TEXT-Fitch rates New Braunfels ISD, Texas 2012A refunding bonds

Wed Nov 28, 2012 12:20pm EST

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Nov 28 - Fitch Ratings assigns an 'AAA' rating to the following New
Braunfels Independent School District, Texas' (the district) unlimited tax bonds
(ULTs):

--$11.765 million ULT refunding bonds, series 2012A.

The 'AAA' rating reflects the guarantee provided by the Texas Permanent School
Fund (PSF), whose bond guarantee program is rated 'AAA' by Fitch.

Fitch also assigns an 'AA' underlying rating to the series 2012A refunding
bonds.

The bonds are expected to price via negotiated sale later this week, subject to
market conditions. Proceeds from the sale will be used to refund outstanding
ULTs for savings.

In addition, Fitch affirms the 'AA' underlying rating on the district's $141.5
million outstanding ULTs (pre-refunding).

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

SECURITY

The bonds are secured by an unlimited ad valorem tax levied against all taxable
property in the district, and are secured further by the PSF guarantee.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

STRONG FINANCIAL PROFILE: Conservative fiscal management has consistently
produced positive operating results in four of the last five fiscal years,
increasing the unrestricted general fund balance to very strong levels.

TAX BASE EXPANSION: Residential and commercial development has picked up in the
district resulting in tax base growth in fiscal 2013 of 7.8% over the prior
year, continuing the reversal of a modest one-year dip in taxable assessed
valuation (TAV) in fiscal 2011.

MANAGEABLE DEBT BURDEN: The district's above-average debt burden reflects the
accelerated enrollment growth prior to the downturn and facility construction of
the last five fiscal years, but it is mitigated by the district's favorable
wealth profile and prospects for growth.

ROBUST ECONOMY: The district's economic base benefits from its location in the
San Antonio metropolitan area. Income levels remain above average and local
unemployment levels compare favorably to state and national averages.

CREDIT SUMMARY

ECONOMY SUPPORTED BY PROXIMITY TO SAN ANTONIO

Located 30 miles north of San Antonio, the district encompasses 75 square miles
and serves primarily the city of New Braunfels (the city). The local economy
centers on tourism, manufacturing, distribution, healthcare, and retail trade.
The city's location and access to the extensive economic bases of both San
Antonio and Austin offers residents additional employment opportunities; this is
reflected in the area's historically low unemployment rates.

For September 2012, the city's unemployment rate stood at 5.0%, well below the
6.1% recorded from the prior year at this time, and below the rates of the city
of San Antonio (6.0%), the state (6.3%), and nation (7.6%). In addition, the
labor force grew 2.1% during this same period. The district's current population
is estimated at 44,450, and has shown an average annual increase of nearly 3%
since 2000. Wealth indices are above average.

ENROLLMENT GROWTH SLOWS; TAV GROWTH REBOUNDS

Enrollment also continues to record steady gains, averaging 2% annually from
2007-2013, down from previously rapid growth. TAV increased by an average of
more than 4.8% annually during the same period. Moderation in values of existing
properties and a slowdown in new home starts contributed to a decline of
approximately 1% in fiscal 2011 TAV to $2.9 billion. However, the district's tax
base expanded for fiscal 2012 and 2013 due to accelerated commercial and
residential development in the area, resulting in notable TAV increases of 2.7%
and 7.8%, respectively. The district's TAV for fiscal 2013 reached $3.2 billion.

Management anticipates additional increases in student count and TAV going
forward, given the ongoing northern expansion of San Antonio as well as the
availability of affordable land within the district. Given the district's recent
enrolment and tax base history, Fitch considers this expectation reasonable.

STRONG FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY

The district continues to maintain a sound financial profile despite operating
pressures associated with state funding cuts. A trend of annual operating
surpluses has contributed to growing reserve levels, including an unrestricted
fund balance (committed, assigned and unassigned per GASB 54) that reached $34.8
million or 73% of spending in fiscal 2012. Liquidity is also favorable, with
fiscal 2012 cash and investments representing more than 80% of operating
expenditures. State support for district operations is average, accounting for
39% of general fund revenues in 2012.

State funding cuts totaled approximately $500,000 (1% of general fund revenue)
in fiscal 2012 and the district balanced the fiscal 2012 budget despite further
enrollment pressures and the opening of a new middle school. Audited results for
fiscal 2012 show a substantial $4.7 million surplus, achieved through cost
savings from increased utility efficiency, retirement incentives, and staffing
reductions in both support services and professional positions.

The adopted 2013 budget conservatively assumes a $3.6 million operating deficit
due to significant state and federal funding cuts. Management expects balanced
results at year end, which appears reasonable given management's track record of
budgeting conservatively.

ABOVE-AVERAGE DEBT BURDEN

District debt ratios are above average, but have come down from previous levels
due to ongoing population and tax base expansion. Overall debt ratios stand at
about $5,000 debt per capita and 6% of market value. Payout is about average at
48% repaid in 10 years.

District employees participate in the Teachers Retirement System of Texas (TRS),
a cost-sharing multiple employer pension system. Contributions are made by plan
members and the state on behalf of the district, eliminating any liability for
the district. The district's total long-term liabilities (debt service, pension
and OPEB contributions) represent a manageable 22% of fiscal 2012 general and
debt service fund expenditures.


Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above
were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been
compensated for the provision of the ratings.

In addition to the sources of information identified in Fitch's Tax-Supported
Rating Criteria, this action was additionally informed by information from
Creditscope, University Financial Associates, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index,
IHS Global Insight, National Association of Realtors, the Underwriter, and the
Municipal Advisory Council of Texas.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
--'Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Aug. 14, 2012);
--'U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Aug. 14, 2012).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
Tax-Supported Rating Criteria
U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria
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