Diabetes forecast to hit one in 10 adults by 2030

Mon Nov 14, 2011 11:18am EST

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(Reuters) - One in 10 adults will have diabetes by 2030, posing a huge challenge to healthcare systems around the world, according to a report on Monday.

The number of people living with the disease is expected to soar to 552 million by 2030 -- equating to three new cases every 10 seconds -- up from 366 million in 2011, unless urgent action is taken, the International Diabetes Federation said.

The vast majority of diabetics have Type 2 disease -- the kind linked to poor diet, obesity and lack of exercise -- and the problem is spreading as people in the developing world adopt more Western lifestyles.

Diabetics have inadequate blood sugar control, which can lead to serious complications like heart disease and stroke, damage to the kidneys or nerves, and to blindness. Worldwide deaths from the disease are now running at 4.6 million a year.

"In every country and in every community worldwide, we are losing the battle against this cruel and deadly disease," said Jean Claude Mbanya, president of the federation, which represents over 200 national associations.

Many older classes of diabetes drugs are now available as cheap generics, but global drugmakers -- including Sanofi, Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk -- aim to introduce new classes of drugs that could further extend treatment options.

Global sales of diabetes medicines totaled $35 billion last year and could rise to as much as $48 billion by 2015, according to research firm IMS Health, driven by increased prevalence and treatment, especially in countries such as China, India, Mexico and Brazil.

(Reporting by Ben Hirschler; Editing by Jon Loades-Carter)

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Comments (3)
anne123 wrote:
“The vast majority of diabetics have Type 2 disease — the kind linked to poor diet, obesity and lack of exercise — and the problem is spreading as people in the developing world adopt more Western lifestyles.”

Why isn’t more attention spent on a solution involving diet, obesity, and exercise. Increasing the Rx drug availability should only be a small part of the solution. Hello Doctors! Speak to your patients about lifestyle changes!!

Nov 14, 2011 12:47pm EST  --  Report as abuse
alicewan wrote:
The governments of the world and most especially the united states need to act quickly and change the recommended ideal diet. It is not “poor” diet that is causing this but the “ideal” “healthy” diet recommended by our govt agencies and the medical establishment.
People follow this diet to eat lots of whole grains (carbs by any other name) creating addictions and those vulnerable people burn out their pancreas just in time to earn lots of money for big pharma and the grain growers and manufacturers who use this poison and sell it as healthy. We should be protesting in the streets over this. People are dying. Every family has one or more of these diabetics. Medication if needed may be needed but the main thing we all need to do to stop this epidemic is to cut the carbs. Determine your tolerance level and if you are diabetic, do not listen to your doctor, nurse and dietician if they tell your to eat lots of carbs. This is like giving poison to a diabetic!

Nov 14, 2011 2:47pm EST  --  Report as abuse
Amanda_G_Harp wrote:
With diabetes mellitus type 2 numbers skyrocketing, it behooves the scientific community to determine what will curb this trend. Obesity is one of the leading contributors in cases of type 2 diabetes. Anyone who has struggled with his/her weight knows there are a multitude of psychological factors at play. I’m working on understanding one piece of this complex puzzle: the experiences of individuals whose partners/spouses undermine weight loss. It has been such an eye-opening experience to hear from women and men whose partners undermine—from mild complaints about healthy food to abusive language and acts. I hope to eventually learn enough to develop a couples-level intervention to address this issue. I believe partner/spousal support is one key to interrupting this epidemic. [For more info, you can Google PUBS-WL, the survey I’m developing to assess for partner undermining of weight loss.]

Nov 14, 2011 2:48pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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