VEGOILS-Palm oil ends lower as analyst comments weigh

* Prices could drop further, help ease record stocks -top
analysts
* Palm oil neutral in 2,361-2,528 ringgit range -technicals
* Malaysia palm oil exports higher than month ago

(Updates throughout)
By Anuradha Raghu
KUALA LUMPUR, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
ended slightly lower on Tuesday after top industry analysts
projected weaker prices and as investors digested news that
export tax cuts will only take effect next year.
Palm oil prices have fallen by a fifth since the start of
the year, but they could drop further as stockpiles could reach
as much as 3 million tonnes by the start of 2013, swollen by
strong output and slowing exports, analysts said.

Adding to concerns over rising stocks was the government's
decision to implement palm oil export tax cut only in January.

"The market is still trying to get a grip on how big stocks
can get in Malaysia, as well as digesting news that the export
taxes are not going to come through until early January," said
ANZ agricultural commodity strategist Victor Thianpiriya.
"In the short term, this will probably depress prices a
little bit, as consumers would prefer to wait until January and
potentially source from Indonesia to bridge that gap."
At the close, the benchmark January contract on the
Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange fell 0.2 percent to 2,466
ringgit ($808) per tonne.
Total traded volumes stood at 40,889 lots of 25 tonnes each,
much higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
Technical analysis showed palm oil will be neutral until it
gets out of a range of 2,361-2,528 ringgit per tonne, said
Reuters analyst Wang Tao.
Palm oil stocks in Malaysia hit a record 2.48 million tonnes
in September, but strong export data in the first 15 days of
October could help support prices.
Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for Oct. 1-15 rose
13.1 percent to 769,534 tonnes from 680,112 tonnes last month,
cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said on Monday.

Another cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance
showed exports in the same period surged 16.3 percent to 768,550
tonnes.
In a bullish sign for palm oil, oil steadied above $115 on
Tuesday, underpinned by supply concerns after the European Union
slapped more sanctions on Iran, while ample supplies and hefty
stockpiles in top consumer the United States capped gains.
In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December
delivery inched up 0.8 percent in late Asian trade. The
most active January 2013 soybean oil contract on the
Dalian Commodity Exchange ended 1.5 percent higher.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1003 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL NOV2 2397 -10.00 2386 2450 367
MY PALM OIL DEC2 2435 +2.00 2410 2486 9179
MY PALM OIL JAN3 2466 -4.00 2443 2521 18735
CHINA PALM OLEIN JAN3 6926 +100.00 6862 6932 227924
CHINA SOYOIL JAN3 9138 +134.00 9042 9148 313738
CBOT SOY OIL DEC2 50.40 +0.41 50.01 50.74 8161
NYMEX CRUDE NOV2 91.83 -0.02 91.44 92.15 16778

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.052 ringgit)

(Additional reporting by Chew Yee Kiat; Editing by Nick Macfie)