Fed stimulus plan spurs risk rally; dollar slips

NEW YORK Fri Sep 14, 2012 4:52pm EDT

1 of 2. Traders works at their desks at the Frankfurt stock exchange September 6, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Alex Domanski

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's aggressive new plan to spark the U.S. economy boosted risk assets on Friday, sending global stocks to a 13-month high and driving the dollar to a more than four-month low against the euro.

Brent crude oil rose to a four-month peak, the S&P 500 neared a five-year high and European shares rose to their highest levels in 14 months.

The Fed on Thursday said it would pump $40 billion into the economy each month until the jobs market shows sustained improvement. The aggressive action enhanced what was an already upbeat mood in financial markets since the European Central Bank announced plans to cut the borrowing costs of struggling euro zone members.

"Markets had expected more quantitative easing, but they hadn't expected Bernanke and the Fed to be as aggressive as they were," said Jeffrey Given, senior managing director and senior portfolio manager at John Hancock Asset Management in Boston.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Thursday cited the dire state of the U.S. labor market, saying it remains a "grave concern."

"The Fed made it sound as if even after the economy recovers, interest rates will remain low. More people are moving into risky assets because Ben is not going to pull the punch bowl away," Given said.

On Wall Street, stocks finished higher, with cyclicals and financials leading the way. An index of U.S. housing shares, aided by the Fed's plan to buy mortgage-backed securities, rose 2.7 percent.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 53.51 points, or 0.40 percent, to end at 13,593.37. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX climbed 5.78 points, or 0.40 percent, to 1,465.77. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC jumped 28.12 points, or 0.89 percent, to 3,183.95.

Brian Jacobsen, chief portfolio strategist at Wells Fargo Funds Management, LLC in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin, said the Fed's balance sheet could expand by 11 to 12 percent by the end of the year, monetary accommodation that could "translate into a move up in the S&P 500 stock index to the 1,505 area."

In bond markets, yields on 10-year Italian government bonds fell below 5 percent for the first time since late March as the Fed's announcement added momentum to a rally dating from late July.

In contrast, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note price fell 1-9/32, its yield rising to 1.87 percent from 1.73 percent late on Thursday as investors exited safe-haven debt in search of higher returns in riskier assets.

"A lot of good news out of Europe had already caused risk markets to rally going into the Fed meeting so the Fed's open-ended plan to buy mortgage-backed securities, its intent to keep rates low until mid-2015, and its strategy to keep monetary policy highly stimulative - even if the economy accelerated - was a pretty potent combination and threw fuel on the rally," said Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist for Prudential Fixed Income, with $330 billion in assets under management.

Euro zone finance ministers met in Cyprus on Friday, hoping to build on progress the bloc has made this month following plans announced by ECB President Mario Draghi and a German court's green light this week for the euro zone's ESM bailout fund.

European equities surged, with the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 rising 1.25 percent to 1,120.15. The MSCI index of global stocks .MIWD00000PUS jumped 1.6 percent to 340.03, near its highest level since August last year.


The dollar index .DXY fell 0.5 percent to near four-month lows at 78.903.

The dollar's broad decline left the euro at a four-month high above $1.31, the latest in a string of technical and psychological levels it has cut through this week.

"With Europe getting their act together (at least temporarily), the Fed flooding the market with cash, and China talking (about) stimulatory infrastructure projects, the three largest influences of market dynamics could be creating a bull market for at least the near term," said Neal Gilbert, currency strategist at GFT Forex.

Brent crude oil rose 79 cents to $116.67 a barrel by 1735 GMT after reaching a four-month peak of $117.95. The global North Sea benchmark was on track to end the week up more than 2 percent.

U.S. crude rose 68 cents to $98.99 a barrel after hitting a four-month high of $100.42. It was on track to close the week up 3 percent.

Base metals also rallied. Aluminum, copper, lead and zinc all jumped between 3 and 5 percent on hopes the Fed's move would bolster global demand for manufacturing and building materials.

Gold hit a 6-1/2-month high, putting it on course for a fourth straight week of gains and extending Thursday's 2 percent rise. Spot gold stood at $1.771.06 an ounce at 1822 GMT. <GOL/>

German bond yields hit an 11-week high on Friday as low-risk government bonds sold off after the Fed stimulus moves.

The yield on 10-year Italian bonds fell below 5 percent for the first time since March 26 and was down 4 basis points on the day at 4.99 percent. Equivalent Spanish yields stood at 5.82 percent.

(Additional reporting by Ana Nicolaci da Costa and William James in London; Editing by Leslie Adler and Dan Grebler)

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Comments (3)
Vuenbelvue wrote:
Great for the Squawk Box/Bloomberg News/Euro Banksters crowd but suicide for the rest of us. Audit the Fed and release the data.

Sep 14, 2012 8:40am EDT  --  Report as abuse
drpalms wrote:
The original whimsical look into the future in 1994 has become an incredibly accurate portrayal of many real events since then. A banking crisis and massive bailouts have already come to pass. The still unfolding scenario includes hyperinflation, collapse of the economy, a new global currency, domestic violence, U.N. “Peacekeeping” forces in the U.S., and the arrival of high-tech feudalism.

A pessimistic scenario of future events includes a banking crisis, followed by a government bailout and the eventual nationalization of all banks. The final cost is staggering and is paid with money created by the Federal Reserve. It is passed on to the public in the form of inflation.

Further inflation is caused by the continual expansion of welfare programs, socialized medicine, entitlement programs, and interest on the national debt. The dollar is finally abandoned as the de facto currency of the world. Trillions of dollars are sent back to the United States by foreign investors to be converted as quickly as possible into tangible assets. That causes even greater inflation than before. So massive is the inflationary pressure that industry and commerce come to a halt. Barter becomes the means of exchange. America takes her place among the depressed nations of South America, Africa, and Asia—mired together in economic equality. Politicians seize upon the opportunity and offer bold reforms. The reforms are more of exactly what created the problem in the first place: expanded governmental power, new regulatory agencies, and more restrictions on freedom. But this time, the programs begin to take on an international flavor. The American dollar is replaced by a new UN money, and the Federal Reserve System becomes a branch operation of the IMF/World Bank.
Electronic transfers gradually replace cash and checking accounts. This permits UN agencies to monitor the financial activities of every person. A machine-readable ID card is used for that purpose. If an individual is red flagged by any government agency, the card does not clear, and he is cut off from all economic transactions and travel. It is the ultimate control. Increasing violence in the streets from revolutionary movements and ethnic clashes provide an excuse for martial law. The public is happy to see UN soldiers checking ID cards. The police-state arrives in the name of public safety.

Eventually all private dwellings are taken over by the government as a result of bailing out the home-mortgage industry. Rental property is also taken, as former landlords are unable to pay property taxes. People are allowed to live in these dwellings at reasonable cost, or no cost at all. It gradually becomes clear, however, that the government is now the owner of all homes and apartments. People are living in them only at the pleasure of the government. They can be reassigned at any time.

Wages and prices are controlled. Dissidents are placed into work armies. There are no more autos except for the ruling elite. Public transportation is provided for the masses, and those with limited skills live in government housing within walking distance of their assigned jobs. Men have been reduced to the level of serfs who are subservient to their masters. Their condition of life can only be described as high-tech feudalism.

There is no certainty that the future will unfold in exactly that manner, because there are too many variables. For example, if we had assumed that there will not be a banking crisis, then our journey would be different. We would not see long lines of depositors or panic-buying in the stores or closing of the stock market. But we would still witness the same scenes of despair in the more distant future. We merely would have traveled a different path of events to get there. That is because the forces driving our society into global totalitarianism would not have changed one iota. We still would have the doomsday mechanisms at work. We would have the CFR in control of the power centers of government and the media. We would have an electorate which is unaware of what is being done to them and, therefore, unable to resist. Through environmental and economic treaties and through military disarmament to the UN, we would witness the same emergence of a world central bank, a world government, and a world army to enforce its dictates. Inflation and wage/price controls would have progressed more or less the same, driving consumer goods out of existence and men into bondage. Instead of moving toward The New World Order in a series of economic spasms, we merely would have traveled a less violent path and arrived at exactly the same destination,

Sep 14, 2012 4:31pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
minipaws wrote:
Get rid of the Fed. They are stealing our parents and grandparents retirement years by paying them no interest on their hard earned savings!

Sep 16, 2012 6:25am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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