TEXT - Fitch comments on Regal Entertainment Group

Fri Nov 30, 2012 2:00pm EST

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Nov 30 - Fitch's ratings of Regal Entertainment Group (Regal) and
Regal Cinemas Corporation (Regal Cinemas) are unaffected by Regal's announcement
of a $1 per share special dividend and the acquisition of the Great Escape
theater circuit. A complete list of Fitch's ratings on Regal and Regal Cinemas
is provided below.

Regal announced that it is declaring a special cash dividend of $1 per share of 
class A and B common stock, which totals approximately $155 million and is 
payable on Dec. 27, 2011. Further, Regal announced the acquisition of Great 
Escape theater circuit, totaling 25 theaters and 301 screens, for a purchase 
price of $91 million. Regal disclosed a pre-synergy multiple of 5.5 times (x), 
which is consistent with recent theater acquisition activity. Fitch estimates 
AMC Entertainment's acquisition of Kerasotes Showplace at approximately 5.3x. 

The special dividend and acquisition is consistent with Fitch's expectation for 
Regal's cash deployment. However, while not anticipated, a debt-financed 
material acquisition or return of capital to shareholders that would raise the 
unadjusted gross leverage beyond 4.5x could have a negative impact on the 
ratings. 

As of Sept. 30, 2012 Regal had approximately $2 billion in debt, with and 
lease-adjusted gross leverage at 4.8x and unadjusted gross leverage at 4.1x. 

As of Sept. 30, 2012, liquidity was made up of $251 million in cash and $82 
million in credit facility availability (reduced by $3 million in letters of 
credit), under the company's $85 million revolving credit facility due May 2015.
Fitch expects the special dividend will be funded with existing liquidity. 
While, pro forma September 2012 cash balance would be low post the special 
dividend and acquisition, approximately $5 million, the fourth quarter is 
typically a strong cash generating quarter. Fitch expects year end liquidity to 
be adequate, with cash balances in excess of $50 million and an undrawn credit 
facility. Fitch calculates September 2012 last 12 month FCF (after dividends) of
$90 million. 

The ratings continue to reflect the following key considerations:

--Fitch believes movie exhibition will continue to be a key promotion window for
the movie studios biggest/most profitable releases.

--Solid box office performance, with 2012 box office revenues up 5.8% as of Nov.
28, according to Box Office Mojo. Fitch expects the remaining 2012 film slate, 
including the upcoming Hobbit film, to continue to support the year's growth 
rate. 

--Long-term, Fitch continues to expect that the movie exhibitor industry will be
challenged in growing attendance and any potential attendance declines will 
offset some of the growth in average ticket prices. 

--The ratings also incorporate the intermediate/long-term risks associated with 
increased competition from at-home entertainment media, limited control over 
revenue trends, the pressure on film distribution windows, increasing indirect 
competition from other distribution channels (such as DVD, VOD, and the 
Internet), and high operating leverage (which could make theater operators FCF 
negative during periods of reduced attendance). In addition, RGC and its peers 
rely on the quality, quantity, and timing of movie product, all factors out of 
management's control.

Fitch currently rates Regal and Regal Cinemas as follows:

Regal
--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'B+';
--Senior unsecured notes 'B-/RR6'.

Regal Cinemas
--IDR 'B+';
--Senior secured credit facility 'BB+/RR1';
--Senior unsecured notes 'BB/RR2'.
The Rating Outlook is Stable.
FILED UNDER:
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