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Poll: Republican Romney tops Iowa, Santorum surges

Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney delivers remarks in the Gold Room at the Hotel Blackhawk in Davenport, Iowa, December 27, 2011. REUTERS/Jeff Haynes

Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney delivers remarks in the Gold Room at the Hotel Blackhawk in Davenport, Iowa, December 27, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Jeff Haynes

WASHINGTON | Wed Dec 28, 2011 6:27pm EST

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican presidential frontrunner Mitt Romney has clinched a lead in the Iowa caucuses vote next week and Rick Santorum is surging, according to a new poll commissioned by CNN and Time magazine.

Romney, the former Massachusetts governor whose unsuccessful presidential run in 2008 took a heavy hit when he lost Iowa, was at 25 percent of the vote, 3 points ahead of Texas congressman Ron Paul.

Santorum, a former Pennsylvania senator and social conservative, has moved into third place, earning the vote of 16 percent of Iowa voters surveyed by the news organizations six days before the caucuses kick off the 2012 election cycle on January 3.

Santorum's strong standing is a blow to the fortunes of Paul who had been leading in many Iowa polls.

"We've always felt like we could trust the people of Iowa," Santorum told CNN in an interview.

In recent weeks, party watchers have wondered which candidate would win the votes of Iowa's many evangelical voters.

The Republican candidates are competing for their party's nomination to challenge Democratic President Barack Obama in an election in November next year.

Santorum received the endorsement of one of the state's top Christian leaders, Bob Vander Plaats of The Family Leader group.

The poll surveyed 457 registered Republicans who are likely to attend the caucuses. Paul's campaign counts as key to its strength its ability to attract Democrats and independents, who can participate in the caucuses if they enroll in the Republican Party on January 3.

In the CNN interview, Santorum criticized Paul's record as a legislator.

"Ron doesn't have a very long record of actually passing anything in Washington, D.C.," Santorum said.

(Reporting By Samuel P. Jacobs)

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Comments (4)
AlkalineState wrote:
Santorum? This is like the Christmas that keeps on giving. The Santorum surge is on. Frontrunner number five in the making. GOP, please send Santorum into the general election. Come on. What are you, chicken? Just nominate him.

Dec 28, 2011 6:36pm EST  --  Report as abuse
ThinkFirst1 wrote:
So, the bizarre Iowa caucuses will measure crossover Democrat and so-called Independent votes in a process that is supposed to select a REPUBLICAN nominee?

Does anyone else read that and say “STUPID!”?

What is wrong with the Republican Party leadership that they allow this?

Oh, and next we will go to NH, which started the stupidity of “open primaries” (they also started State-run lotteries).

Talk about doubling-down on dumb.

It appears that if Paul wins, or does well he cannot claim significant Republican support (of course he rejected the Republican Party and even dissed Ronald Reagan in the past – and were he honest would be running as a Libertarian).

If Romney wins, his second time there, and having spent big $$$ – he also cannot claim Republican support because the caucus is not only Republicans.

So the Iowa caucuses measure what that is of value to conservative Republicans as they seek a nominee who represents their values?

Also, there is another Iowa poll and it shows Paul – Romney – Perry (Santorum is way down the list) – so one has to be careful to know who is being polled and how the questions are being asked.

One also needs to know the probability that a candidate can deliver his/her vote on caucus-circus day.

Dec 28, 2011 7:00pm EST  --  Report as abuse
SadieMay wrote:
Not much weight given to the CNN poll here: http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fivethirtyeight/primaries/iowa

I’m inclined to agree.

“…Romney has clinched a lead…” is less than accurate: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_primary-1588.html

Dec 28, 2011 7:09pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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