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Grim Fed pondered even bolder easing in August

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The U.S. Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington June 29, 2011. REUTERS/Jim Bourg

The U.S. Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington June 29, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Jim Bourg

WASHINGTON | Tue Aug 30, 2011 7:49pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The central bank in early August discussed a range of unusual tools it could use to help the economy, with some officials pressing for bold new steps to help the economy.

Before settling on a promise to keep rates near zero at least until mid-2013, the Fed examined an array of policy options to shore up a flagging recovery, including tying the path of interest rates to either unemployment or inflation.

"Participants noted a deterioration in labor market conditions, slower household spending, a drop in consumer and business confidence and continued weakness in the housing sector," according to minutes from the central bank's August 9 meeting released on Tuesday.

The minutes said that the few officials who pressed for going beyond the low-rates vow the Fed offered viewed the new guidance "as a step in the direction of additional accommodation."

Prices for U.S. government bonds and oil futures rose after the minutes were released, and the dollar briefly pared earlier gains it had made against the euro.

The U.S. economy sputtered in the first six months of 2011, with gross domestic product expanding at less than a 1 percent annual pace. The jobless rate, meanwhile, remains stuck above 9 percent.

The latest dark sign for the economy came on Tuesday when data showed confidence among consumers plunged in August to its lowest level in more than two years.

At its meeting, the Fed also discussed engaging in further asset buys or shifting the composition of bonds on the central bank's portfolio toward longer-dated maturities.

Purchases of longer-dated securities could further depress long-term rates, though some Fed officials expressed doubt that any of these steps would offer much support to growth.

Still, given the prospect of a protracted snail-paced recovery and tighter fiscal policy, Fed officials scrambled for unorthodox ways they could bolster the recovery.

"In choosing to phrase the outlook for policy in terms of a time horizon, members also considered conditioning the outlook for the level of the federal funds rate on explicit numerical values for the unemployment rate or the inflation rate," the minutes said.

FORK ON POLICY ROAD

Comments from two top Fed officials on Tuesday highlighted the divided nature of the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee, which sets official interest rates.

Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank and a noted policy dove, said he favored strong central bank accommodation "for a substantial period of time," since the economy now looks to be moving "sideways."

But Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank stopped well short of signaling support for further easing, showing he remains firmly on the hawkish wing of the Fed's policy-setting panel.

Markets are primed for the Fed's next policy meeting on September 20-21, and Evans' comments on CNBC television on Tuesday fueled expectations that the Fed could build on its series of unprecedented moves to prop up the economy.

The remarks by the two policymakers came on the heels of Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday stopped short of detailing further action by the central bank.

Evans told CNBC television he backs "some of the most aggressive policy actions" now being considered by the Fed, adding that the labor market, with its 9.1 percent jobless rate, looks to be in a recession.

The central bank cut short-term interest rates to near zero in December 2008 and bought $2.3 trillion in mortgage-related and government debt in an effort to spur recovery.

Its decision to announce that it expected to hold interest rates near zero into 2013 sparked three dissents, the most in nearly 20 years, including one from Kocherlakota.

The minutes, however, showed there were also supporters for a more aggressive easing of monetary policy.

(Additional reporting by Jonathan Spicer and Leah Schnurr in New York, and Ann Saphir in Bismarck, North Dakota; Editing by Andrea Ricci)

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Comments (5)
sorestloser wrote:
Anytime the government sets a policy that causes oil futures to go up is a bad one.

Aug 30, 2011 3:43pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
JimsZ wrote:
The worst thing the FED can do is pump more dollars into the economy. The whole reason everyone’s confidence is broken is because the gas pumps and commidity costs do nothing but rise. How is it going to stimulate the economy to be paying $6/gallon or more for gas?

Who exactly benefitted the last 2 times the FED eased monetary policy? Did anyone get a newly created job or a raise? I know my income was cut 3 yrs ago and hasn’t went up since. The only thing it did was allowed the banks to throw everyone out of their house with the FED picking up the troubled/junk assets away and get paid for it, getting the big banks off the hook! Next thing ya know the FED will be buying out non-paying credit card accounts and car loans – but those same banks with little to lose still won’t give us reasonable credit card rates! Yes, this will really spur the economy won’t it? I’m guessing some large banking excutives are going to be getting a really really fat raise next year!

Aug 30, 2011 5:33pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
JimsZ wrote:
I’d say the best thing the FED can do for the economy is to stay out of it – they’ve already blown their chances, why should we wait until 3 strikes to tell them they’re OUT

Aug 30, 2011 8:58pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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