Romney catches Santorum in Ohio dead heat

WASHINGTON Sun Mar 4, 2012 10:25am EST

U.S. Republican presidential candidate  Rick Santorum speaks at Peachtree-Dekalb Airport atcampaign rally  in Atlanta, Georgia, March 1, 2012.    REUTERS/Tami Chappell

U.S. Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum speaks at Peachtree-Dekalb Airport atcampaign rally in Atlanta, Georgia, March 1, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Tami Chappell

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has surged into a dead heat with Rick Santorum in the Ohio primary, setting up a cliffhanger race on Tuesday, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Sunday.

The former Massachusetts governor and former senator from Pennsylvania are tied with 32 percent support from likely voters in the Ohio Republican primary, the most important of the 10 state nominating contests on "Super Tuesday" this week.

After his victory in Saturday's Washington state caucuses, Romney is gaining momentum going into Tuesday after trailing Santorum in recent polls in Ohio.

"This race could really go either way between now and Tuesday," said Ipsos pollster Chris Jackson.

"If Mitt Romney is able to close this out and win this race, that gives him a leg up in going all the way to the convention and winning the Republican nomination."

Ohio is a traditional bellwether state that could play a key role in deciding which Republican candidate challenges President Barack Obama in November's general election.

The poll showed Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, with 17 percent support, and Ron Paul, the congressman from Texas, with 6 percent support.

Asked whom they would back in a two-man race, 44 percent of respondents in the online survey said they would support Romney, while 43 percent said they would support Santorum.

Romney got a boost on Sunday when U.S. House of Representatives Majority Leader Eric Cantor endorsed his presidential bid. Cantor, a Virginia congressman and the No. 2 Republican in the House, praised Romney's economic plan.

"Mitt Romney is the only candidate in the race who has put forward a bold, pro-growth, pro-jobs plan for the future," Cantor said on NBC's "Meet the Press" television show.

"He is the guy I believe that will be our nominee and we will have a clear choice as a country as far as the vision forward in growing this economy with Mitt's plan versus that of the president's record," Cantor said.

Romney and Paul are the only Republicans who qualified for the presidential ballot in Virginia, which is among those that will hold its primary on Tuesday. A Romney victory there and in other key Super Tuesday states could give him a virtual lock on the nomination.

Other important states with contests on Tuesday include Georgia, Tennessee and Idaho.

HEAD VS. HEART

The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed voters were responding to the two candidates for different reasons.

Among those who went with Romney, 44 percent said they backed him because they believed he had a better chance at beating Obama in November, and 37 percent said their main reason for choosing him was his ability to improve the still-tepid economy.

Santorum, a strict conservative on social issues such as abortion and gay rights, attracted voters who were interested in his principles. Of the respondents who supported him, 56 percent said they did so because he shared their values and beliefs.

"We sort of see that split in the Republican Party between people who are looking for a candidate that believes the same things they do versus the candidate who will perform the best" nationally, said Jackson, comparing the difference to a decision between the "head" and the "heart."

"The most interesting thing that's going to come out of Ohio is seeing which way the Republican (party) goes as a group."

Santorum expressed confidence on Sunday about his prospects in Ohio and other states on Tuesday.

"I think we're going to do well" in Tennessee and Oklahoma and "very well" in Ohio and North Dakota. "And I think we'll come in second place in a lot of places, too," he said in an interview on the "Fox News Sunday" television program.

"I think, again, this race narrows to two candidates over time. And that's where we have our opportunity," Santorum said.

Romney, a multi-millionaire and former private equity executive, has played up his business experience as he stumped in Ohio, where unemployment is falling but still high.

"We need a president who knows the economy to fix the economy," he said on Saturday at an event in Beavercreek.

The Ohio poll, conducted between March 1-3, included a sample of 917 likely voters in the Republican primary election.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online surveys, but this poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points for registered voters.

(Additional reporting by Jeremy Pelofsky and Will Dunham; Editing by Alistair Bell and Paul Simao)

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Comments (12)
breezinthru wrote:
After reading this article, I was drawn back to the observation that poll results mentioned that 56 percent of those who supported Santorum did so because he shared their values and beliefs.

It’s disturbing to think that such an extreme religious and social conservative can garner enough support to even be a presidential contender in 2012 America, but that wasn’t what drew my attention back to that particular sentence regarding values and beliefs.

What is truly astonishing is that 44% of voters who support Santorum answered that polling question with a different response!

If this was a multiple choice question, I’d like to know what the other possible answers were.

Perhaps:

A. because he shares my values and beliefs.
B. because he is a Republican and and not a Mormon.
C. because he is a Caucasian and not a Mormon.
D. other.

The 44% must have chosen B or C because no one could honestly answer D.

Mar 04, 2012 8:43am EST  --  Report as abuse
SanPa wrote:
Romney would be the more accomodating partner to the ambitions of Putin and Xi than Santorum.

Mar 04, 2012 9:49am EST  --  Report as abuse
wrpa wrote:
These are the realities;
a.) Santorum has no chance of being nominated; Romney will be nominated’
b.) The Republican Party has swung to the extreme right and, in the process has lost independent and women voters with its ridiculous social agenda’
c.) Obama will thoroughly trounce Romney who will be unable to dislodge the extremist albatross from his neck. Romney and the Republicans will come to realize that they should have gone down the moderation road, avoided Christian and social issues and dwelt on the economy and job creation.
d.) Santorum will be blamed for being the Judas goat.

Mar 04, 2012 11:00am EST  --  Report as abuse
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