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WRAPUP 3-Weak data point to sluggish U.S. economy
* Case-Shiller 20-city home price index falls in March
* Consumer confidence declines in May
* Chicago Purchasing Managers Index falls in May (Edits)
By Leah Schnurr
NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - A double-dip in home prices, pessimistic consumers and a slowdown in regional manufacturing raised concerns on Tuesday that the U.S. economy's soft patch could become protracted.
"The question is, 'Is the softer data we're seeing transitory, or is it likely to persist throughout the remainder of 2011?' Right now, that's an open question that investors are trying to figure out," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at RDM Financial in Westport, Connecticut.
The U.S. economy grew at a tepid 1.8 percent annual rate in the first three months of the year, and these fresh signs suggest the recovery is still struggling to gain momentum.
The consumer also appears to be struggling, with data last week showing consumer spending was crimped by high gasoline prices in April. Consumer spending makes up more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.
A drop in a gauge of business activity in the U.S. Midwest added to other regional reports that have pointed to slower growth in manufacturing this month amid supply chain disruptions from the major earthquake in Japan in March.
It also boded poorly for a national factory report due on Wednesday, which is expected to slow, and casts a cloud ahead of a report on national employment on Friday.
"While weakness in manufacturing may simply reflect auto parts shortages, this is the fifth regional manufacturing index to fall sharply in May," wrote Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial.
"(It) reinforces the general sense the economy is losing steam," he added.
U.S. stocks .SPX trimmed gains after the consumer confidence and manufacturing data, but Wall Street was higher in late day trading as the data was outweighed by optimism that new financial aid for debt-laden Greece was on the horizon.
HOUSING DOUBLE-DIP
U.S. single-family home prices dropped in March to fall below the low hit in April 2009 during the financial crisis, a closely watched survey showed.
The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas declined 0.2 percent from February on a seasonally adjusted basis, in line with economists' expectations.
A glut of houses for sale along with foreclosures, tight credit and weak demand have kept the housing market on the ropes even as other areas of the economy start to recover.
Home prices had been supported last spring by a tax credit, but the housing market has struggled since the credit expired. Prices in the 20 cities fell 3.6 percent year over year, worse than expectations for a decline of 3.3 percent. For a table see [ID:nN31289832].
"The declines sustained in the last 12 months have almost erased the gains of the previous 12 months," said Cary Leahey, managing director at Decision Economics in New York. "The housing market is treading backward but not drowning."
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Graphic on S&P/Case Shiller home price index:
r.reuters.com/nax79r
The expansion of the U.S. manufacturing sector is forecast
to slow when the data is released on Wednesday.
r.reuters.com/sex79r
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The Conference Board, an industry group, said its index of consumer attitudes fell to 60.8 in May from a revised 66.0 in April, well below a median forecast of 66.5.
Consumers took a more negative view of business and labor market conditions, while inflation expectations jumped after easing in April. [ID:nN31277567]
The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago business barometer dropped to 56.6 in May from 67.6 in April, its lowest reading since November 2009 and missing forecasts for a reading of 62.6. For details see [ID:nN9E7G401Z].
The index of new orders sank to 53.5 from 66.3, while the employment component fell to 60.8 from 63.7.
Economists expect Wednesday's larger ISM manufacturing survey to ease to 57.7 in May from 60.4 the month before. Friday's U.S. payrolls data is forecast to show the economy added 180,000 jobs in May, easing from 244,000 in April. [ECI/US] (Additional reporting by Ellen Freilich and Caroline Valetkevitch in New York and Ann Saphir in Chicago; Editing by Kenneth Barry)
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Comments (2)
ugg wrote:
Here is my take on what is wrong with our economy and how to fix it. The farther the distance between the rich and poor, the worst the economy becomes the closer the distance between the rich and the poor, the better the economy becomes. Convincing the super rich to cooperate by taking a vacation and allowing the poor and middleclass to catch up is like pulling teeth from an 800 lb. Gorilla without using drugs during the operation. If Our Government and Our Super Rich don\’t get their act together soon, both will suffer an unnecessary calamity which history will tell the children of the Super Rich how intoxicated their parents were on the money they schemed to take form the New Global economy because they could, and how Our Government, the Greatest Government on the face of the earth, was too conscientious to take it back from them, causing total disorganization and disruption of the finest system of caring for humans ever established since the beginning of time
ugg wrote:
We all know a few major forces were at work that brought down the world economy. There has been much graft and corruption in investments through many financial institutions, over-productivity brought on by a super heated economy because Alan Greenspan did not raise interest rates when he should have, which could have slowed down the economy enough for everyone to reorganize their activities, these two items speak volumes along with the fact, industries were sending numerous manufacturing jobs overseas to avoid industrial clean air regulations along with hating labor unions. These are human nature disagreement problems that people refuse to deal with. What industry pays in taxes for Jails, Legal fees, and maintenance of many instructions that would be unnecessary if harmony exist? Both management in industry and management in labor, along with management in Government are the problems. If we interviewed the common people in America, the common people in all other countries, we would find the common people just want to get along and earn enough to pay for their keep. The Leaders besides being Leaders are at fault in most every case. How do we correct this? You figure it out.
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