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Iron ore seen steady this week with China shut

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Mon Oct 1, 2012 12:19am EDT

* China factory activity shrinks for 2nd month
    * Chian on public holiday Oct. 1-5

    By Manolo Serapio Jr
    SINGAPORE, Oct 1 (Reuters) - Spot iron ore prices are
unlikely to stray from current levels this week with top
importer China on a public holiday, with fresh evidence of
slower growth in the world's No. 2 economy likely to keep the
pressure on prices.
    Iron ore prices fell more than 22 percent in the third
quarter in their steepest quarterly drop ever, as China's
slowdown dented demand for steel and, consequently for the raw
material needed to make it.
    China's economy offered more evidence of a seventh straight
quarter of slowing growth on Monday, with an official survey of
factory managers remaining in contractionary territory for a
second straight month in September.
    China's official factory purchasing managers' index rose to
49.8 in September from a nine-month low of 49.2 in August, the
National Bureau of Statistics said, but remained below the
50-mark which separates expansion from contraction.
 
    But a week-long public holiday in China should keep market
activity limited, trapping prices at current levels.    
    "I don't expect to see much action this week in the spot
market given China's on holiday," said a Singapore-based trader.
    Benchmark iron ore with 62 percent iron content
.IO62-CNI=SI was unchanged at $104.20 a tonne on Friday,
according to data provider Steel Index.
    The price rose nearly 17 percent in September after five
consecutive months of decline, tracking a rebound in steel
prices spurred by hopes China's approval of 1 trillion yuan in
infrastructure projects would revive demand. 
    But the gain was not enough to offset losses in the past two
months, leaving iron ore with a 22.2 percent loss for the third
quarter, the biggest since the Steel Index began compiling its
data in 2008.
    Activity on the spot market for global seaborne iron ore
cargoes had thinned out since late last week, even ahead of
China's Golden Week break, with traders saying a majority of
Chinese steel mills had completed their restocking of the raw
material.
    
  Iron ore indexes
                                                                                   
                                    Last    Change   Pct Change
  PLATTS 62 PCT INDEX              106.5     +0.00        +0.00
  THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX     104.2     +0.00        +0.00
  METAL BULLETIN INDEX            106.46     -0.13        -0.12
 
                                                                                   
  Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
 
 (Editing by Himani Sarkar)
 (manolo.serapio@thomsonreuters.com; +65 6870 3884; Reuters
Messaging: manolo.serapio.reuters.com@reuters.net)
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