Indonesia's May CPI slows to 5.98 pct y/y, above forecast
* May CPI 0.12 pct m/m, above forecast of 0.06 pct
* May CPI up 5.98 pct y/y, above forecast of 5.92 pct
* May core CPI up 4.64 pct y/y, below forecast of 4.70 pct
JAKARTA, June 1 (Reuters) - Indonesia's May consumer price index from the country's statistics bureau.
KEY DATA: CPI (y/y pct change) (m/m pct change) May 5.98 May 0.12 April 6.16 April -0.31 March 6.65 March -0.32 Feb 6.84 Feb 0.13 Jan 7.02 Jan 0.89 Dec 6.96 Dec 0.92 Nov 6.33 Nov 0.60 Oct 5.67 Oct 0.06 Sept 5.80 Sept 0.44 Aug 6.44 Aug 0.76 July 6.22 July 1.57 June 5.05 June 0.97 May 4.16 May 0.29 April 3.91 April 0.15 March 3.43 March -0.14 Feb 3.81 Feb 0.30 Jan 3.72 Jan 0.84 Dec 2.78 Dec 0.33 Nov 2.41 Nov -0.03 Oct 2.57 Oct 0.19 Sept 2.83 Sept 1.05 Aug 2.75 Aug 0.56 July 2.71 July 0.45 June 3.65 June 0.11 May 6.04 May 0.04 April 7.31 April -0.31 March 7.92 March 0.22 Feb 8.60 Feb 0.21
CONTEXT:
Indonesia's annual inflation rate was seen easing to a seven-month low of 5.92 percent in May, but was expected to pick up 0.06 percent on a monthly basis as food prices have been creeping up, analysts said.
The annual inflation forecast was in line with the central bank's estimate of 5.8 to 5.9 percent, and the bank's deputy governor said the country's 2011 full-year inflation could be lower than 5.5 percent if there are no fuel price hikes this year. [ID:nJKB004541] [ID:nJKB004533]
Core inflation -- which excludes administered prices and volatile foods -- was seen picking up again to 4.70 percent year-on-year, as strong demand boosts broader economic growth.
However, analysts expect Indonesia's central bank to leave rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive month at 6.75 percent at its next policy meeting on June 9, as it is letting the rupiah currency strengthen to help reduce imported inflation.
Most analysts have scaled back rate rise expectations to the second half of this year, forecasting the central bank will hike rates by 50 basis points to 7.25 percent by the end of 2011 to guard against inflation.
Cooler inflation after Bank Indonesia surprisingly hiked rates by 25 basis points in February to calm the market has helped revive investor confidence.
Foreigners have returned to buy Indonesian government bonds after a sell-off early this year, with net buying of 4.48 trillion rupiah ($524 million) in May.
Bank Indonesia's last policy statement in May was seen as less hawkish because it did not reiterate previous statements to remain in a tightening stance nor say there was room for further rate adjustments to manage inflationary pressures.
LINKS:
- Indonesia's statistics bureau: .... www.bps.go.id
- CPI breakdown ................................. (Reporting by Aditya Suharmoko and Adriana Nina Kusuma; Editing by Neil Chatterjee)
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