The dome of the Capitol is reflected in a puddle in Washington February 17, 2012.REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Another debt ceiling debacle could sink the economy

Last year's Congressional debt standoff hurt consumer confidence more than the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Betsey Johnson and Justin Wolfers write. This time could be worse.  Read more at Counterparties  

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CBO sees FY12 budget deficit of $1.08 trillion: sources

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WASHINGTON | Tue Jan 31, 2012 9:59am EST

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. budget deficit will hit $1.08 trillion this year, the Congressional Budget Office will forecast on Tuesday, up from a previous estimate of $973 billion, according to sources familiar with the soon-to-be-released report.

The $1.08 trillion deficit estimate for fiscal 2012, which began on October 1, would be down from the fiscal 2011 budget deficit of about $1.3 trillion.

CBO, the non-partisan budget analyst for Congress, also forecast a $585 billion budget deficit for fiscal 2013, which begins on October 1. But that figure assumes the expiration on December 31 of the across-the-board George W. Bush-era income tax cuts, which reduce revenues collected by the Treasury Department.

Congress is expected to extend at least some of those tax cuts by the end of this year.

If the CBO estimate for this year's deficit proves accurate, fiscal 2012 would be the fourth consecutive year of federal budget deficits topping $1 trillion.

(Reporting By Richard Cowan; Editing by Paul Simao)

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Comments (2)
USAPragmatist wrote:
‘CBO, the non-partisan budget analyst for Congress, also forecast a $585 billion budget deficit for fiscal 2013, which begins on October 1. But that figure assumes the expiration on December 31 of the across-the-board George W. Bush-era income tax cuts, which reduce revenues collected by the Treasury Department.’

This proves that the main driver, about 50%, of our current deficits was caused by this insane policy. Got to love the GOP and their ‘starve the beast’ mentality.

Jan 31, 2012 10:57am EST  --  Report as abuse
At the report briefing, CBO Director Doug Elmendorf said that the longer Congress waits to determine the best course of action, the worse off the economy gets. Elmendorf also said that huge increases in taxes or deep spending cuts would severely hamper economic growth in the near future.

The best policy Congress could choose to implement would be the Bowles-Simpson deficit reduction plan. Not only would the plan both raise revenue and cut spending, but it would also simplify the tax code, improve fairness, increase U.S. competitiveness abroad, and spur economic growth. http://bit.ly/noTDPF

Jan 31, 2012 2:02pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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