PIMCO raises bet against U.S. government debt

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William Gross, Manager of the world's biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co. (PIMCO) participates in the Obama administration's Conference on the Future of Housing Finance in the Cash Room of the Treasury Building in Washington in this August 17, 2010 file photo. REUTERS/Jason Reed

William Gross, Manager of the world's biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co. (PIMCO) participates in the Obama administration's Conference on the Future of Housing Finance in the Cash Room of the Treasury Building in Washington in this August 17, 2010 file photo.

Credit: Reuters/Jason Reed

NEW YORK | Mon May 9, 2011 6:57pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - PIMCO's Bill Gross, the manager of the world's largest bond fund, raised his bet against U.S. government-related debt in April to 4 percent from 3 percent, according to the company's website on Monday.

The increase, albeit small, follows Gross' move to ratchet up his bearishness in March by taking his initial short position in U.S. government-related debt, which includes Treasuries, TIPS, agencies, interest rate swaps, Treasury futures and options and FDIC-guaranteed corporate securities.

The $240 billion Total Return fund also raised its cash position to 37 percent in April from 31 percent in March, added Pacific Investment Management Co, which oversees $1.2 trillion in assets.

The Total Return fund took down its mortgage exposure to 24 percent in April from 28 percent the previous month.

The fund also decreased its allocation in investment-grade credit to 17 percent in April from 18 percent in March and junk bonds to 5 percent in April from 6 percent the previous month.

For their part, emerging markets exposure increased to 11 percent of the Total Return portfolio, up from 10 percent in March, and municipal bonds unchanged at 4 percent month-over-month.

Last Friday, Gross told Reuters that the only way he would purchase Treasuries again is if the United States heads into another recession.

Since the news that Gross had turned more bearish on government debt, reflecting his growing worries over the country's fiscal deficit and debt burden, Treasury prices have been soaring.

Gross told Reuters on Friday: "Treasury yields are currently yielding substantially less than historical averages when compared with inflation. Perhaps the only justification for a further rally would be weak economic growth or a future recession that substantially lowered inflation and inflationary expectations."

(Editing by Andrew Hay, Gary Crosse)

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Comments (23)
NewsLady wrote:
What does that MEAN, that he “raised his bet from 3 percent to 4 percent”??? Does it mean he thinks there’s a 3 (or 4) percent chance of US default? Does it mean he’s allocating 3 (or 4) percent of his portfolio short bonds? Or what? You need to explain.

May 09, 2011 7:18pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
neilc23 wrote:
It seems that the federal government is betting against 1) The President’s handpicked Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, 2) The International Monetary Fund, and 3) The Bank for International Settlements.

The interest of America should come ahead of party politics and re-election.

May 09, 2011 7:40pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
txgadfly wrote:
What it means is that he thinks Federal Bonds will be cheaper in the future, so he sells a promise to buy and deliver them in the future at a cheaper price, making a profit.

Essentially, unless the USA stops spending upwards of $1.2 trillion per year on Israel, the USA will not be able to repay the money it is borrowing to pay for the aid. That aid includes the cost of 2 1/4 wars that are currently active, but not a prospective war with Pakistan. The USA will not change policy because the Government does not care what it does to its own people. Israel is more important. And the election system no longer effectively holds the Government accountable to the voters, but only to the donors.

Current policy makes a default, partial or complete, likely.

May 09, 2011 9:40pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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