Brent falls as euro zone woes, dollar pressure

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An employee holds a gas pump to refill a car at a petrol station in central Seoul April 6, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won

An employee holds a gas pump to refill a car at a petrol station in central Seoul April 6, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Lee Jae-Won

NEW YORK | Fri Jun 24, 2011 4:13pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Brent crude prices fell 2 percent on Friday as Europe's debt problems and a dollar index rebound extended oil's decline a day after consuming nations announced they were tapping strategic reserves.

Dropping 7 percent for the week, Brent's premium to U.S. crude fell below $14 a barrel intraday, from above $19 on Wednesday, the day before the International Energy Agency made a surprise announcement to release oil from strategic reserves. The premium has contracted from its record $23.34 reached on June 15.

U.S. crude ended slightly higher on Friday, after seesawing and briefly dipping below $90 a barrel, finding support above Thursday's low trade.

The euro fell versus the dollar as investors worried that Greece's parliament may not pass austerity measures needed for the country to secure more bailout funds.

"The strengthening of the dollar index is helping pressure oil and we're seeing an unwinding of the Brent-WTI spread because of the release of the strategic reserves," said Phil Flynn, analyst at PFGBest Research in Chicago.

"The Brent-WTI spread coming in indicates that the release was justified," he added.

ICE Brent crude for August fell $2.14 to settle at $105.12 a barrel, after swinging between $103.62 and $108.70 after the previous session's nearly 6 percent slide. It was a second straight weekly loss for the contract.

Brent trading volumes were heavy, eclipsing U.S. crude for a second straight day, after hitting a record over 1.2 million lots on Thursday.

The consuming nations' reserves release sent Brent into contango, with front-month Brent ending at a 19-cent discount to the September contract, after closing Thursday at a 21-cent premium to the second month.

U.S. August crude edged up 14 cents to settle at $91.16 a barrel, but front-month crude posted a third straight weekly loss, down 2 percent.

Money managers slashed their net-long U.S. crude futures and options positions in both New York and London in the week to June 21, the Commodity Futures Trading Commision said on Friday.

The relative strength index for both Brent and U.S. crude approached the 30-point mark, a signal that a contract has been oversold, following the sell off IEA announcement, although WTI edged up slightly up after the late day price rally.

U.S. gasoline futures settled lower, losing 2.1 percent, with heating oil, the distillate benchmark, ending 1.1 percent lower.

U.S. refined products prices had been reacting to pricier Brent crude futures in recent months.

IEA RESERVE RELEASE IMPACT

The International Energy Agency (IEA) announced on Thursday a release of 60 million barrels of government-held stocks over the next 30 days.

Leading commodities banks JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs cut their oil price forecasts following the IEA announcement, but Bank of America Merrill Lynch kept its forecast for the second half unchanged at $102 a barrel.

Saudi Arabia, the world's leading crude oil exporter, has yet to make any comment on the release.

The IEA move came after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries last month could not reach agreement on a boost to production targets. But Saudi Arabia had pledged to increase output to meet demand.

"Saudi Arabia will be crucial -- will it stick to its promise to increase its output to 10 million barrels a day or not?" said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.

"If they don't, then the IEA decision will have backfired. Maybe they will scale back production in July after this stock release."

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said on Friday that the IEA's decision was "sensible policy."

"It will provide some modest help and relief" to the U.S. economy, Geithner told reporters after meeting local business leaders in Manchester, New Hampshire. "It was a prudent use of existing reserves."

Better-than-expected U.S. durable goods data provided support to U.S. crude futures in the early going on Friday.

New orders for U.S. manufactured goods in May increased 1.9 percent after dropping 2.7 percent in April, the Commerce Department said.

But concerns about euro zone debt problems continued to weigh on markets. U.S. stocks headed for three days of losses as worries about the Italian banking sector added to the uncertainty over the passage of a Greek austerity plan. .N

(Additional reporting by Gene Ramos in New York, Claire Milhench and Ikuko Kurahone in London and Alejandro Barbajosa in Singapore; Editing by Lisa Shumaker and David Gregorio)

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Comments (4)
oi812 wrote:
the U.S. now has known reserves of oil at its current rate of consumption to last 100 years. Why not start drilling and help easy the oil market by bring on line oil from a stable area of the planet. That is the main problem with oil-it is the cheapest form of energy we have but all the cheap oil is in the most unstable part of the planet. If all that oil was here or Europe we would not have this problem-Drill everything we have and do it now

Jun 23, 2011 10:16pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
garilou wrote:
An action taken voluntarily to manipulate the price of a commodity, isn’t that normally illegal?
Tapping into the oil reserves will NOT help the economy.
1. it won’t last.
2. this will make speculators profit from this temporary lower price to bring it back up.
3. the gas price at the pump will not go down: Oil and gas producers will say like always, when the oil price goes down: “You know, in the transformation process costs, the price of oil is only a small fraction”. And what hurts the economy, it is not the price of oil, in is the price a gas!

IMHO, this is a stupid move, not too surprising because Obama is always ill advised in the matters of economic measures.
What I find most surprising is that so many other countries decided to go on with Obama.

Jun 24, 2011 2:07am EDT  --  Report as abuse
JeffHB wrote:
The move is actually an interesting test of the hypothesis that there is a high speculative premium built into the price of oil. If the current price is truly based on fundamentals, the move will have little longterm consumer benefit. But if the current price is significantly elevated by the usual herdlike behavior of an insular trader community, then surprise moves like this one that potentially inflict major pain on the traders could quite possibly knock out a good deal of froth from the market price. The so called risk premium for Libya is an excellent example. If there is no risk to traders of placing a bet on higher prices, they will place that bet every time. Inflict some pain on the creeps and they might just act in a more restrained manner. And if they don’t change their behavior, who cares! It’s fun to see them get hurt every once in a while. I’m glad Obama did it even if the only benefit is seeing these miserable manipulators take a hit for a change, like the rest of us.

Jun 24, 2011 3:11am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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