Romney extends lead over Obama: Reuters/Ipsos poll

WASHINGTON Thu Oct 11, 2012 7:55pm EDT

1 of 5. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney speaks during a campaign rally at the U.S. Cellular Center in Asheville, North Carolina October 11, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican challenger Mitt Romney has extended his lead over President Barack Obama to 3 percentage points, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Thursday, ahead of a high-stakes debate between the two candidates' running mates.

Romney now leads the Democrat by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters in the online poll, with less than a month before the November 6 election. The Republican had a one-point lead over Obama in survey results on Wednesday, his first in more than a month.

Romney has been enjoying one of his best runs of the campaign after handily winning the first presidential debate last week, partially due to Obama's passive performance in that contest.

"The momentum is in Romney's direction right now," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

Vice President Joe Biden will look to recover some momentum for Obama's re-election bid when he faces off Thursday evening with Republican challenger Paul Ryan in the only vice presidential debate of the campaign.

The veteran Biden, an accomplished debater known for delivering withering attacks with a smile, will try to improve the outlook for the Democrats before Romney and Obama meet for a second debate Tuesday.

Ryan, chairman of the House of Representatives budget committee, will look to ward off aggressive moves from Biden while avoiding his own tendency to get mired in numbers.

Clark said Romney's rise in the poll comes from convincing undecided voters, not winning over Obama supporters. And there were signs that a large number of votes are still up for grabs.

Sixteen percent of registered voters said they could still change their minds about whom to vote for, including 28 percent of independents surveyed.

Seven percent of registered voters said they had already taken advantage of programs that allowed them to cast their ballots early, and an additional 27 percent said they planned to vote before Election Day.

The online survey of 1,092 likely voters and 1,312 registered voters was conducted between October 7 and 11. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points for registered voters and 3.4 for likely voters.

The Reuters/Ispsos database is now public and searchable here: tinyurl.com/reuterspoll

(Editing by Karey Wutkowski and Cynthia Osterman)

FILED UNDER:
We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/
Comments (49)
nirmasuma wrote:
US election are not decided by the total percentage of
votes polled by each candidate. The complicated and
non-uniform ‘winner-take-all’ rule makes the votes polled by
a candidate in swing states more weighty than those polled
in other party dominated States. One should therefore be
careful while interpreting national polling data.

Oct 10, 2012 12:46am EDT  --  Report as abuse
BuffaloGirl wrote:
The mind boggles hearing this poll result, given how Romney did a bait and switch. He has no integrity or courage of conviction. Honestly, I don’t know what is going to come out of his mouth next. But I doubt it will be the truth.

Oct 11, 2012 3:33am EDT  --  Report as abuse
salAlexander wrote:
Oh no! Are we about to replace a president who isn’t intimidated in his pursuit of green energy with a man who just built an elevator for his cars? How depressing! I just watched “Samsara” – and I can hear the over-consumers amongst us, licking their chops.

Oct 11, 2012 4:18am EDT  --  Report as abuse
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.