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For Americans, recovery feels like recession: study

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A worker carries a packet of concrete mix at a partially built residential site in Los Angeles, California April 7, 2011.  REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson

A worker carries a packet of concrete mix at a partially built residential site in Los Angeles, California April 7, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Lucy Nicholson

WASHINGTON | Mon Oct 10, 2011 3:08pm EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - No wonder many Americans feel as if the economy never recovered at all.

The incomes of U.S. workers, adjusted for inflation, fell even more rapidly since the rebound began in the summer of 2009 than during the recession itself, according to a new study.

The findings from research conducted by two former Census Bureau economists offer insight into the sluggish nature of the recovery. The U.S. economy relies on consumer spending to fuel around two-thirds of total output.

The study, conducted by Gordon Green and John Coder and published by Sentier Research, found median annual incomes adjusted for inflation dropped 6.7 percent between June 2009 and June 2011, more than double the 3.2 percent drop experienced during the recession.

This knocked real median annual household income down to $49,909 in June 2011 from $55,309 in December 2007, when the recession began. Essentially, American households continued to lose ground even though growth had resumed.

Economic growth in the first half of 2011 has been particularly disappointing, advancing at less than a 1 percent annual rate. In the second quarter, consumer spending rose at only a 0.7 percent pace, the weakest since the fourth quarter of 2009.

President Barack Obama, whose reelection prospects could hinge on a stronger labor market recovery, has proposed a $447 billion stimulus program aimed at cutting unemployment. The U.S. jobless rate, which peaked at 10.1 percent in October 2009, has been stuck above 9 percent for the past five months.

The research indicates the risk of deflation, which the Federal Reserve has fought off with aggressive monetary policy, has been even more pronounced than previously thought.

While falling prices sound like a good thing, a downward spiral in costs and salaries can lead to a prolonged period of contraction, say economists.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke recently signaled the central bank might be forced to act if inflation or inflation expectations fell substantially.

(Reporting by Pedro Nicolaci da Costa; Editing by James Dalgleish)

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Comments (4)
Sensibility wrote:
“Incomes fell faster in the recovery than they did during the recession.”

Wow, what a recovery! Thanks, Obama.

Obama dubbed the summer of 2010 the “Recovery Summer”. When that didn’t pan out, he tried the same play in 2011. He wanted ownership of the economy, he got it.

Oct 10, 2011 3:59pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
LEEDAP wrote:
This is case where a study confirms what most everybody knows. We hear that the income gap keeps getting wider. Rich people always seem to be getting richer, unfortunately now, they are the only ones who are.

Question: Is debt reduction the answer?

My answer is no because that would reduce the money in circulation.

But we have to find a way to stimulate job growth while keeping the debt from consuming future growth. One way is to invest in our schools, hospitals, and public transportation and to pay for it with a tax on the rich who got that way with our labor, and our consumption.

Oct 10, 2011 4:04pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
USAPragmatist wrote:
@Sensibility, I have a challenge for you….Please explain logically in a step by step manner with specific policy implementations that occurred during the Obama Admin that would explain your conclusion.

Oct 10, 2011 5:48pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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