Wealth gap, debt top risks ahead of Davos

LONDON Tue Jan 8, 2013 11:28am EST

A logo of the World Economic Forum (WEF) is seen stuck on a window at the congress center in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos January 23, 2012. The upcoming WEF will be held from January 25 to 29. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann

A logo of the World Economic Forum (WEF) is seen stuck on a window at the congress center in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos January 23, 2012. The upcoming WEF will be held from January 25 to 29.

Credit: Reuters/Christian Hartmann

Related Topics

LONDON (Reuters) - Fragile economies and extreme weather have combined to crank up the global risk dial in the past year, creating an increasingly dangerous mix, according to the World Economic Forum.

Despite Europe's avoidance of a euro break-up in 2012 and the United States stepping back from its fiscal cliff, business leaders and academics fear politicians are failing to address fundamental problems.

That is the conclusion of the group's Global Risks 2013 report, which surveyed more than 1,000 experts and industry bosses and found they were slightly more pessimistic about the outlook for the decade ahead than a year ago.

"It reflects a loss of confidence in leadership from governments," said Lee Howell, the WEF managing director responsible for the report.

Severe wealth gaps and unsustainable government finances were seen as the biggest economic threats facing the world, as they were last January. There was also a marked increase in focus on the dangers posed by severe weather.

The 80-page analysis of 50 risks for the next 10 years comes ahead of the World Economic Forum's (WEF) annual meeting in the Swiss ski resort of Davos from January 23 to 27, where the rich and powerful will ponder the planet's future.

Bringing together business leaders, politicians and central bankers, Davos has come to symbolize the modern globalised world dominated by successful multinational corporations.

Chief executives arriving on their private jets may still ooze confidence but "Davos man" - and most delegates are male - has plenty to worry about these days.

"Most of the risks have gone in the wrong direction in the past year," Howell told reporters on Tuesday.

On the economic front, eurozone instability will continue to shape global prospects in the coming years and the "associated risk of systemic financial failure, although limited, cannot be completely discarded," the report said.

SUPERSTORM SANDY

Concerns about rising greenhouse gas emissions have grown notably in the past 12 months. The issue is ranked as the third biggest worry overall, while failure to adapt to climate change is viewed as the biggest single environmental hazard.

Superstorm Sandy, which wreaked havoc on the U.S. east coast in October, was a wake-up call for many. But it was not an isolated event in a year that also saw droughts, floods and the Arctic sea ice melting to a record low level.

Extreme weather was on display again this week as Australia grappled with fires and heatwave conditions, while temperatures in China plunged to a 28-year low.

"Two storms - environmental and economic - are on a collision course," said John Drzik, chief executive of Oliver Wyman, a unit of insurance broker Marsh & McLennan.

"If we don't allocate the resources needed to mitigate the rising risk from severe weather events, global prosperity for future generations could be threatened."

This year's Davos meeting takes as its theme "resilient dynamism", in recognition of the need for governments and businesses to develop strategies to ensure critical systems continue to function in the face of such threats.

Outside the interlinked areas of the environment and the economy, the WEF identified other dangers, including increasing resistance of bacteria to antibiotics and the danger of "digital wildfires" created by the rapid spread of misinformation online.

More outlandish risks, dubbed "X-Factors," include the rogue deployment of geo-engineering to counter climate change, for example by injecting particles into the stratosphere, or the discovery of alien life, which would challenge many assumptions underpinning religion.

(Editing by Jason Neely)

FILED UNDER:
We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/
Comments (4)
jrj906202 wrote:
The wealth of the rich isn’t the problem.The problem is that big govt has caused too many people to coast.The reason the rich can do so well,is because they have less competition from all the people who prefer to not compete.We need to encourage average Americans to get ahead.That best would be accomplished by LESS govt handouts.Here in So California,you see most of the dental offices having Asian dentists.How is it that most dentists are from foreign countries and not native Americans.It’s because too many Americans are fine with just getting by.Not really motivated to achieve.Vouchers for education would be a positive.Would get kids and parents involved.Online education should have limitless possibilities,allowing kids to progress at any speed.Seems like the Democrats want to protect their empire,at the expense of the country’s prosperity.

Jan 08, 2013 12:00pm EST  --  Report as abuse
tmc wrote:
That’s what the press releases say anyway….

Jan 08, 2013 12:38pm EST  --  Report as abuse
mfm9800 wrote:
Wealth gap and debt……#1 and #2 issues. While flying on your private jet to Davos (the playground of wealth) how do you suppose the conversations go concerning the wealth gap issue? Perhaps something like this…….

“Well Ralph, you know I just keep accumulating more and more wealth and I just don’t know how to let any of it trickle down to the little people. It really makes me quite sad. I mean what do they want me to do? Buy more jets so I can employ more pilots and crew? Don’t they know there is a limit to my wealth?”

Plutocracy is the new world phenomenon. Learn to live with it. If you’re old enough to read this know that it will not be changed in your lifetime.

Jan 08, 2013 1:30pm EST  --  Report as abuse
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.

Recommended Newsletters

Reuters U.S. Top News
A quick-fix on the day's news published with Reuters videos and award-winning news photography and delivered at your choice of one of four times during the day.
Reuters Deals Today
The latest Reuters articles on M&A, IPOs, private equity, hedge funds and regulatory updates delivered to your inbox each day.
Reuters Technology Report
Your daily briefing on the latest tech developments from around the world from Reuters expert tech correspondents.