TEXT-Fitch rates Milwaukee County, Wis. Gos 'AA+', outlook stable
Jan 9 - Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'AA+' rating to the following Milwaukee County, Wisconsin (the county) bonds: --Approximately $142.7 million taxable general obligation pension promissory notes, series 2013. Note proceeds will retire the taxable pension note anticipation notes, series 2009B. The notes are expected to sell via negotiation the week of Jan. 21st. Fitch has also affirmed the following Milwaukee County ratings: --Approximately $610.9 million unlimited tax general obligation bonds at 'AA+'. The Rating Outlook is Stable. SECURITY The GO bonds are secured by the county's full faith and credit and its ad valorem tax, without limitation as to rate or amount. KEY RATING DRIVERS FLEXIBILITY DESPITE NARROW MARGINS: Conservative budgeting and careful expenditure control have allowed for consistently balanced operations most years, despite adverse economic conditions and statutory requirements to appropriate surplus. The county retains considerable margins of flexibility despite stricter revenue raising constraints imposed by the state. REGIONAL ECONOMIC ENGINE: Milwaukee County serves as the economic engine for the surrounding region although post-recession recovery has been slow. BELOW AVERAGE SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS: Per capita income levels are below average, as is market value per capita. The unemployment rate remains elevated, typical of areas historically dependent upon manufacturing. MANAGEABLE LONG-TERM LIABILITIES: The overall debt burden is above average but manageable, future capital needs are limited, and principal amortization is rapid. Pensions are adequately funded, in large part through the issuance of pension obligation bonds. CREDIT PROFILE Milwaukee County serves as the regional economic and cultural center for south eastern Wisconsin. The city of Milwaukee (rated 'AA' with a Stable Outlook by Fitch), which is the county seat of Milwaukee County, accounts for roughly 48% of the county's total assessed valuation and 63% of its population. FLEXIBILITY DESPITE NARROW MARGINS The county's financial operations are characterized by stable operating results and modest general fund balances, in the range of 4-5% of spending. Tax rate limits have been in effect since 1993. The county operates under limitations to revenue raising and to maintenance of fund balances; however, considerable fiscal flexibility is provided by the county's ability to reduce spending or redirect expiring levies for maturing debt, among other sources. The Stable Outlook assumes management continues to achieve consistently balanced results within existing constraints. However, future economic or revenue underperformance or a narrowing of operating flexibility could negatively affect the credit. The fiscal 2013 budget raises the property tax levy by a modest $3.9 million. Under current restrictions, the county could raise the property tax by another projected $8 million in fiscal 2014. Additionally, if the county chose to levy for unlimited tax bond debt service currently supported by sales tax revenues, it could seek approval from the state to free up a corresponding portion of sales tax revenues for operations, which would allow it to increase the property tax levy by up to $60 million. Liquidity is adequate across funds and no cash flow borrowing is required. POSITIVE FISCAL TREND DESPITE RESTRICTIONS The county has recorded nominal general fund operating surpluses after transfers in four of the past five years despite adverse economic conditions and revenue-raising constraints, underscoring the county's solid management profile. Fiscal 2011 general fund results generated a higher than usual net surplus of $14.8 million, or 1.4% of spending, despite the budgeted appropriation of $4.1 million of general fund balance. The positive variance was largely the result of cost containment measures, as revenues underperformed budget for the year. Expenditure side savings included the introduction of employee contributions for pension and health care, slow filling of vacant positions, limitation of overtime and lower road maintenance costs due to a mild winter. The county's revenue streams are diverse with charges for service accounting for 37% of total general fund revenues, followed by intergovernmental revenue at 26%, property tax at 26%, and sales tax revenue at 6%. The county ended 2011 with an improved but still slim 5.7% total general fund balance, somewhat higher than the 4.0 to 4.5% range recorded in recent years. Given the small financial cushion, the county's ability to successfully achieve balanced operations will continue to be crucial to ratings stability. The adopted 2012 budget included a $5.8 million (2.2%) property tax increase, a $1.55 million budgeted contingency reserve, and a de minimus amount of appropriated general fund balance. Officials are projecting to end the year with a general fund net operating surplus of between $7.3 million and $8.7 million. This projection is mainly based upon $4.1 million of transit-related savings, health care savings and better-than-budget sales tax receipts; however, over-budget spending in the sheriff's department may present a challenge to full realization of the projected surplus. The adopted fiscal 2013 budget includes a $3.9 million increase in the property tax levy, appropriates $5.5 million of general fund balance, and includes a $4 million budgeted contingency reserve. BELOW AVERAGE SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS Wealth levels are below average, largely reflective of the county's urban core. Per capita income is 89% of the state, and 86.7% of the national levels. Housing values remain under pressure, contributing to the decline in assessed value; 2012-13 assessed value represented a 15.3% drop since the peak in 2009-10. The October 2012 unemployment rate of 7.4% represented an improvement over the 8.4% recorded one year prior. The October rate is now slightly below the national rate of 7.5%, but remained significantly above the state rate of 5.7%. MANAGEABLE LONG TERM OBLIGATIONS The aggregate debt burden is elevated at 6.0% of full market value but more moderate at $3,638 per capita. A significant portion of the debt burden is attributable to the pension obligation debt, and represents the exchange of one type of long-term obligation (unfunded pension liability) for another (bonded debt); without pension borrowing, the debt burden would be 5.3%. Principal amortization is rapid with 68.6% repaid in 10 years. Debt service accounted for a manageable 9.5% of fiscal 2011 general fund expenditures, and should remain affordable as the county retires principal in greater amounts than it issues. The county's five-year capital improvement plan to be debt financed totals roughly $108 million, which is less than half the principal retired over same period. Milwaukee County's long-term liabilities related to employment benefits are mixed. The county provides pension benefits to its employees through single employer defined benefit plans. As of January 2012, the unfunded actuarial accrued liability (UAAL) totaled $314 million or a modest 0.5% of full market value. Based on Fitch's more conservative 7% investment return assumption, the pension plans were 79% funded. The 79% funded ratio is considered adequately capitalized; however the ratio was bolstered by $400 million in pension bonds in 2009 to augment pension assets. Other post-employment benefits (OPEB) are also offered to retirees and their dependents. The county contributed $58.2 million, which equaled the pay-as-you-go amount, in 2011. As of January 2011, the UAAL totaled $1.5 billion or a meaningful 2.4% of full market value. Recently implemented healthcare plan design changes for non-represented employees and retirees are expected to reduce the OPEB liability by $230 million or approximately 15%. The combined pension and OPEB and debt service payments equaled a reasonable 21.2% of general fund expenditures and transfers out, including amounts contributed in excess of the ARC. Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings. In addition to the sources of information identified in Fitch's Tax-Supported Rating Criteria, this action was additionally informed by information from Creditscope, University Financial Associates, S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, IHS Global Insight, National Association of Realtors and Financial Advisor (Public Financial Management). Applicable Criteria and Related Research: --'Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Aug. 14, 2012); --'U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria' (Aug. 14, 2012). Applicable Criteria and Related Research: Tax-Supported Rating Criteria U.S. Local Government Tax-Supported Rating Criteria
- Mexican train derails, stranding 1,300 migrants headed toward U.S.
- Gaza toll nears 100, militants threaten Israeli airport |
- Ukraine says rebels will pay as missiles kill 23 soldiers |
- A game of two popes: Vatican plays down talk of World Cup rivalry
- Ebola deaths surge in Sierra Leone and Liberia: WHO