Oil prices gain after Iran warning

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An employee holds a gas pump to refill a car at a petrol station in Budapest January 11, 2012. REUTERS/Bernaadett Szabo

An employee holds a gas pump to refill a car at a petrol station in Budapest January 11, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Bernaadett Szabo

LONDON | Mon Jan 16, 2012 4:05pm EST

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil futures rose on Monday on growing tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran, after the Islamic state told its Gulf Arab neighbours not to make up any shortfall caused by an embargo on its crude oil exports.

Saudi Arabia, the world's top exporter, said on Monday that could lift its production the United States pressures nations to stop importing oil from the Islamic Republic.

"Iran is the main topic still by some 2 million barrels per day 'almost immediately'.

Brent crude futures rose 76 cents to close at $111.20 a barrel, after touching an intra-day high of $111.67. U.S. crude rose 99 cents to $99.69 a barrel, with trading activity very light due to a U.S. public holiday.

The latest move from Iran comes as top Asian buyers of Iranian oil -- China, Japan and South Korea -- tour alternative Middle East suppliers while in the market with the new warnings against other Arab producers," said Andy Sommer, oil market analyst with EGL in Switzerland. "We have strong wordings from Iran in the last couple of days".

Saudi Arabia on Monday expressed doubts over Iran's claim it could block the main oil shipping route out of the Gulf and made clear it was ready to pump more oil after sanctions threatened to cut Iranian sales of crude.

The comments follow a warning from Tehran that any move to replace Iranian oil on the markets would "not be perceived as friendly," the country's OPEC governor told a daily newspaper.

Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said in an interview with CNN on Monday the world's No. 1 oil exporter -- the only OPEC member with significant unused capacity -- could increase oil production by about 2 million bpd "almost immediately" from current levels, noting it wants oil prices to stabilize at around $100 a barrel.

"The Iranian situation has taken a new twist," said JBC Energy's David Wech in a note to clients. "While the focus had been on Europe ... it now appears that Asian buyers will be the first to give in to U.S.-led pressure and forego the purchase of Iranian crude.

"But this is a risky game as the region is the most import-dependent in the world, attracting over 16 million bpd."

Despite the strong support from geopolitical jitters, worries about the euro zone capped gains. A mass downgrade of nine euro zone countries on Friday brought into sharp relief the challenges faced by the region.

OPEC, in its latest monthly report, echoed the 'pessimism' about the region's economic prospects and cut its 2012 world oil demand growth forecast by 10,000 bpd to 1.06 million bpd. <OPEC/M>

In the United States, many markets were closed for the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday.

EUROPEAN WOES

OPEC's cut came as pressure piles on Athens to reach a deal with private creditors to help it reduce its debt ahead of a repayment in March.

"You need to watch what will happen with the talks over the Greek debt because they broke down Friday. That could be more significant than the S&P downgrade," Olivier Jakob from Petromatrix said.

Concern over shipments from two key African exporters, Nigeria and Sudan, also lent support to prices.

Nigerian trade unions called of strikes after president Goodluck Jonathan announced a cut in petrol prices to 97 naira ($0.60) a litre on Monday, partially reversing the effects of an end to fuel subsidies which had more than doubled the pump price to 150 naira from 65 naira.

"Although the Nigerian strike has been called off ... there are still underlying issues with Iran which are keeping prices reasonably buoyant at the moment," said Tony Machacek of Jefferies Bache in London.

Sudan said on Sunday it had started confiscating some oil exports from South Sudan that it believes it is owed to meet unpaid transit fees.

Looking ahead to Tuesday, investors await Chinese data to gauge the outlook for growth in the world's second-largest oil consumer. According to a Reuters poll, China's economy is on track to slow for a fourth successive quarter as global demand slackened.

(Additional reporting by Manash Goswami in Singapore; editing by Keiron Henderson, Diane Craft)

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Comments (10)
harleyshadow wrote:
Nothing like taking advantage of a situation. See all Iran has to do is make a claim that they will do something and the world jumps. When it is a war of money the big oil jumps on the band wagon… Raise the price before anything happens. Counting chickens before they hatch. So if nothing happens then what happens to the money.. Will they drop the price of oil as a way of saying sorry… Don’t think so. Look with this price hike the oil spill was just paid for. So at the end the big oil lost nothing. If something does happen then they use it to find another way of shipping and raise the price higher again. They still don’t take a hit. Everyone else feels the pinch but insurance and oil. Funny how that works out…

Jan 15, 2012 11:33pm EST  --  Report as abuse
toby3061 wrote:
Something is wrong in a world where a blowhard from a third-rate country can open his mouth and cause everyone to pay higher gas prices…

Jan 16, 2012 11:49am EST  --  Report as abuse
jdl51 wrote:
Another crisis in a string of crises used to keep the price of oil artificialy high. Consumption is dropping, especially in the U.S. Oil realistically should be in the $60 a barrel range, which is still profitable for the producers. And why are U.S. pump prices tied to the price of Brent when we get very little oil from that region. The market is rigged to benefit the oil industry at the expense of the consumer.

Jan 16, 2012 12:12pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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