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FOREX-Euro falls across the board as Spain fears intensify

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Fri Jul 20, 2012 9:46am EDT

* Falls after Valencia says seeking debt help
    * Euro hits record low vs Aussie, Canadian, Kiwi dollar
    * Commodity currency strength expected to continue

    By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
    NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - The euro tumbled broadly on
Friday after Spain's Valencia region said it will seek central
government help to repay its debts, raising concerns the euro
zone's fourth largest economy may have  to ask for a full-scale
international bailout.  
    As a result, the single euro zone currency plunged to record
lows against the Australian, Canadian, and New Zealand dollar.
It also hit multi-month lows against the yen, the Norwegian and
Swedish crowns.
    The news intensified concerns that Spain, the euro zone's
fourth largest economy, may not be able to avoid a full-blown
international bailout, with 10-year yields trading above the 7
percent level that is seen as unsustainable. 
    "The market got a little bit of a curveball thrown at it
with the Valencia news," said Matthew Lifson, senior currency
trader and market analyst at Cambridge Mercantile Group in
Princeton, New Jersey. "We were drifting and everything was
looking okay and this news comes out and it just gives people
more reason to sell the euro." 
    A statement saying euro zone finance ministers formally
approved Spain's bank bailout failed to offset the gloom.
 
    The euro fell as low as $1.2184, just above a
two-year low of $1.2162 hit last week. It was last at $1.2189,
down 0.7 percent, declining for a third straight session and
posting losses of about 0.5 percent this week.
    The single currency hit record lows against the
higher-yielding Australian dollar at A$1.1716, the
Canadian dollar at C$1.2300, and New Zealand dollar at
NZ$1.5191. 
    The euro zone's common currency hit a seven-week low against
the Japanese yen of 95.67 yen, a four-month low
against the Norwegian crown of 7.4010 crowns and an
11-1/2 year low of 8.4350 crowns against the Swedish crown
.
    A statement by the ECB saying Greek government bonds are not
eligible as collateral didn't help the euro either, with the
currency hitting session lows against the dollar on the news.
 
    Earlier in the session the euro dipped on a German newspaper
report that quoted a member of a party in the coalition
government as saying euro zone countries should comply with
agreed reforms or leave the bloc, traders said. 
    The comments repeated the position taken earlier this year
by the same lawmaker, Gerda Hasselfeldt, of the Bavarian
Christian Social Union.
     Besides concerns about the euro zone's sovereign debt
crisis, the euro has taken a hit since the European Central Bank
lowered its deposit rate, which acts as the floor for euro zone
money market rates, to zero earlier this month.
    Two-year bond yields have dipped into negative territory in
core triple-A rated Germany and the Netherlands. The negative
interest rates could prompt investors who are bearish on the
euro's outlook to shift money elsewhere to secure some return on
capital, market players said.
    "If you believe we have a long period of highly
accommodative policy in Europe you might as well go on a search
for yield elsewhere," said Simon Derrick, head of currency
research at Bank of New York Mellon.
    
    COMMODITY CURRENCY STRENGTH
    Many analysts said the fact commodity currencies were
rallying against the euro despite concerns about Chinese growth
is slowing was a sign that weakness in the single currency could
continue.
    The potential for another round of asset buying from the
U.S. Federal Reserve may help support commodities and the
Australian dollar, analysts said.
    Speculation the Fed may opt for another round of monetary
easing to boost growth, which would increase the supply of
dollars in the system, slowed the euro's decline against the
U.S. currency.
    The ECB deposit rate cut and subsequent drop in money-market
rates has also stirred talk of euro-funded carry trades, in
which investors effectively borrow low-yielding currencies to
invest in higher-yielding currencies and assets.
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