U.S. consumer sentiment grim but retail sales jump
WASHINGTON/NEW YORK |
WASHINGTON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer sentiment worsened sharply in early August, falling to the lowest level in more than three decades, after retail sales posted the biggest gain in four months in July.
High unemployment, stagnant wages, gridlock in Congress, and a stock market slump all contributed to a consumer mood that was as grim as when Jimmy Carter was President during the recession of 1980 and interest rates were more than 20 percent.
Despite the gloom U.S. consumers kept spending in recent weeks with retail sales up in July by the most in four months.
"People's spending doesn't always correspond with their mood," said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Pierpont Securities in Stamford, Connecticut. "I doubt things are as weak as the sentiment readings suggest, but no doubt people will be cautious in August."
After one of the most volatile weeks in memory, U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as the encouraging retail sales data overshadowed the weak consumer sentiment data.
But "the tumultuous last 10 days or so hasn't given our core customer, the middle income family, any reason to be more confident," said J.C. Penney Co Inc Chief Executive Myron Ullman on an analysts conference call Friday morning after the chain store retailer forecast weaker-than-expected third-quarter earnings.
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But the market went up because ‘experts’ were expecting 400,000 people to lose their jobs.
The American economy has been shedding around 400,000 jobs per month for a very long time and this month is no exception.
If that sorry statistic is the only thing the market has to rally on, our country is in deep trouble… partly because our economy is still shedding a lot of jobs and partly because American investment professionals can’t distinguish between good news and bad news.



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