TEXT - Fitch comments on PNC Financial Services

Thu Jan 17, 2013 3:37pm EST

Jan 7 - PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) once again reported
noisy earnings results in the fourth quarter 2012 (4Q'12), according to Fitch
Ratings. The company reported net income of $719 million for the quarter which
included several material mortgage-related charges and one-time gains. 
Fitch notes that PNC's reported earnings follow a pattern of noisy results 
throughout 2012, expect that 2013 performance should be more reflective of core 
performance. 

PNC reported nearly $400 million in mortgage-related charges in 4Q'12. The 
company's provision for residential mortgage loan repurchase obligations totaled
$254 million during the quarter. The provision was up significantly from the 
prior quarter; this reflects further changes in GSE behavior, according to PNC, 
particularly in extending review periods back to 2004 and 2005 mortgage 
vintages. While Fitch views the relatively outsized provision as sufficient to 
cover PNC's current pipeline, further behavioral changes by the GSEs could force
the company to take additional charges as it did this last quarter and just two 
quarters ago with a $438 million provision. Given the ongoing and volatile 
nature of the charges, Fitch did not exclude this item as a one-time measure. 

PNC also recorded a goodwill impairment charge of $45 million in the residential
mortgage banking segment, leaving this business line with no goodwill remaining.
Further, the company recorded a $70 million charge to settle the Independent 
Foreclosure Reviews, similar to others subject to the April 2011 Consent Order. 
As a result of the settlement, management expects residential mortgage 
foreclosure-related compliance expenses to decrease substantially in 2013.

Other notable charges taken during 4Q'12 included $35 million in integration 
costs and $70 million related to the redemption of hybrid capital securities. To
offset these charges, PNC realized a pre-tax gain of $130 million on the sale of
Visa stock following a $137 million gain in 3Q'12. Omitting the impact the gains
on sales of Visa securities in both quarters, noninterest income fell by $37 
million or 2.38% on a sequential basis. The decline would have been greater had 
PNC not benefitted from a healthy quarter in corporate services and commercial 
mortgage banking. Excluding integration costs, the goodwill impairment, and 
trust preferred securities redemption costs, core non-interest expenses declined
approximately 4%. 

Counter to industry trends of continuing margin compression for many banks, PNC 
reported NIM improvement of 3bps sequentially given higher cash recoveries on 
purchase impaired loans. However, excluding purchase accounting accretion (PAA),
the core NIM was 3.42%, relatively flat compared to 3Q'12 at 3.43%. Fitch would 
expect PNC's core NIM to remain steady going forward at its current level but 
notes management's guidance that total net interest income will likely fall 
2%-3% due to a decline in PAA.

Similar to 3Q'12, asset quality metrics were somewhat distorted by the adoption 
of the OCC guidance pertaining to borrowers discharged from bankruptcy. Related 
to this guidance, PNC reported $45 million in NCOs in 4Q'12 and $83 million in 
related NCOs last quarter. Excluding these items, NCOs actually increased 7% 
sequentially but remain very manageable and below other large regional banks at 
only 67bps during the quarter.

PNC saw a decline in reported NPAs during the quarter, primarily driven by a 
decrease in CRE and commercial-related NPLs. The decline was partially offset by
a larger inflow of consumer NPLs relating to the aforementioned OCC guidance 
which resulted in $199m of additional TDRs in 4Q'12 ($112 million in 3Q'12), 
largely consisting of home equity and residential mortgage loans. 

Even with improving asset quality metrics, PNC took a sequentially larger 
provision in 4Q'12. Driving the $60 million incrementally higher provision was a
larger loan portfolio and reduced reserve release in commercial lending. Fitch 
anticipates that reserve releases will continue to diminish in coming quarters 
as credit metrics normalize and loan growth continues. 

PNC's reported an estimated Tier 1 common ratio of 9.6% at year-end 2012, up 
10bps on a sequential basis, and roughly in line with regional bank peer 
averages. PNC disclosed its estimated Tier 1 common ratio of 7.3% under Basel 
III. Though this ratio is somewhat below the average for other large regional 
banks, Fitch views PNC's capital profile favorably given its overall risk 
profile and earnings capacity.