Obama's lead over Romney grows despite voters' pessimism

WASHINGTON Wed Aug 8, 2012 8:15pm EDT

U.S. President Barack Obama greets members of the audience after delivering remarks at an election campaign fundraiser in Stamford, Connecticut, August 6, 2012. REUTERS/Jason Reed

U.S. President Barack Obama greets members of the audience after delivering remarks at an election campaign fundraiser in Stamford, Connecticut, August 6, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Jason Reed

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the future but voters do not seem to be holding it against Democratic President Barack Obama, who slightly expanded his lead over Republican rival Mitt Romney this month, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll says.

Three months before the November 6 presidential election, nearly two-thirds of Americans think the country is moving in the wrong direction. Only 31 percent say it is moving in the right direction - the lowest number since December 2011.

But Obama's lead over Romney among registered voters was 49 percent to 42 percent, up slightly from the 6-point advantage the president held a month earlier over the former Massachusetts governor.

The results of the monthly poll - in which a majority of voters agreed that the economy is the most important problem facing the United States - suggest that the Obama campaign's efforts to paint Romney as being out of touch with the concerns of middle-class Americans could be preventing the Republican from gaining momentum in the race.

"The overall 'right track, wrong track' is worse than last month - the news hasn't been great lately," said Ipsos pollster Chris Jackson. "But Obama seems to be, to some extent, inoculated against some of the worst of that."

The telephone poll of 1,168 adults, including 1,014 registered voters, was taken from August 2 to August 6. During that period, the Labor Department reported that U.S. employers hired the most workers in five months but that the nation's jobless rate had risen to 8.3 percent from 8.2 percent.

Even so, in a reversal from July, registered voters thought Obama was stronger than Romney in dealing with jobs and the economy, and with tax issues.

The poll indicated that 46 percent of registered voters thought Obama was stronger on jobs and the economy, compared with 44 percent for Romney. And on tax matters, 49 percent saw Obama as stronger, compared with 38 percent for Romney.

In an advertising blitz that has been focused on a dozen politically divided states, Obama and his Democratic allies have been hammering Romney's record as a private equity executive at Bain Capital, accusing him of plundering companies and shipping jobs overseas.


The Obama team's ads also have questioned why Romney - who has an estimated fortune of up to $250 million - will not release more than two years of tax returns, and have suggested that Romney has paid far lower tax rates than most Americans.

"The Democrats' current strategy of just pummeling Romney on Bain and on the economy has been kind of a kitchen sink thing," Jackson said. "Even if it's not necessarily hurt Romney, it's given him no opportunity to build a lead."

Obama's new lead on the issue of jobs and the economy is particularly significant, Jackson said.

"That is the key issue in this race," he said. "For Romney to be able to make a convincing argument and to win the election, he's going to have to have a fairly significant lead over Obama on that measure."

Jackson said Romney - who has based his campaign on the notion that he would be better than Obama at dealing with the economy - likely needs to have at least a 5- to 8-point lead over Obama on the jobs and economy issue to win the election.

"There's certainly no case at the moment that Romney's building some sort of momentum toward victory here," Jackson said.

The Reuters/Ipsos survey, conducted over landline and cell phones, has a margin of error of 3 percent for all adults and 3.4 percent for registered voters.

(For the full poll, please click on the following link: here)

(Editing by David Lindsey and Vicki Allen)

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Comments (48)
Bunker555 wrote:
Pro-Romney Super Pacs with their negative attack ads may actually be helping Obama as he’s reverses the downtrend in poll numbers. No matter what lies the Karl Rove gang tells Romney supporters, his groups are hurting the GOP nominee.

Aug 08, 2012 10:55pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
TheNewWorld wrote:

I agree. If Romney wants to be successful, and if the Super Pacs want him to be successful, they have to attack Obama where he is weak. Highlight all of his 2008 promises, and each one that has failed. Run the facts with your attacks. Then you have to follow it up with what your exact plan is. I don’t think Romney has a plan, in which case he could be far worse than Obama. He could be what the country needs along with the middle class. If he wants to help the middle class he needs a strong energy plan. High gas prices have dealt a major blow to the poor and middle class, and it is something Obama is on record for being for.

Either way Obama has been masterful at redirecting Romney. Romney looks like an amateur.

Aug 08, 2012 11:13pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
Abulafiah wrote:
TheNewWorld wrote:
“Highlight all of his 2008 promises, and each one that has failed.”

Nobody really cares about that, and any attack there would help Obama. Everybody, except Republican party sheep knows that the Republican Congress has a policy of refusing to do anything useful. You would just be pointing the spotlight on that.

TheNewWorld wrote:
‘Either way Obama has been masterful at redirecting Romney. Romney looks like an amateur.’

Romney helped them a lot, because he is an amateur. He has far too many weaknesses, and all Obama has to do is highlight them.

His record as governor is lousy, one of the worst in the USA on economic growth and job creation – the exact things he is running on. His Romneycare is designed by the same guy who designed Obamacare, making any criticism look contradictory. His refusal to show tax returns makes him look dishonest. His lack of anything approaching a plan or specifics undermines everything he says. ‘Repeal and Replace’ means nothing when he can’t say what he will replace it with. Saying he will create a bundle of jobs means nothing when he can’t say how, and his record as governor shows him failing in practice.

Obama is not winning this. Romney is giving it to him. The only question is how big Obama’s lead will be.

Aug 08, 2012 11:49pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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