Oil up on China data, but Europe concerns limit rise

NEW YORK Tue Jul 24, 2012 5:18pm EDT

An employee holds a gas pump at a gas station of Hyundai Oilbank in Seoul June 15, 2012. REUTERS/Choi Dae-woong

An employee holds a gas pump at a gas station of Hyundai Oilbank in Seoul June 15, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Choi Dae-woong

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NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil edged up on Tuesday in choppy trading as signs that China's manufacturing sector was improving lent support while weak euro-zone data and the region's spreading debt crisis limited gains.

The gains came a day after Brent dropped more than 3 percent and U.S. crude slumped 4 percent -- the second straight lower settlements for both contracts.

China's manufacturing output in July grew at its fastest pace in nine months, putting the HSBC Flash China manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) up at 49.5 in July, close to the 50 level that divides expansion from contraction.

That highest reading since February indicated improvement yet kept the level below 50, keeping in play the possibility of more government actions to boost the economy in the world's No. 2 oil consumer.

Nagging weakness in Europe limited gains for oil prices. Business surveys showed the euro zone's private sector shrank in July for a sixth month, as manufacturing wilted and Germany's private sector shrank for the third straight month.

Oil prices "are finding support from the preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index for the manufacturing sector in China ... pointing to growing economic activity in the second-largest oil consumer country," said a Commerzbank research note.

"The preliminary purchasing managers' indices from the eurozone, on the other hand, remain persistently at recession level and are thus likely to counter any stronger price recovery."

Brent September crude managed a 16-cent gain to settle at $103.42 a barrel, having swung from $102.53 to $104.48, inside Monday's trading range.

U.S. September crude rose 36 cents to settle at $88.50 a barrel, having traded from $87.43 to $89.09, with only the day's low getting outside of Monday's trading range.

Total crude trading volumes remained below both 30-day and 250-day averages for Brent and U.S. crude.

Brent and U.S. crude last week posted weekly gains of more than 4 percent, even with Friday's losses as Spain's debt problems helped halt a string of seven higher oil settlements.

The sharp drops on Monday resulted from concerns about Europe on indications Spain may need more help keeping its banks afloat.

Spain on Tuesday paid the second highest yield on short-term debt since the euro's birth, another sign of a growing belief that the country will need a full sovereign bailout.

The euro fell to a two-year low against the U.S. dollar and the dollar index .DXY strengthened, helping to check dollar-denominated oil's intraday rallies.

Violence in Syria, tensions between Iran and the West over Tehran's nuclear program, and North Sea production disruptions provided most of the lift for oil prices during the seven-session rally, according to analysts and traders.

U.S. OIL INVENTORIES

U.S. crude stocks rose 1.3 million barrels last week, the industry group American Petroleum Institute said in its weekly report on Tuesday, surprising analysts who expected a decline. <API/S>

Gasoline stockpiles rose 2.3 million barrels and distillate stocks rose 2.6 million barrels, the API said.

U.S. crude oil inventories had been forecast to drop 700,000 barrels, with distillate stocks having risen 1.1 million barrels and gasoline stocks slipping 600,000 barrels, a Reuters poll taken ahead of weekly inventory reports showed. <EIA/S>

The government's inventory report from the Energy Information Administration will follow on Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT).

U.S. gasoline demand continued to lag a year earlier and fell versus the previous two-week period, according to a MasterCard report issued ahead of the API data.

Gasoline futures slumped nearly 6 cents on Tuesday and extended losses in post-settlement trade in reaction to the API data.

U.S. heating oil, the benchmark distillate, settled 5.5 cents higher, but turned lower after the API data.

Some traders and analysts attributed the moves in products futures prior to the API report to market players selling the gasoline and moving to heating oil ahead of the August futures contract expirations on July 31.

Also noted was a brief fire at a Midwest refinery that sent Chicago cash ultra-low sulfur diesel differentials up 5-and-1/2 cents.

MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL

After a week of battles between President Bashar al-Assad's forces and rebels in Damascus, fighting intensified in Aleppo, a more populous commercial city that had seemed immune to Syria's 16-month-old upheaval.

"The risks of escalation of the conflict in Syria, we think, will continue to limit the extent of any bearish sentiment," ANZ analysts said in a note on Tuesday.

Moderating recent threats from Iranian officials about shutting a vital oil shipping lane, a military commander was quoted on Monday as saying Iran would not close the Strait of Hormuz as long as it was able to use the lane itself.

European Union and Iranian diplomats were slated to meet on Tuesday in Istanbul for a second round of technical-level talks on Iran's nuclear program.

(Additional reporting by Gene Ramos in New Yor, Peg Mackey and Simon Falush in London and Jessica Jaganathan in Singapore; Editing by David Gregorio and Bob Burgdorfer)

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Comments (1)
Marcuscassius wrote:
The cost of producing oil hasn’t risen in 50 years. the cost of transporting oil has risen only amrginally. There is virtually no reason for oil to be above $74 a barrel, adjusted for inflation. the type of manipulation going on points only to the need to nationalize oil and an economic threat. Exxon\Standard\Shell should be dissolved.

Jul 24, 2012 10:51am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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