TEXT-Fitch takes rating actions on Spanish covered bonds

Tue Feb 21, 2012 12:12pm EST

Feb 21 - Fitch Ratings has taken rating actions on the Cedulas
Hipotecarias (Spanish legislative covered bonds, CH) issued by Caja Laboral
Popular, Banco Espanol de Credito S.A. (Banesto), Banco Santander (Santader),
Banco Mare Nostrum S.A., Cajamar Caja Rural, Sociedad Cooperativa de Credito
(Cajamar), Banco Guipuzcoano, Unnim Banc, S.A. (Unnim), Banco Popular Espanol
S.A., as follows:	
	
Caja Laboral Popular ('BBB+'/Negative/'F2'), CH downgraded to 'AA-'/ Rating
Watch Negative (RWN) from 'AA+'/RWN Banesto ('A'/Negative/'F1'), CH downgraded
to 'A' from 'AA-'/RWN, removed from RWN Santader ('A'/Negative/'F1'), CH
downgraded to 'AA-'/RWN from 'AA+'/RWN, Banco Mare Nostrum
('BBB'/Negative/'F3'), CH affirmed at 'AA-' Cajamar ('BBB+'/Negative/'F2'), CH
downgraded to 'AA-'/RWN from 'AA', placed on RWN Banco Guipuzcoano ('BBB+'/
'F2'), CH downgraded to 'AA-'/RWN from 'AA'/RWN, maintained on RWN to reflect
the RWN on the issuer's Issuer Default Rating (IDR) Unnim ('BB+'/Stable/'B'), CH
'A-' rating placed on RWN Banco Popular Espanol ('BBB+'/'F2'), CH downgraded to
'AA-'/RWN from 'AA'/RWN, maintained on RWN to reflect the RWN on the issuer's
IDR 	
 he rating actions follow the agency's downgrade of Spain to 'A'/Negative/'F1'
on 27 January 2012 and the subsequent rating actions on some of the issuing
institutions (see "Fitch Takes Rating Actions on Six Eurozone Sovereigns",
"Fitch Comments Further on Downgrade of Spain to 'A'; Outlook Negative", "Fitch
Downgrades Caja Laboral to 'BBB+', Outlook Negative" and "Fitch Downgrades
Santander to 'A'/Negative Outlook Following Sovereign Action", available at
www.fitchratings.com). All RWN also reflect the recalculation of OC pending
redetermination of refinancing costs and receipt of full and updated data set
form the issuers.	
	
As an exception to its covered bonds rating methodology, Fitch continues to cap
the rating on a probability of default (PD) basis of the CH to the Long-term IDR
of the Spanish Sovereign (see "Fitch Downgrades 4 Spanish Covered Bond
Programmes and 1 Portuguese Covered Bond Programme", dated 14 October 2011 on
www.fitchratings.com). In the agency's view, the lack of liquidity mitigants in
the Spanish CH template does exacerbate the risk of non payment on the CH in
case of an issuer defaulting just before a bullet payment is due. Therefore, the
timing of an issuer default may not occur sufficiently apart from the due date
of a CH to allow the administrator to gather enough cash flows from the natural
amortisation of the cover pool to redeem principal on a hard bullet maturing CH.
However, in the agency's opinion, to avoid a default on the CH, an intervention
by the Spanish authorities is likely due to the importance of the CH as a
funding tool for Spanish financial institutions.	
	
The CH ratings on a PD basis have been revised as follows:	
	
Caja Laboral Popular, Discontinuity Factor (D-factor) of 41%, CH's rating on a
PD basis of 'A' (cap applied at the rating of Spain) from 'AA-'.	
Banesto, D-factor of 41.5%, CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A' (cap applied at the
rating of Spain) from 'AA-'.	
Santader, D-factor of 40.8%, CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A' (cap applied at
the rating of Spain) from 'AA-'.	
Banco Mare Nostrum, D-factor of 41.3% CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A',
unchanged.'	
Cajamar, D-factor of 41.2%, CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A' (cap applied at the
rating of Spain) from 'A+'.	
Banco Guipuzcoano, D-factor of 41.9%, CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A' (cap
applied at the rating of Spain) from 'A+'.	
Unnim, D-factor of 41.5% CH's rating on a PD basis of 'BBB', unchanged	
Banco Popular Espanol, D-factor of 41.3%, CH's rating on a PD basis of 'A' (cap
applied at the rating of Spain) from 'A+'.	
	
Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com. The ratings above
were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been
compensated for the provision of the ratings.	
	
Applicable criteria, 'Covered Bonds Rating Criteria', dated 12 August 2011,
'Covered Bonds Counterparty Criteria', dated 14 March 2011, 'Counterparty
Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions', dated 14 March 2011,
'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions: Derivative
Addendum', dated 14 March 2011 'EMEA Residential Mortgage Loss Criteria' dated
16 August 2011, 'EMEA Criteria Addendum - Spain - Mortgage Loss and Cash Flow
Assumptions', dated 11 August 2011 are available on www.fitchratings.com.	
	
Applicable Criteria and Related Research:	
Covered Bonds Rating Criteria	
Covered Bonds Counterparty Criteria	
Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions	
Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions: Derivative Addendum	
EMEA Residential Mortgage Loss Criteria	
EMEA Criteria Addendum - Spain - Mortgage Loss and Cash Flow Assumptions

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