Mexico's Pena Nieto keeps wide lead in race: polls

MEXICO CITY Mon Jun 18, 2012 8:20am EDT

Enrique Pena Nieto, candidate of the opposition Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), gestures during a news conference in Mexico city June 14, 2012. REUTERS/Edgard Garrido

Enrique Pena Nieto, candidate of the opposition Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), gestures during a news conference in Mexico city June 14, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Edgard Garrido

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MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Mexico's presidential front-runner Enrique Pena Nieto has maintained a wide lead over his rivals with only two weeks remaining until the July 1 election, an opinion poll showed early on Monday.

The latest survey by polling firm Buendia & Laredo for newspaper El Universal showed Pena Nieto, candidate of the opposition Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), dipping 0.8 percentage points to 37.0 percent from a previous poll published on June 4.

Pena Nieto was under rising pressure earlier this month from leftist rival Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, whose campaign was boosted by student-led opposition to the prospect of victory by the PRI, which dominated Mexico for most of the 20th Century.

Support for 2006 runner-up Lopez Obrador fell 0.4 points to 23.5 percent, the latest poll showed. Josefina Vazquez Mota, from the ruling National Action Party (PAN), saw support for her candidacy dip 1.0 point to 21.4 percent.

The survey was the first for the newspaper since a final televised debate, held on June 10, between the candidates.

Nearly a third of respondents said they believed the telegenic Pena Nieto had won the debate, which passed off largely without incident. Nearly a fifth saw Lopez Obrador as the victor, just ahead of the PAN's Vazquez Mota.

Support for the conservative PAN has been hurt by a mounting death toll in the government's war on drug cartels, and a failure to create enough jobs for the growing population.

President Felipe Calderon pledged to root out the increasing menace from drug gangs when he took office in December in 2006, sending in the army to bring them to heel.

Since then the violence has spiraled, and more than 55,000 lives have been lost in turf wars between the gangs and their clashes with security forces.

STREET PROTESTS

A breakdown of the poll results showed that the number of undecided voters had risen slightly and that the only candidate to gain ground was Gabriel Quadri of the New Alliance Party, who is way back in fourth. He polled 3 percent support.

Stripping out undecided voters, Pena Nieto had the backing of 43.6 percent of the electorate, good for a lead of nearly 16 points over Lopez Obrador, El Universal said.

The 45-year-old PRI candidate has led polls for more than two years, and his support only began to wobble noticeably during a recent series of street protests against the PRI, which ruled Mexico between 1929 and 2000.

Opponents have played on the party's reputation for corruption and authoritarianism to stir up misgivings about a PRI victory, but latest poll results suggest the damage to Pena Nieto's candidacy has been contained.

Results of a separate survey by polling firm BGC published on Sunday showed Pena Nieto maintaining support of 42 percent. Lopez Obrador slipped back just behind Vazquez Mota, who was 13 points behind the PRI favorite.

The Buendia & Laredo poll for El Universal surveyed 1,600 eligible voters between June 11 and June 14. It had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points, the newspaper said.

(Reporting by Dave Graham; Writing by Simon Gardner Editing by W Simon)

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Comments (2)
CarlosNoveron wrote:
Reuters, you are a disgrace for journalism. The Guardian has confirmed several proofs of Peña’s collusion with Latin America’s most powerfull broadcasting company Televisa. Polls didn’t state nearly a third saying he won. You are a big disgrace, our democracy is about to suffer the worst punch in its history, PRI and the mexican electoral insitute are about to consummate the most impudent and cynical electoral fraud ever seen in the third world.

Jun 18, 2012 10:01pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
alfred226 wrote:
Inland Taipan you are such an ignorant, as long as theres demand for drugs in the us, Mexico will continue producing it, tell your stupid addicts to stop buying it and things will change, dont ever come to mexico, we dont need ignorant people like you.

Jun 18, 2012 11:07pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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