VEGOILS-Palm oil ends lower, industry data eyed

Mon Oct 8, 2012 6:21am EDT

* Palm oil's rebound limited to 2,503 ringgit -technicals
    * Malaysia delays decision on crude palm oil export tax
-official
    * Dalian's soybean oil falls to 4-month low after week-long
break
    * Coming Up: Malaysia Sept stocks, output on Wednesday

 (Updates prices)
    By Chew Yee Kiat
    SINGAPORE, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
closed down 2 percent on Monday as traders braced for rising
inventory levels, offseting bargain-hunting seen earlier in the
market after steep declines last week to a near three-year low.
    A monthly report by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) on
Wednesday could show September stock levels hitting a record
high, setting a bearish tone for fundamentals. 
    "The market has no specific direction to go yet after
falling so much," said a Singapore-based trader with a global
commodities house, referring to prices that fell to near 3-year
low and posted their third straight weekly loss last week.
    "We have the MPOB report for September's end-stock. The
market has been expecting the worst so if it is a bit better
than market expectations, that will help for a good rebound,"
the trader added.
    The benchmark December contract on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 2 percent to close at 2,368
ringgit ($785) per tonne, after trading in a range from 2,361 to
2,446 ringgit. 
    Total traded volumes stood at 36,000 lots of 25 tonnes each,
much higher than the usual 25,000 lots. 
    Technical analysis showed palm oil is expected to end its
rebound at or below 2,503 ringgit per tonne, and fall towards
2,230 thereafter, Reuters market analyst Wang Tao said.
    
    Palm oil investors are looking out for Malaysia export data
for Oct. 1-10, also due on Wednesday, after weaker-than-expected
numbers in September failed to alleviate concerns over high
stock levels.  
    The market received a temporary boost last week from a
possible Malaysian move to slash crude palm oil export taxes to
8-10 percent from 23 percent, but an official said on Friday the
decision had been delayed. 
    China's soybean oil futures fell to a 4-month low on Monday,
after trade resumed following a week-long holiday and in line
with steep losses on the Malaysian palm oil market last week.
 
    The most active January 2013 soybean oil contract 
on the Dalian Commodity Exchange closed 2 percent lower at 9,088
yuan per tonne, after going as low as 9,050 yuan, a level last
seen on June 5. 
    In a bearish sign for palm oil, Brent crude oil fell below
$111 per barrel on Monday on concerns that slower economic
growth would curb oil demand, but supply worries stemming from
tension in the Middle East helped check losses. 
    In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December
delivery edged down 0.4 percent in late Asian trade. 
    
  Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1014 GMT
                                                                               
  Contract        Month    Last   Change     Low    High  Volume
  MY PALM OIL      OCT2    2225   -23.00    2225    2260     278
  MY PALM OIL      NOV2    2314   -20.00    2311    2363    1588
  MY PALM OIL      DEC2    2368   -47.00    2361    2446   18807
  CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN3    6872  -334.00    6838    7020  480794
  CHINA SOYOIL     JAN3    9088  -190.00    9050    9204  405378
  CBOT SOY OIL     DEC2   50.95    -0.24   50.91   51.55   12947
  NYMEX CRUDE      NOV2   88.77    -1.11   88.27   89.88   22555
                                                                               
  Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
  CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
  Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
  Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
      
($1=3.0655 ringgit) 

 (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
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