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Fed takes new tack to avoid U.S. economic slump

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1 of 2. Christopher J. McGrath works in the Eurodollar pit at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) September 21, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Jim Young

WASHINGTON | Wed Sep 21, 2011 7:55pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday warned of significant risks to the already weak U.S. economy and launched a new plan to lower long-term borrowing costs and bolster the battered housing market.

The U.S. central bank said it would sell $400 billion of short-term Treasury bonds to buy the same amount of longer-term U.S. government debt, its latest attempt to kickstart growth that slowed to a crawl over the first half of the year.

Apparently spooked by the central bank's dismal outlook for the economy, U.S. stocks sold off. The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed down nearly 3 percent.

Prices for long-term government debt rose, pushing yields lower -- a sign the measures were more aggressive than some investors had expected. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note dropped as low as 1.856 percent, the lowest in more than 60 years.

"Recent indicators point to continuing weakness in overall labor market conditions, and the unemployment rate remains elevated," the Fed said in a statement after a two-day meeting. "There are significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets."

In offering a fresh approach to spur the economy and lower unemployment, the Fed ignored top Republicans on Capitol Hill who had pressed the central bank to refrain from action.

In addition to rebalancing its portfolio, the Fed intensified its efforts to shore up the housing market by pledging to reinvest proceeds from maturing housing-related debt it holds back into the mortgage market.

Analysts said the Fed's actions might not have a great impact, even if they did lower long-term interest rates.

"The cost of borrowing simply isn't the problem," said Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics in Toronto. "Businesses don't have the confidence to invest and half of all mortgage borrowers don't have the home equity needed to refinance at lower rates."

Still, faced with a lofty 9.1 percent jobless rate and an escalating sovereign debt crisis in Europe, Fed officials felt they needed to do what they could to try to breathe more life into the sluggish U.S. recovery.

The economy grew at less than a 1 percent annual rate over the first half of the year and analysts have warned of a heightened risk of recession.

With Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reluctant to stay on the sidelines, his activism has become a punching bag for politicians as an election year nears. Top Republican lawmakers wrote to Bernanke this week urging the central bank to resist further economic interventions, echoing criticism voiced by Republican presidential candidates.

The portfolio retooling plan stops short of an outright expansion of the Fed's holdings -- sometimes referred to as quantitative easing -- of the type that has drawn harsh criticism domestically and internationally for sowing the seeds of inflation and debasing the dollar.

Some analysts however expect the move will be one in a series of steps the Fed takes to help the economy. The Fed could cut the rate it pays banks for reserves parked at the central bank, which might free up lending, or promise not to raise rates until unemployment drops to a certain level.

By shifting its bond holdings into longer maturities, the Fed is trying to push long-term interest rates lower, which hopefully will spur mortgage refinancing and borrowing by businesses and consumers.

Not all policymakers were on board with the Fed's latest move. The same three officials that had dissented against a decision in August to bolster a low interest rate pledge also opposed Wednesday's move.

Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer at PIMCO, the world's biggest bond fund, said the combination of dissents and a gloomier outlook pointed to a growing policy divide.

IN GOOD COMPANY

The central bank said it will buy $400 billion in securities with maturities of six to 30 years by the end of June 2012, selling an equal amount of debt maturing in three years or less.

The Fed is not alone in its concerns. The Bank of England on Wednesday indicated it was ready to pump more money into the weakening British economy. Norway's central bank signaled it might refrain from rate increases for longer than previously expected.

The Fed had already embarked far down one of the most aggressive monetary easing paths on record. It cut overnight interest rates to near zero in December 2008 and then moved to more than triple its balance sheet through a series of bond purchases.

After its last meeting on August 9, the Fed said it expected to hold rates at rock-bottom levels at least until the middle of 2013, drawing the trio of dissents.

Critics claim the monetary easing campaign has failed to produce results and warn it could actually cause damage by fueling inflation and debasing the dollar.

"We have serious concerns that further intervention by the Federal Reserve could exacerbate current problems or further harm the U.S. economy," Republican congressional leaders said in their letter to Bernanke, which they released on Tuesday.

The central bank's policies have also become a topic on the presidential campaign trail. Texas Governor Rick Perry, a leading Republican candidate, said any further Fed money printing would be almost "treasonous."

(Additional reporting by Jason Lange and David Lawder in Washington; Editing by Tim Ahmann and Andrew Hay)

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Comments (37)
BeReel41ns wrote:
I cannot believe how much influence this political appointee has, and his stimulus has brought nothing but sorrow to small businesses and our society. On the other hand, the banks have had more than their fair share to blow throughout the course of his perverse actions. His next stimulus will be a nail in the coffin to the middle class and below. Hopefully, our elected officials will stand up to the madness and put the clamps or the cuffs on this arrogant tyrant. He is not the best our democracy has to offer–

Sep 20, 2011 11:15pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
daple56 wrote:
His next stimulus will be a small step back from the brink. What else would you want him to do? There is no inflation. Every European economist is hoping Bernanke will follow through. More stimulus will help out the global economy. Wake up! Ben is not being arrogant. It’s the only thing we can do.

Sep 21, 2011 2:02am EDT  --  Report as abuse
Pllc15 wrote:
Never heard of such a thing for the Fed to encourage spending by lowering interest rates to make hoarding your cash unattractive. I’d spend more if I had a fair return from higher interest rates on the cash I have on hand now. But if spending eats into my principle, no thanks; I’ll continue to hoard in order to protect it. Fed policy has a double edge sword where interest rates are not commensurate with the riskier alternatives in the stock and bond markets. In a recession no one in his right mind is in the mood to bet on equity investments not just yet.

Sep 21, 2011 4:24am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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