The dome of the Capitol is reflected in a puddle in Washington February 17, 2012.REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Another debt ceiling debacle could sink the economy

Last year's Congressional debt standoff hurt consumer confidence more than the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Betsey Johnson and Justin Wolfers write. This time could be worse.  Read more at Counterparties  

Wealth and Investing Center

Snap analysis: U.S. job creation accelerates broadly

People wait in line while they attend the ''JobEXPO'' job fair in New York, January 25, 2012. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

People wait in line while they attend the ''JobEXPO'' job fair in New York, January 25, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Eduardo Munoz

WASHINGTON | Fri Feb 3, 2012 9:19am EST

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. job creation is accelerating throughout the economy, giving President Barack Obama's reelection bid a boost and increasing the chances the jobless rate could improve faster than the Federal Reserve expects.

U.S. nonfarm employers added 243,000 jobs to payrolls last month, the government said on Friday. That was well above expectations and the gains were distributed broadly across the economy, from manufacturing to retail and construction.

Also, the jobless rate posted a surprise fall to 8.3 percent, its lowest since February 2009.

Following are some key details from the report:

* Job creation is spreading more widely into different sectors of the economy. The "diffusion index" for private payrolls jumped to 64.1 in January from 62.4 in December. That's the highest reading since April 2011. A reading above 50 means more industries are increasing employment than decreasing employment.

* The improvement in the jobs market was evident in both the

employer and household surveys. The jobless rate fell as the household survey showed employment surging by 631,000, even after taking into account yearly adjustments to population counts that are done every January. That far outstripped a 250,000 increase in the number of people in the workforce, which in itself is a bullish sign. The household survey tends to be more volatile than the payroll survey, which is more closely watched by economists.

* Still, the drop in the jobless rate to 8.3 percent leaves unemployment closer to the bottom end of the central forecast range made by Fed policymakers for this year. That could strengthen the argument of inflation-fearing hawks within the Fed that the central bank should not embrace new measures to boost the economy too quickly. The Fed said last week the unemployment rate would end this year between 8.2 percent and 8.5 percent. However, the rate remains well above policymakers' views for full employment.

* The January report can be tricky because of the Labor Department's adjustments to population counts, which makes it harder to make apples-to-apples comparisons for the household survey. But even adjusting for these changes, the government said the participation rate, a ratio of the amount of the population in the labor force, was unchanged. That makes the drop in the unemployment rate all the more positive.

* Employers laid off only 1,500 couriers and messengers during the month, confounding expectations the number of jobs in that category would decline much more sharply during the month. Analysts had speculated government statisticians were having trouble seasonally adjusting courier jobs because consumers might be shopping more online than in previous years.

* Sticking to a trend that has emerged since the economic recovery began in 2009 following a deep recession, the Labor Department revised upward its estimate for payrolls during previous months. Some 60,000 more jobs were created during November and December than initially estimated.

* The aggregate weekly hours index - a measure of the total work effort - climbed 0.2 percent from a month earlier.

* Factories added 50,000 workers to payrolls, a one-year high that was much more than expected and shows U.S. manufacturers are still a key support for global production.

* Also, retailers added 10,500 workers and construction employment gained by 21,000. It is possible that the mild U.S. winter boosted employment in those sectors last month.

(Corrects second bullet point to show workforce grew, not shrank)

(Reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Neil Stempleman)

We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/
Comments (13)
Harry079 wrote:
“employment remains about 6.1 million below its pre-recession level. There are no jobs for three out of every four unemployed people and 23.7 million Americans are either out of work or underemployed.”

Well that just about says it all don’t it. Considering about that same number of 6.1 million people have since 2008 retired.

I can imagine that many of the people that went on SS since 2008 might be working part time just to make ends meet. The average SS check is only around $800 a month which really shows how many people are struggling just to survive.

Feb 03, 2012 7:51am EST  --  Report as abuse
RBMjr wrote:
The December job gains weren’t “messengers” — they worked in package delivery. They probably weren’t “couriers” either. Most probably helped sort and load.

Feb 03, 2012 8:28am EST  --  Report as abuse
Ian1 wrote:
You gotta love government numbers lol.

They are the only ones who can turn a $1 bill into a $100 bill. And do the same for inflation, GDP, debt, etc.

Feb 03, 2012 8:29am EST  --  Report as abuse
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.