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TEXT-S&P affirms Intercorp Peru Ltd 'BB-' rating
Overview
-- We expect Bahamas-incorporated holding company Intercorp to continue
receiving sufficient flow of dividends to cover its debt service for the next
two to three years
-- We are affirming our 'BB-' issuer credit rating on Intercorp
-- The stable outlook reflects our expectation that the company's current
capital and financial flexibility won't significantly change over the next two
years
Rating Action
On Nov. 30, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services affirmed its 'BB-' issuer
credit rating on Intercorp Peru Ltd. (Intercorp; previously known as
IFH Peru Ltd.). The outlook is stable. Today's rating affirmation is part of our
regular annual review.
Rationale
The rating affirmation is primarily based on our expectation that Intercorp
will continue to receive sufficient dividends in the next two to three years
to cover its debt service, comprising mainly of annual interest expense of
about $22 million on its $250 million notes due 2019.
Our rating on Intercorp continues to reflect its portfolio concentration in
Banco Internacional del Peru--Interbank (BBB/Stable/--), Intercorp's largest
asset and main cash source, its lack of liquid investments, and its inherently
volatile cash flow due to factors that affect its subsidiaries' net income and
their exposure to economic cycles and consumer spending. Interbank's good
credit quality and the company's majority stake in all of its subsidiaries,
which gives it control over their cash and financial policies, partially
offset these factors. We assess the company's business risk profile as "weak"
and its financial risk profile as "significant."
The company's relatively aggressive growth and investment strategy underpins
its financial risk profile. However, we consider these factors inherent to the
nature of the company's business activities. In addition, the company has a
significant exposure to foreign exchange rate risk given that its debt is
dollar denominated while it mainly generates cash in Peruvian soles. However,
Intercorp's relatively low debt, compared with the value of its portfolio,
expected dividends from its subsidiaries, and "adequate" liquidity mitigate
this exposure.
The company recently completed its corporate restructuring. Intercorp formed
InRetail Peru Corp. as a holding of the retail (i.e. supermarkets and
pharmacies) and real estate operations. The main driver of the reorganization
was to create a more efficient structure to expand Intercorp's retail
business, particularly Inkafarma, supermarkets, and the development of new
shopping malls. Intercorp controls 71.33% of InRetail. As part of the
restructuring InRetail issued a $460 million 144 A/Reg S IPO, including a
green shoe option, in October 2012. The IPO was allocated locally and
internationally. The free float of InRetail is about 22%. Intercorp Peru Ltd.
has shareholdings of 70.6% in InRetail. In our view, the IPO proceeds will
allow InRetail to fund its growth and capital requirements independently from
Intercorp at least in the next two to three years, which will allow Intercorp
to use its resources to fund its other business segments' expansion plans.
Nevertheless, we don't expect InRetail to provide dividends to Intercorp
during the same period, as it is in an expansion stage. We believe this
restructuring will ease Intercorp's leverage levels and increase cash flow
generation.
The company has also begun to diversify its portfolio by acquiring equity
shareholding (that is, 50% plus one share) of two universities--Universidad
Tecnologica del Peru S.A.C. and Promotora de La Universidad de Chiclayo
S.A.C.--from Grupo IDAT for about $75 million, which Intercorp Peru Ltd. and
NG Capital Partners financed. We expect Intercorp to integrate these two
universities with those schools it already owns to strengthen its operations
in its education segment.
Although we don't view Intercorp and its subsidiaries as having a single
default risk, when analyzing Intercorp's leverage structure, we monitor the
company's stand-alone and group debt, because if any of its subsidiaries
become stressed, we believe Intercorp may provide some form of financial
assistance. We focus only on the group's corporate debt and Interbank's, given
its higher credit quality, and specific regulation and capital requirements.
Under our base case scenario, Intercorp would cover its minimal overhead
costs, interests, and dividends with cash inflows at about 2x in 2012 and 3x
in 2013, and use its excess cash to investments in its subsidiaries. We don't
expect the company's debt or financial flexibility to materially change and to
finance future acquisition through long-term debt. In addition, we expect that
capital infusions and investments in subsidiaries will drop or grow at a
slower pace following InRetail's IPO. We expect dividends to Intercorp to be
above $120 million throughout the projected period, about 80% of which should
come from its financial arm, Intercorp Financial Services (IFS). This amount
should be sufficient to cover annual operating costs of less than $10 million,
interest payments of about $35 million in 2012 and $28 million in 2013, and
dividends of $20 million for 2012 and 2013. Investments are hard to predict
due to Intercorp's active merger and acquisition activity, but given the
recent IPO of InRetail we believe that the company will carry out moderate
investments in other business lines and expand internally.
Intercorp is involved in several sectors of the Peruvian economy, including
financial services, insurance, supermarkets, retail, and real estate. IFS is
the holding company for Interbank and its insurance division, Interseguro, and
is Intercorp's main holding by both book value and dividends. InRetail will
become the second largest holding by book value. InRetail is comprised of
supermarkets (Supermercados Peruanos (SP)), retail pharmacies (Inkafarma), and
shopping malls operations, which have significant market shares in Peru with
about 33%, 47%, and 18%, respectively. We expect InRetail to use the majority
of the IPO proceeds to expand its pharmacy operations, supermarkets, and
develop shopping malls over the next few years.
Intercorp's other subsidiaries include its Bahamas-based financial institution
Inteligo Bank Ltd. (formerly known as BluBank Ltd.) and its financing company
Financiera Uno, which includes both a credit card operation and Urbi, a real
estate developer that owns InRetail's real estate assets. The Peruvian family
Rodriguez Pastor controls Intercorp.
Liquidity
In our opinion, Intercorp's liquidity is adequate. As of Sept. 30, 2012,
Intercorp had $19.4 million in cash. During fiscal 2012, it collected
dividends for about $130 million and we expect them to drop to $120 million in
2013. We consider that these will be sufficient to cover operating cost of
less than $10 million per year; interest expenses of about $35 million and $28
million in 2012 and 2013, respectively; and relatively fixed dividends of $20
million per year.
The size of Intercorp's 2010 and 2011 acquisitions and the recent InRetail's
IPO leads us to believe that the group would focus its growth efforts in the
next two years mostly organically. Given Intercorp's comfortable debt
maturities of about $13 million in 2013 and $12 million in 2014, the company
would have more than $50 million in 2013 and 2014 of internally generated cash
to expand its businesses. Intercorp should have excess cash available to
expand its retail operations because its land acquisitions should be financed
at Interproperties' level.
Moreover, we factor the following assumptions into our assessment of the
company's financial flexibility:
-- We believe that Intercorp's cash sources will exceed its uses by 1.2x
or more;
-- It has relatively good standing in local and international credit
markets, as seen in its recent bond issuances;
-- It owns a financial institution (Interbank) that provide timely (but
limited by regulation) financial assistance, if required;
-- Comfortable headroom of covenants compliance, including minimum
operating cash flow interest coverage of 2.0x and maximum total debt to net
worth of 65%; and
-- A six-month funded reserve account under its $250 million notes; and
-- Maintenance of liquid assets equivalent to one year of interest
expenses.
Outlook
The outlook is stable, reflecting our expectation that the company's current
capital and financial flexibility won't significantly change over the next two
years. It also incorporates our expectation that projected dividends in the
same period would comfortably cover the company's operating and financial
needs. Rating upside is limited in the medium term and would most likely
depend on greater diversification of cash flows. We don't believe that this
will occur before 2014. We may lower the rating if financial flexibility
deteriorates or if leverage significantly increases either at Intercorp's
level or at its subsidiaries. This may be a consequence of more aggressive
financial policies, especially with regard to its investments and dividends,
although we do not consider this scenario probable.
Related Criteria And Research
-- Criteria Methodology: Business Risk/Financial Risk Matrix Expanded,
Sept. 18, 2012
-- Methodology And Assumptions: Liquidity Descriptors For Global
Corporate Issuers, Sept. 28, 2011
-- 2008 Corporate Ratings Criteria, April 15, 2008
-- Rating Methodology for Investment Holding and Operating Holding
Companies, Feb. 5, 2003
Ratings List
Ratings Affirmed
Intercorp Peru Ltd.
Corporate Credit Rating BB-/Stable/--
Senior Secured BB-
Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect on
the Global Credit Portal at www.globalcreditportal.com. All ratings affected
by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at
www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left
column.
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