Many U.S. employers to drop health benefits: McKinsey

CHICAGO Tue Jun 7, 2011 1:15pm EDT

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CHICAGO (Reuters) - At least 30 percent of employers are likely to stop offering health insurance once provisions of the U.S. health care reform law kick in in 2014, according to a study by consultant McKinsey.

McKinsey, which based its projection on a survey of more than 1,300 employers of various sizes and industries and other proprietary research, found that 30 percent of employers will "definitely" or "probably" stop offering coverage in the years after 2014, when new medical insurance exchanges are supposed to be up and running.

"The shift away from employer-provided health insurance will be vastly greater than expected and will make sense for many companies and lower-income workers alike," according to the study, published in McKinsey Quarterly.

"While the pace and timing are difficult to predict, McKinsey research points to a radical restructuring of employer-sponsored health benefits."

Among employers with a high awareness of the health reform law, the number likely to drop health coverage for workers rises to more than 50 percent, the report predicted.

The numbers compare to a Congressional Budget Office estimate that only about 7 percent of employees currently covered by employer-sponsored plans will have to switch to subsidized-exchange policies in 2014, McKinsey said.

The consultant also found that at least 30 percent of employers would gain economically from dropping coverage even if they compensated employees for the change through other benefit offerings or higher salaries.

Losing employer-sponsored insurance would not prompt workers to leave their jobs, contrary to what many employers assume, McKinsey also predicted. The study found more than 85 percent of employees would remain at their jobs even if their employer stopped offering insurance, although about 60 percent would expect increased compensation.

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Comments (4)
marvinone wrote:
one of the benefits that may come from the government taking some of the healthcare pressure off employers is that companies may take a chance on hiring older workers. there are many health problems that could sink a small company and cripple a bigger company if they had to stand the expense of treatment, so it is easier to just not hire the senior citizen in the first place, even though their work ethic is probably better than the young workers that get the jobs.

Jun 07, 2011 2:57pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
atrusso.phd wrote:
Not sure who McKinsey interviewed but if my employer dropped health care I’d be sending out resumes the day it was announced. I think businesses that stop offering health care to their employees will see a drop in the quality of new applicants.

Jun 07, 2011 3:06pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
AnneC wrote:
People don’t mind where they get their health care as long as they can have access to an affordable policy. Sometimes employer-sponsored health insurance plans are a lot more expensive than applying for health insurance on your own. But in the absence of health care benefits, there should be some other compensation.

Anne C
NY Health Insurer

Jun 07, 2011 4:01pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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