UPDATE 1-Brazil soy crop seen at 71 mln T - Agroconsult

Wed Feb 8, 2012 3:22pm EST

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SAO PAULO Feb 8 (Reuters) - Brazil's 2011/12 soybean crop now being harvested is estimated at 71 million tonnes, down 3 percent from the previous forecast due to the effects of drought, agricultural commodities forecasters Agroconsult said on Wednesday.

Agroconsult has teams touring Brazil's grain belt and some early data has prompted the forecasters to lower their outlook due to the effects of the drought that has been hitting the country's southern farm belt.

"Since the first production estimate of our Crop Rally 2012 on Jan. 12, weather conditions in the south deteriorated," Agroconsult's lead analyst Andre Pessoa said.

The change in the forecast was based on data from the more southerly production areas in the states of Rio Grande do Sul, Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul.

No. 3 soybean producer Rio Grande do Sul's output was lowered to 7.75 million tonnes, down 22 percent from 9.88 million seen in January and 33 percent from a record 11.62 million harvested last year.

No. 2 soy producer Parana state is now expected to harvest 12.1 million tonnes, down 9 percent from January's forecast and 22 percent from the record 15.42 million tonnes harvested in the state last year.

Brazil harvested a record 75.3 million tonnes last season. (Reporting by Roberto Samora and Reese Ewing; Editing by Dale Hudson and David Gregorio)

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