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A U.S. Army soldier from 3/1 AD Task Force Bulldog uses his night vision equipment before an early morning joint patrol with Afghan National Army (ANA) soldiers in a village in Kherwar district in Logar province, eastern Afghanistan, May 22, 2012. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui

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A cross is seen in Joplin, Missouri May 17, 2012. May 22 marks the one year anniversary of a deadly EF-5 tornado that ripped through the town, killing 161 people. The tornado damaged or destroyed about 7,500 homes and 500 other buildings, but the city is now well into a recovery mode that has spurred some segments of the local economy. REUTERS/Eric Thayer (UNITED STATES - Tags: DISASTER ENVIRONMENT RELIGION)

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Demand for factory goods slips

Washers and dryers are seen on display at a store in New York July 28, 2010. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Washers and dryers are seen on display at a store in New York July 28, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton

WASHINGTON | Wed Jul 27, 2011 3:21pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Demand for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods fell in June and economic activity across much of the nation slowed through mid-July, casting doubt over how quickly the economy might escape its soft patch.

The Federal Reserve said on Wednesday the recovery lost steam in eight of 12 regions it tracks in recent weeks, with hiring modest, wages soft and price pressures subdued.

"Economic activity continued to grow; however, the pace has moderated in many districts," the Fed said.

Separately, the Commerce Department said weak receipts for transportation equipment pushed down durable goods orders 2.1 percent last month after a 1.9 percent increase in May. A closely watched reading on business spending plans also fell.

Excluding transportation, orders edged up just 0.1 percent.

"We're getting confirmation that this is more than just a soft patch in the first part of the year, that it's a more fundamental slowdown triggered in part by the political environment and jittery markets," said Michelle Meyer, an economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Economists said the drop in the so-called core category of factory orders that is used as a proxy for business spending plans was troubling and could yield slower growth in spending by businesses on equipment and software in the third quarter.

That measure -- non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft -- slipped 0.4 percent last month after a 1.7 percent rise in May.

"The June decline is somewhat worrisome regarding the vigor of the trend in capital spending," said Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan in New York. "This is particularly so given that the June data probably predates any debt ceiling-driven precaution on the part of business behavior."

Durable goods are items ranging from toasters to aircraft that are meant to last three years or more. Though orders tend to be volatile, last month's unexpected decline suggested factory activity was losing steam.

The Fed report, based on comments by business contacts in the central bank's 12 districts, also presented a glum picture.

While most districts saw modest hiring gains, labor markets remained soft, the Fed said. Home sales were little changed since the Beige Book issued in early June and most districts reporting on home prices found them flat or declining.

Against that backdrop, wage pressures were subdued and price pressures moderated somewhat, the Fed said.

TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY

The economy has been beset by high gasoline costs and supply chain disruptions following the March earthquake in Japan, but economists had been hopeful the recovery would be picking up speed by now.

The durable goods data helped push U.S. stock prices down but investors mostly focused on the drama in Washington, where talks to raise the nation's debt ceiling remained deadlocked.

Businesses, sitting on a $2 trillion cash pile, have been spending heavily on equipment and software. Economists said businesses still had pent-up demand, but much would depend on developments in Washington over the next days.

Politicians are no closer to agreement on raising the country's borrowing limit, and the threat of the U.S. defaulting on its debt and a downgrade of the nation's coveted triple-A credit rating is growing.

A range of U.S. companies -- from Emerson Electric Co to Corning Inc -- on Wednesday warned that demand was weakening.

Emerson Electric said U.S. and European economies have "clearly slowed" in the past two months, sending its own shares down 6.7 percent to their lowest level since September. Other industrial shares were also lower across the board.

"We have seen a definite weakening of general business activity in June and July," Emerson management said in a regulatory filing. "U.S. and European economies have clearly slowed and entered a soft-patch and it remains unclear if they will improve much in the second half of the calendar year.

Brian Levitt, an economist at OppenheimerFunds in New York, said a resolution of the budget standoff in Washington ahead of a August 2 deadline for Congress to raise the nation's borrowing limit could help lift the cloud hanging over the economy.

"We're going to need some clarity over the next week and if events turnout as the market hopes it will, there is still some impetus for growth as we head out into year-end," he said.

(Additional reporting by Scott Malone in Boston; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Neil Stempleman)

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Comments (11)
oi812 wrote:
until we clear out all the homes that should be foreclosed on we will never recover. Cost of building new home cannot compete with them. Banks should either refi people so their home is not a possible foreclosure property or just foreclose on it to clear the market. the banks are just trickling these homes out to make the most money they can but it is stopping the housing market from correction. Until the market corrects home building will not recover and thats what is holding back full recovery for the entire economy

Jul 26, 2011 8:24pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
stevehane wrote:
I agree we need to get through a whole lot of inventory, that which is currently on the market, but the shadow inventory too that includes so many homes abandoned to the banks. The trouble is it takes time to process all those homes just to list them. And even if you could list them all at once then the market would be overloaded. There are not enough buyers as it is. It would be like a kid feasting on a pillowcase of Halloween candy, except the pillow case would be the size of Detroit. That tummy ache would really bust the housing market.

The only way to survive this mess is for it to unwind slowly. It took about 4 years to spin up, it may take twice that to unwind. In the meantime some property may just go to waste and eventually be leveled. In the wake of the mess a new and hopefully stronger housing market can be built, but it has to happen at its own pace. Trying to rush things is how we got here in the first place.

Jul 26, 2011 9:29pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
1WorldDone wrote:
If we had a REAL functioning government and Chamber of Commerce, they would be offering the glut of properties to Chinese investors.

Right now, the cost per square meter of property is about 20% higher in my hometown than it is in DongGuan, China (the factory floor of the world), not to mention ShenZhen, BeiJing, ShangHai, etc., where the the costs are even HIGHER!

The extra sales would not only bring money BACK to the USA from China, firming up home values to something much more reasonable, but the new owners would have to pay taxes as well.

Naw… The Democrats and Republicans are much happier playing debt ceiling circus…

Jul 26, 2011 11:10pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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