sale, are shown in a medical marijuana dispensary in Oakland, California June 30, 2010. Picture taken June 30, 2010. REUTERS/Robert Galbraith

Small marijuana plants, available for sale, are shown in a medical marijuana dispensary in Oakland, California June 30, 2010. Picture taken June 30, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Robert Galbraith

CHICAGO | Thu Mar 24, 2011 3:27pm EDT

CHICAGO (Reuters) - It has been called a lot of things over the years: grass, Mary Jane, wacky weed. Now, researchers are suggesting a new moniker for marijuana: alternative investment.

A report out this week on the U.S. medical marijuana market estimates the unconventional business already generates $1.7 billion in economic activity a year. But that market could grow fivefold in short order, researchers say, as the list of states that legalize pot for treating a variety of illnesses grows and as more patients try it -- and switch.

The study, conducted by See Change Strategy for the American Cannabis Research Institute and Deal Flow Media, a financial research firm specializing in unusual assets, says that of the nearly 25 million Americans who are potentially eligible to use medical marijuana based on their diagnoses, fewer than 800,000 currently do.

That makes the nascent market a potentially attractive one for investors looking for an alternative to the more traditional investment alternatives like art, antiques, wine or coins, one with an upside potential that makes China's current growth rate look anemic.

The opportunities, the authors say, aren't confined to cultivation and distribution -- the riskier parts of the business.

Many perfectly legal products and services, from software and security to hydroponic infrastructure to marketing, communications and consulting, will offer money-making opportunities in the coming years.

But the authors, who surveyed 300 medical marijuana industry insiders, point out that the fast-growing market faces a daunting number of hurdles. These include inadequate access to legal capital, unfavorable tax status, a lack of experienced executives, downward pricing pressure and a complex -- and contradictory web -- of state and federal rules. All this makes investing in marijuana a risky proposition.

There's also the very real potential for conflict with the criminal gangs that control the much larger $18 billion a year illegal U.S. marijuana market. These conflicts with criminal gangs tend to get settled outside the judicial system.

Still, the study says the U.S. medical pot market could be nearly half the size of the illegal market -- about $8.9 billion -- in just five years.

"That's assuming there are no obstacles," said Ted Rose, the editor of the study. "I'm not weighing in on whether that's likely or not. But that $1.7 billion is the real money that's being made this year."

To put that in perspective, Lipitor, Pfizer Inc's cholesterol-reducing drug and the world's best-selling pharmaceutical, had U.S. sales of $5.33 billion in 2010.

More than a dozen U.S. states and the District of Columbia have legalized the use of marijuana to help patients with chronic illnesses, including cancer, AIDS and multiple sclerosis.

The survey found that 34 percent of the medical marijuana businesses said regulatory compliance -- not customer demand or securing supply -- was the top challenge they faced. Another 24 percent said financing was the industry's most pressing need.

But because the possession and distribution of marijuana remain illegal under federal law, the report's authors point out that the market is rife with risk, including "the ever-present risk of being shut down or experiencing a property seizure without notice."

(Reporting by James B. Kelleher)

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Comments (12)
Ralphooo wrote:
If anyone can figure out how to get around a bunch of laws and regulations, it’s Wall Street investment firms. Go to it, boys and girls.

One point about legalized marijuana worries me: considered as a pharmaceutical, how can marijuana’s well-known side effects (fuzzy thinking, impaired driving and so forth) be ignored? It seems to me that chronic marijuana intoxication would be acceptable only for people already so debilitated that they can’t drive or go to work anyway. For most of us, frequent use of marijuana would be likely to impair our ability to function in the practical sphere of everyday life and work.

Mar 24, 2011 12:22pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
DrJJJJ wrote:
Ralphoo, right on, you’re honest! Normalizing/legalizing dope is a huge mistake- it’s too strong with many deep behavioral side effects! It’ll cost us dearly-socially and financially!! What’s next- tax heroin, cocaine, child porn, poligamy-they would all raise some taxes? Just because it raises some intial taxes, doesn’t make it right! Our morals/ehtics are already too deep in the sewer as it is! Decriminalize growing a little at home if ya must for over 21 to stop the dealing/importation/crime, but dope dealers are criminals-always will be!

Mar 24, 2011 1:41pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
mrk9jones wrote:
@ralphoo, The side effects of marijauna are not any different than the perscription, drugs, they cause dizziness, fuzzy thinking, blurred vission, yet everyday millions of americans drive and funtion quite normally. Perhaps you or your co workers are technically on drugs now. Did you take a prescription today?
@Drjjjj, you mentioned polygamy, in your post. Every Nun, on the planet, marries Jesus. Does this make Jesus a polyagamist?

Mar 24, 2011 2:32pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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