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TEXT-S&P revises Crown Castle International outlook
Overview
-- U.S. tower operator Crown Castle increased reported EBITDA by
about 12% for the 12 months ended June 30, 2012.
-- Leverage is currently around 7x and we believe Crown Castle has the
ability to maintain leverage at no higher than 7x on an ongoing basis.
-- We are affirming our 'B+' corporate credit rating on the company.
-- We are revising the rating outlook to positive from stable, indicating
a one-third or greater probability of an upgrade over the next year.
Rating Action
On Aug. 1, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services affirmed its ratings on
Crown Castle International Corp., including the 'B+' corporate credit rating,
and revised our outlook on the company to positive from stable.
We affirmed our 'B+' rating on Crown Castle Operating Co. Inc.'s $3.1 billion
of combined credit facilities, including a $1 billion revolving credit, a $1.6
billion term loan B, and a $500 million term loan A. The '4' recovery rating
on the debt remains unchanged and indicates prospects for average (30%-50%)
recovery in the event of a payment default.
We affirmed our 'BB' rating on the secured notes at subsidiaries CC Holdings
GS V LLC and Crown Castle GS III Corp. The '1' recovery rating on the notes
remains unchanged and indicates prospects for very high (90%-100%) recovery in
a payment default.
We affirmed our 'B-' rating on the unsecured debt at parent Crown Castle
International Corp. The '6' recovery rating remains unchanged and indicates
prospects for negligible (0-10%) recovery in a payment default.
Rationale
The outlook revision reflects our view that there is at least a one-third
probability of an upgrade of the company to 'BB-' from 'B+' over the next
year. Crown Castle has continued to increase EBITDA over the last 12 months
due to additional tenants on its wireless towers and price increases in its
existing contracts. This growth has enabled the company to achieve leverage of
7x, despite a $1.5 billion increase in debt since the end of 2011 to fund the
acquisitions of WCP and NextG. Our positive outlook reflects the fact that
Crown has the ability, absent a materially sized, debt-funded acquisition, to
maintain leverage no higher than 7x on an ongoing basis, which would support
an upgrade.
The ratings on Crown Castle reflect the company's aggressive financial policy,
given its historical use of debt and excess cash flow to fund large stock
repurchases. As a result, adjusted leverage is high, at about 7x for the 12
months ended June 30, 2012, including our adjustments to add the present value
of operating leases to debt. We anticipate that the company will benefit from
tower leasing revenue growth over the next year due to price increases in its
contracts, and the addition of new tenants on its tower sites, which should
contribute to an increase in EBITDA in the mid- to high-single-digit area for
2012 and 2013. However, given the company's aggressive financial policy, we
believe that it may use excess cash flow to repurchase stock, rather than
repay debt, especially since it has no near-term maturities.
Crown Castle is one of the largest independent tower operators in the U.S.,
with a total portfolio of approximately 24,000 towers, in addition to various
distributed antennae systems. However, in our view, the "highly leveraged"
financial risk profile overshadows the company's "strong" business risk
profile.
The business generates cash flows that have a high degree of stability, given
the long-term nature of the wireless carrier contracts and high renewal rates.
In addition, there has been a trend toward longer term contracts in this
business and Crown Castle's customers have little to no flexibility to
terminate early without fully honoring the contract. Typical of the tower
leasing industry, the high operating leverage of the business also contributes
to extremely healthy tower gross profit and overall unadjusted EBITDA margins,
which were 74.6% and 62.6%, respectively, for the second quarter of 2012. A
high percentage of the business' EBITDA can translate into discretionary free
cash flow, given very modest maintenance capital expenditures. However, we
expect Crown Castle to use a significant amount of its discretionary cash
flows to continue to repurchase its common stock.
Crown Castle benefits from continued subscriber growth in the wireless
communications industry, which has expanded both in terms of absolute
subscribers and per-subscriber minutes of use. These trends and the need for
more coverage and capacity to accommodate demand have translated into
additional tenants leasing space on existing towers, a trend known as
colocation. Moreover, the major carriers have upgraded their networks to
provide higher speed wireless data capabilities, which in many cases has
required additional tower equipment. The regional carriers also have
increasingly added to their coverage areas to offer plans competitive with the
national players, which, in turn, have boosted tower leasing revenues.
Crown Castle also benefits from stable monthly cash flows from carriers with
substantial financial resources, including Verizon Wireless and AT&T Mobility.
These long-term contracts have very high renewal rates and average annual rent
increases of 3%. Moreover, the towers have the capacity to support multiple
tenants, providing additional upside to cash flows per tower, particularly
because adding tenants to existing towers involves minimal incremental
operating expense.
Liquidity
We consider Crown Castle's liquidity "adequate." Sources of liquidity include
availability of $1 billion under the revolving credit facility, coupled with
expectation that the company will generate about $730 million of cash from
operations in 2012. We expect that these sources of liquidity will provide at
least 1.2x coverage of uses. We also expect Crown Castle will continue to
repurchase common stock, as well as incur capital expenditures for land
purchases, tower improvements, and new tower builds. We expect the company
will continue to have at least 15% minimum EBITDA cushion under its 6x total
leverage covenant, which does not step down until March 2014.
Recovery analysis
For the complete recovery analysis, see the recovery report on Crown Castle,
to be published shortly on RatingsDirect.
Outlook
The positive ratings outlook largely reflects the high degree of revenue
visibility inherent in the wireless tower business model. An upgrade could
occur if the company were able to demonstrate that it can maintain leverage of
no higher than 7x on an ongoing basis, absent a materially sized, debt-funded
acquisition. Even if the company were to pursue an acquisition that
temporarily increased leverage to the mid-7x range, we could still raise the
ratings if we expected subsequent growth to lead to leverage improvement below
7x.
A revision in the outlook back to stable is likely if leverage rises above 8x,
which could occur if the company were to buy a large tower portfolio, such as
the T-Mobile USA assets, which, according to numerous press reports, are up
for possible sale by Deutsche Telekom AG. Alternatively, if the company's
financial policy were to become even more aggressive, including the adoption
of a substantially larger share repurchase program or paying a special
dividend of about $2.75 billion, either of which is debt-funded, such actions
would likewise prompt a revision in the outlook back to stable.
Related Criteria And Research
-- U.S. Telecom And Cable Companies' Maturities Are Manageable, But
Lower-Rated Issuers Face Some Liquidity Challenges, July 23, 2012
-- U.S. Telecom And Cable Companies, Strongest To Weakest, July 13, 2012
-- U.S. Telecom And Cable Ratings Should Be Stable Overall During Weak
Economic Recovery, July 13, 2012
-- A Matter of Policy: U.S. Telecom Companies Maintain High Dividend
Payouts, But For How Long?, May 30, 2012
-- A Matter of Policy: U.S. Cable And Satellite-TV Companies Ratchet Up
Shareholder Payouts, May 16, 2012
-- Top 10 Investor Questions: U.S. Telecom and Cable Industries, May 10,
2012
-- Assessing The Four-Notch Rating Gap Between The Two U.S.
Direct-To-Home Satellite Video Operators, May 9, 2012
-- Liquidity Descriptors For Global Corporate Issuers, Sept. 28, 2011
Ratings List
Crown Castle International Corp.
Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action
To From
Crown Castle International Corp.
Corporate Credit Rating B+/Positive/-- B+/Stable/--
Ratings Affirmed
Crown Castle International Corp.
Senior Unsecured B-
Recovery Rating 6
CC Holdings GS V LLC
Senior Secured
Local Currency BB
Recovery Rating 1
Crown Castle GS III Corp.
Senior Secured
Local Currency BB
Recovery Rating 1
Crown Castle Operating Co.
Senior Secured B+
Recovery Rating 4
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