Sponsored Links

Banks downgrade threat remains despite ECB funds: S&P

A sculpture showing the Euro currency sign is seen in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt December 8, 2011. REUTERS/Alex Domanski

A sculpture showing the Euro currency sign is seen in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt December 8, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Alex Domanski

FRANKFURT | Fri Dec 23, 2011 10:07am EST

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The half a trillion euros the European Central Bank pumped into the financial system buys hard-hit banks valuable time but will not in itself protect them from threatened rating downgrades, one of Standard and Poor's top executives said.

The ratings firm put almost the entire euro zone and some of its biggest banks, including Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, Societe Generale and UniCredit, on a downgrade warning this month.

In a telephone interview with Reuters on Friday, S&P's Managing Director of its Financial Institutions division, Scott Bugie, said this week's unprecedented injection of three-year loans by the ECB was a positive step.

But it would not solve the banks' key problem of carrying too much debt.

"The move in itself will not lead to any improvement in (banks') credit ratings," Bugie said.

"The operation is a big deal. It's half a trillion euros of three-year money at an ultra-low rate. It is not solving the fundamental issues though... It's kicking the can a long way down the road rather than just a little bit but in the end it is still kicking the big old can down the road."

While the ECB remains heavily reluctant to ramp up its purchases of troubled euro zone states' debt - a move many economists feel may be the only way to get to grips with the region's crisis - it has underscored its readiness to provide limitless funding to ensure banks do not go under.

Bugie said this week's move showed the ECB was committed to solving the crisis, and although it pushed the potentially problematic interlinkage between debt-laden banks and sovereigns to new levels, it provided some much needed breathing space.

"The ECB action doesn't change the fundamental picture but it does buy valuable time and it will be taken into account when we do our analysis to resolve the creditwatch actions.

"It deepens the symbiosis between the sovereigns and the banks, the passing of the risk back and forth. It also adds to the big question of how the governments and the central banks will exit."

S&P is not expected to release its eagerly awaited verdict until January on debt ratings for the 15 euro zone countries it placed on review, two independent European government sources told Reuters on Friday.

With the rating agency also currently having over half of Europe's banks on a negative outlook and many of those on what it calls its 'watch negative', meaning a near-term downgrade is likely, Bugie added that 2012 was set to be a turbulent year.

"We are looking for a rough ride in 2012, the first quarter will be very tough."

"For Italy it will really be a test (due to big sovereign issuance due)," he said.

(Reporting by Marc Jones; Editing by John Stonestreet)

We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/
Comments (3)
jaham wrote:
Who cares what the ratings agencies say these days? They didn’t do their job when it mattered most, now they use the current economic turbulence to vy for relevancy.

Just like when they downgraded US treasury debt and our borrowing costs continued to drop thereafter.

What a bunch of clowns.

Dec 23, 2011 10:23am EST  --  Report as abuse
scythe wrote:
@ jaham – perceptive

(quote) “now they use the current economic turbulence to vy for relevancy”

Dec 24, 2011 7:03am EST  --  Report as abuse
S&P is correct that nothing has been done by the US and EU to deal with the issues of growth. The banks have loans for huge hoards of cash, but operating expenses and finance charges will reduce these funds to nothing. Some very disturbing reports about US debts and growth rates have appeared, so the US and EU financial situation is much worse than previously thought. Some indices are pointing to big reductions in the size of the US economy in 2012. Furthermore, the US has engaged in Enron-style accounting to hide liabilities that could come to light in 2012 and cause further deterioration in America’s economic situation. S&P may be understating the case and may need to prepare for more downgrades than it has suggested to this point.

Dec 24, 2011 3:20pm EST  --  Report as abuse
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.