Home resales slip, housing recovery still eyed

WASHINGTON Fri Oct 19, 2012 6:00pm EDT

A ''for sale'' sign is seen outside a home in New York June 19, 2012. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

A ''for sale'' sign is seen outside a home in New York June 19, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Home resales retreated in September from a two-year high, a reminder that America's housing sector is a long way from a full recovery despite recent signs of improvement.

Existing home sales fell 1.7 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.75 million units, matching the median forecast in a Reuters poll, data from the National Association of Realtors showed on Friday.

Housing has been a relative bright spot in the U.S. economy this year, and Friday's data did not point to a reversal in that trend. The reading for August was revised slightly higher to show resales at a 4.83 million-unit annual rate.

"While these numbers bounce around, there is no doubt that this is showing the housing market is improving," said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.

The median price for a home resale rose 11.3 percent from a year earlier to $183,900. The rise in prices appears due to both tight inventories and a downward trend in sales made under distressed conditions like foreclosures.

To support the economy, the U.S. Federal Reserve launched a program last month to buy housing-related debt, an action that has driven mortgage rates to record lows. Fed policymakers meet next week, but are unlikely to take fresh steps.

The economy has shown signs of faster growth recently, with the jobless rate falling and retail sales picking up. Threats to that momentum remain, however. The U.S. government is on track to tighten fiscal policy in January, while Europe's debt crisis also looms heavily.

Investors in stocks largely ignored the data, focusing instead on disappointing corporate earnings results that pushed major indexes lower. Four top U.S. manufacturers, including General Electric Co and Honeywell International Corp, reported weaker-than-expected sales.

PRICE SUPPORT

Tight inventories have helped support home prices in recent months, which could help economic growth by making consumers more comfortable about their finances.

The nation's stock of existing homes for sale fell 3.3 percent last month to 2.32 million units. At the current pace of sales, inventories would be exhausted in 5.9 months, the lowest rate since March 2006, the NAR said.

Lawrence Yun, an economist at the NAR, said the drop in inventories was in part due to a weak pace of new home construction, which has pushed more people into the resales market. While groundbreaking at construction sites is rising, it remains about 60 percent below its 2006 peak.

At the same time, overall demand appears to be firming. The median time previously owned homes spent on market was 70 days in September, down 30.7 percent from a year ago.

Also helping prices, the share of distressed sales fell to 24 percent in September from 30 percent in the same month of 2011.

This week, Goldman Sachs estimated growth in the housing sector will likely add about a quarter percentage point to economic growth this year and could add a half point in 2013.

Much of the economic boost comes from the building of new homes, although existing home sales also help growth as people go out to buy furniture and realtors reap more in commissions.

In a bid to encourage more home purchases, the Fed said last month it would buy $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities every month until the jobs outlook improves substantially.

This program, known on Wall Street as "QE3," will add renewed support for housing in the coming months and could build on the progress already seen in the market.

"QE3 came against a good, healthy backdrop which means its potential impact might be stronger," said Pierre Ellis, an economist at Decision Economics in New York.

(Additional reporting by Richard Leong and Ellen Freilich in New York; Editing by Neil Stempleman, Tim Ahmann and Chizu Nomiyama)

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Comments (4)
Crash866 wrote:
More “good news’ on the “healing” economy…Tick Tock

Oct 19, 2012 10:08am EDT  --  Report as abuse
americanguy wrote:
Builders in my area are building homes as fast as they can to keep up with demand. In a new development near my house (that sat empty for five years), they are currently building 10 houses at the same time and the others were sold as fast as they were built. Same for another development a little farther from my house. House prices are going up fast, and mortgage rates are at an all time low, so if you want a house you had better buy one now.

Oct 19, 2012 10:38am EDT  --  Report as abuse
dmanning wrote:
This supposed retreat is minor; it is the same fluctuation that even high-mobility, busy housing times would have. The market is improving–frankly, as someone who works in real estate, I’m relieved that growth is more moderate, not as frenetic. It indicates stability, reliable growth, and not frantic speculation.

Oct 19, 2012 10:51am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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