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Euro zone agreement only partial solution: IMF

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International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s Economic Counsellor Olivier Blanchard presents the World Economic Outlook at the IMF Headquarters in Washington September 20, 2011.    REUTERS/Stephen Jaffe/IMF/Handout

International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s Economic Counsellor Olivier Blanchard presents the World Economic Outlook at the IMF Headquarters in Washington September 20, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Stephen Jaffe/IMF/Handout

TEL AVIV | Sun Dec 11, 2011 5:09pm EST

TEL AVIV (Reuters) - An agreement reached by European countries for deeper economic integration was a step in the right direction but not a complete solution for the euro zone's debt crisis, International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist Olivier Blanchard said on Sunday.

"I'm actually more optimistic than I was a month ago, I think there has been progress," Blanchard told the Globes business conference in Tel Aviv.

"What happened last week is important: it's part of the solution, but it's not the solution."

He did not say what further steps were needed.

European leaders agreed in Brussels on Friday to draft a new treaty for deeper euro zone economic integration, although Britain, the region's third-largest economy, refused to join the 17 euro states and nine other EU countries in the fiscal union.

Asked whether diverse statements from policymakers in Europe were causing volatility in markets, Blanchard said: "A lot of the volatility is coming from statements from Europe, showing the range of opinions and inability to get to a logical decision process."

EU leaders also agreed euro zone states and others should provide up to 200 billion euros ($270 billion) in bilateral loans to the IMF to help tackle the crisis, with 150 billion euros coming from countries in the euro currency.

"The commitment to give us 200 billion euros makes a major difference in the sense that we can now go out and talk to other countries and say, 'the Europeans have given us money, can you help?," Blanchard said.

"Whether this gives us the whole bazooka or not, I hope so."

Asked by Reuters on the sidelines of the conference whether Britain's decision to isolate itself was right for its economy, he said: "I think that's an issue for the Europeans to decide."

Adding a tone of skepticism regarding the treaty's chances of success, Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said the most important thing that happened this week is not "this bungled European deal," but the release of data that showed a slowing trend of growth in China, the world's number two economy.

"The problem in Europe, this isn't really a debt crisis, it's a crisis about the structure of leadership ... Europe needs to organize itself properly and show proper leadership," he said.

"Everything around the world is being driven by some idiotic statement from some policymaker in the EU."

But he added that now might be the best time in 20 years to invest in Europe, saying, "Never let a good crisis go to waste."

O'Neill and Blanchard had diverging forecasts for growth in the United States next year.

"I think 2012, in the end, will not be as good as 2011," IMF's Blanchard said. "Part of it is that 2011 came out a bit better than expected. I'm not sure this will be repeated."

O'Neill disagreed, saying he was optimistic on the U.S. economy and thinks growth will exceed 3 percent this quarter.

"I think that corporate America is in an exceptionally competitive position," he said.

(Reporting by Tova Cohen and Ari Rabinovitch; Editing by David Hulmes)

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Comments (4)
FBreughel1 wrote:
Mrs. Merkel has done an outstanding job. EU deficits have sunk to 3 % of EU GDP already and EU fiscal discipline is echoed by all euro member states. EU banks will be disciplined too: Money is to support the economy, not the other way around. Much work needs to be done but the framework and commitment is there. No doubt it will add energy to the process.

It is unfortunate that the UK self-inflicted it’s isolation. I doubt France/Germany wanted the UK to decline signing, but an clear agenda was set and work to be done. All countries knew. Far worse, Cameron has shown considerable lack of interest to press further mitigation against risks of bailing out downgraded UK banks in the future. If anything happens to the City of London banking system – just anything – the UK tax payer is most likely going to suffer the full brunt of that. And with the average UK household already deep in personal debt, this is not a very comforting situation.

Dec 11, 2011 11:22am EST  --  Report as abuse
Intriped wrote:
At least the British folks will not have to pay for Portugal, Spain etc while the Germans will be paying for all of the weaker nations. The British can not afford it at this time.

Dec 11, 2011 12:50pm EST  --  Report as abuse
Intriped wrote:
The British did the right thing for the people. Why would a country let themselves be led by a failed group of nations after all? London City is not exactly on the way out, nor has their been talk of default etc. So why would a country that is not on the verge of default but not necessarily the pearl of the world want to have its own taxpayer bail out half of Europe on Germany’s terms?

Dec 11, 2011 1:03pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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