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Advance Auto Parts Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2012 Results

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Thu Feb 7, 2013 8:30am EST

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ROANOKE, Va.--(Business Wire)--
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP), a leading retailer of automotive
aftermarket parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items, today
announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended
December 29, 2012. Fourth quarter earnings per diluted share (EPS) were $0.88
which was a 2.2% decrease versus the fourth quarter last year. For fiscal 2012,
EPS was $5.22 which was an increase of 2.2% over the same period last year.

                                                                                                                                              
 Fourth Quarter Performance Summary                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                              
                                     Twelve Weeks Ended                                   Fifty-Two Weeks Ended                               
                                     December 29,                December 31,             December 29,                 December 31,           
                                     2012                        2011                     2012                         2011                   
                                                                                                                                              
 Sales(in millions)                  $      1,329.2              $      1,327.6           $      6,205.0               $      6,170.5         
                                                                                                                                              
 Comp Store Sales %                  (1.9            %)          2.9             %        (0.8            %)           2.2             %      
                                                                                                                                              
 Gross Profit %                      49.9            %           49.0            %        49.9            %            49.7            %      
                                                                                                                                              
 SG&A %                              41.4            %           40.6            %        39.3            %            39.0            %      
                                                                                                                                              
 Operating Income %                  8.5             %           8.4             %        10.6            %            10.8            %      
                                                                                                                                              
 Diluted EPS                         $      0.88                 $      0.90              $      5.22                  $      5.11            
                                                                                                                                              
 Avg Diluted Shares(in thousands)    74,002                      73,807                   74,062                       77,071                 
                                                                                                                                              


"We are pleased that our fourth quarter profitability results exceeded our
expectations. Our comparable sales trends continued to improve sequentially,
after adjusting for the holiday shift in our fourth quarter, as well as our
operating profits," said Darren R. Jackson, President and Chief Executive
Officer. "Overall fiscal 2012 was a challenging environment, which is reflected
in our results. Yet we achieved many key milestones that position us for a
strong future. Those achievements include the launch of our in-house commercial
credit program, the opening of our new distribution center in Remington,
Indiana, improvements in our commercial customer satisfaction, the market entry
into the boroughs of New York and the acquisition of BWP which closed after our
fiscal year ended. These milestones are significant steps which will allow us to
more effectively compete in the larger and faster growing Commercial market." 

Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2012 Highlights

Total sales for the fourth quarter increased 0.1% to $1.33 billion, as compared
with total sales during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. The sales increase
reflected a comparable store sales decrease of 1.9% versus a comparable store
sales increase of 2.9% during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011, partially
offset by the net addition of 132 new stores over the past 12 months. For fiscal
2012, total sales increased 0.6% to $6.21 billion, compared with total sales of
$6.17 billion during fiscal 2011. 

The Company's gross profit rate was 49.9% of sales during the fourth quarter as
compared to 49.0% during the fourth quarter last year. The 87 basis-point
increase in gross profit rate was primarily due to improvements in shrink and
supply chain efficiencies. The supply chain efficiencies, which were driven by
an increase in the volume of inventory handled during the quarter, more than
offset the increase in supply chain costs associated with the opening of the
Company's new distribution center and increased new store openings. For fiscal
2012, the Company's gross profit rate was 49.9%, compared with 49.7% in fiscal
2011. 

The Company's SG&A rate was 41.4% of sales during the fourth quarter as compared
to 40.6% during the same period last year. The 79 basis-point increase was
primarily due to expense deleverage as a result of the Company's 1.9% comp store
sales decline, increased new store openings and costs associated with the
Company's acquisition related activities during the quarter, partially offset by
lower incentive compensation. For fiscal 2012, the Company's SG&A rate was 39.3%
versus 39.0% during fiscal 2011. 

The Company's operating income during the fourth quarter of $113.2 million
increased 1.1% versus the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. On a rate basis,
operating income was 8.5% of total sales as compared to 8.4% during the fourth
quarter of fiscal 2011. For fiscal 2012, the Company's operating income rate was
10.6% versus 10.8% during fiscal 2011. 

Operating cash flow decreased 17.3% to $685.3 million from $828.8 million
through the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. Free cash flow was $412.3 million
versus $507.2 million through the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. Capital
expenditures were $271.2 million as compared to $268.1 million through the
fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. 

"2012 was a challenging year for our company primarily driven by the ongoing
softness in our colder weather markets and decreased consumer demand for auto
parts. While we are disappointed we did not achieve our growth and profitability
expectations for the year, we are encouraged by our improved sales performance
trends versus the market," said Mike Norona, Executive Vice President and Chief
Financial Officer. "Our decision to maintain our investment profile through the
course of the year is driven by our confidence in the long-term industry
fundamentals and provides us with a strong foundation to build upon as we head
into fiscal 2013."

                                                                                                                                                             
 Comparable Key Financial Metrics and Statistics (1)                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                             
                                              Twelve Weeks Ended                               Fifty-Two Weeks Ended                                         
                                              December 29,              December 31,                                                                         
                                              2012                      2011                   FY 2012               FY 2011               FY 2010           
                                                                                                                                                             
 Sales Growth %                               0.1           %           4.5           %        0.6          %        4.1          %        9.5          %    
                                                                                                                                                             
 Sales per Store (2)                          $      1,664              $      1,708           $     1,664           $     1,708           $     1,697       
                                                                                                                                                             
 Operating Income per Store (3)               $      176                $      184             $     176             $     184             $     168         
                                                                                                                                                             
 Return on Invested Capital (4)               19.4          %           19.5          %        19.4         %        19.5         %        17.5         %    
                                                                                                                                                             
 Gross Margin Return on Inventory (5)         9.3                       6.6                    9.3                   6.6                   5.1               
                                                                                                                                                             
 Total Store Square Footage, end of period    27,806                    26,663                 27,806                26,663                25,950            
                                                                                                                                                             
 Total Team Members, end of period            53,473                    52,002                 53,473                52,002                51,017            
                                                                                                                                                             


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 
 (1)    In thousands except for gross margin return on inventory and total Team Members. The financial metrics presented are calculated on an annual basis and accordingly reflect the last four quarters completed, except for Sales Growth % and where noted.  
 (2)    Sales per store is calculated as net sales divided by an average of beginning and ending store count.                                                                                                                                                    
 (3)    Operating income per store is calculated as operating income divided by an average of beginning and ending store count.                                                                                                                                  
 (4)    Return on invested capital (ROIC) is calculated in detail in the supplemental financial schedules.                                                                                                                                                       
 (5)    Gross margin return on inventory is calculated as gross profit divided by an average of beginning and ending inventory, net of accounts payable and financed vendor accounts payable.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 


Store Information

During the fourth quarter, the Company added 67 stores, including eight Autopart
International stores. For fiscal 2012, the Company added 137 stores, including
21 Autopart International stores. As of December 29, 2012, the Company's total
store count was 3,794 including 218 Autopart International stores. For the year,
the Company closed five stores. 

2013 Annual Financial Outlook

The Company has provided the following annual financial outlook and certain key
assumptions for fiscal 2013.

                                                                                                                                                                          
 Fiscal 2013 Annual Financial Outlook and Key Assumptions                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                          
 New Stores                170 - 190 (155 - 165 Advance Auto Parts stores, 10 - 15 Autopart International stores); excludes 124 BWP stores acquired on December 31, 2012  
 Comparable Store Sales    Low-single digits                                                                                                                              
 Operating EPS             $5.45 - $5.60; excludes BWP integration costs                                                                                                  
 Reported EPS              $5.30 - $5.45; includes BWP integration costs of $0.15 - $0.20                                                                                 
 Capital Expenditures      $275 million - $300 million                                                                                                                    
 Diluted Share Count       Approximately 74 million shares                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                                          


In fiscal 2013, the Company anticipates a low-single digit increase in
comparable store sales driven by continued strong Commercial sales growth. The
Company expects a modest increase in gross profit rate. The Company expects its
rate of growth in SG&A dollars per store to increase three to five percent. 

As a result of the acquisition of BWP Distributors, Inc. (BWP), the Company
estimates that BWP will add roughly $170 million to $180 million of revenue in
fiscal 2013. The Company anticipates BWP will generate positive operating income
when excluding the impact of one-time integration costs. Additionally, the
Company anticipates free cash flow will be a minimum of $375 million, excluding
the net acquisition price of BWP, which was approximately one times the
anticipated additional revenue from BWP in fiscal 2013. 

"Our 2013 annual operating EPS outlook will be in the range of $5.45 to $5.60
per share excluding one-time integration costs for BWP of approximately $0.15 to
$.20 per share. On a reported basis, including the BWP one-time integration
costs, our EPS outlook is expected to be $5.30 to $5.45," said Mike Norona,
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. "Consistent with our
historical practice, our outlook does not reflect any anticipated share
repurchase activity. However, we plan to continue our historical practice of
opportunistically repurchasing shares in a disciplined manner, which could
positively impact our 2013 annual EPS outlook." 

Share Repurchase Program

As of December 29, 2012, the Company had approximately $492 million available on
the Company's $500 million share repurchase program authorized by the Company's
Board of Directors on May 14, 2012. 

Dividend

On February 5, 2013, the Company's Board of Directors declared a regular
quarterly cash dividend of $0.06 per share to be paid on April 5, 2013 to
stockholders of record as of March 22, 2013. 

Investor Conference Call

The Company will host a conference call on Thursday, February 7, 2013 at 10:00
a.m. Eastern Time to discuss its quarterly results. To listen to the live call,
please log on to the Company's website, www.AdvanceAutoParts.com, or dial (866)
908-1AAP. The call will be archived on the Company's website until February 7,
2014. 

About Advance Auto Parts

Headquartered in Roanoke, Va., Advance Auto Parts, Inc., a leading automotive
aftermarket retailer of parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items in
the United States, serves both the do-it-yourself and professional installer
markets. As of December 29, 2012, the Company operated 3,794 stores in 39
states, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. Additional information about the
Company, employment opportunities, customer services, and online shopping for
parts, accessories and other offerings can be found on the Company's website at
www.AdvanceAutoParts.com. 

Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking statements, as
that statement is used in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements address future events or developments, and typically
use words such as believe, anticipate, expect, intend, plan, forecast, outlook
or estimate. These statements discuss, among other things, expected growth and
future performance, including store growth, capital expenditures, comparable
store sales, SG&A, operating income, gross profit rate, free cash flow,
profitability and earnings per diluted share for fiscal year 2013. These
forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions
including, but not limited to, competitive pressures, demand for the Company's
products, the market for auto parts, the economy in general, inflation, consumer
debt levels, the weather, business interruptions, information technology
security, availability of suitable real estate, dependence on foreign suppliers
and other factors disclosed in the Company's 10-K for the fiscal year ended
December 31, 2011 on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual
results may differ materially from anticipated results described in these
forward-looking statements. The Company intends these forward-looking statements
to speak only as of the time of this news release and does not undertake to
update or revise them as more information becomes available.

                                                                                        
 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. and Subsidiaries                                              
 Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets                                                  
 (in thousands)                                                                         
 (unaudited)                                                                            
                                                                                        
                                         December 29,               December 31,        
                                         2012                       2011                
                                                                                        
 Assets                                                                                 
                                                                                        
 Current assets:                                                                        
 Cash and cash equivalents               $      598,111             $        57,901     
 Receivables, net                        229,866                    140,007             
 Inventories, net                        2,308,609                  2,043,158           
 Other current assets                    47,614                     52,754              
 Total current assets                    3,184,200                  2,293,820           
                                                                                        
 Property and equipment, net             1,291,759                  1,223,099           
 Assets held for sale                    788                        615                 
 Goodwill                                76,389                     76,389              
 Intangible assets, net                  28,845                     31,380              
 Other assets, net                       31,833                     30,451              
                                         $      4,613,814           $        3,655,754  
                                                                                        
 Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity                                                   
                                                                                        
 Current liabilities:                                                                   
 Current portion of long-term debt       $      627                 $        848        
 Accounts payable                        2,029,814                  1,653,183           
 Accrued expenses                        379,639                    385,746             
 Other current liabilities               149,558                    148,098             
 Total current liabilities               2,559,638                  2,187,875           
                                                                                        
 Long-term debt                          604,461                    415,136             
 Other long-term liabilities             239,021                    204,829             
 Total stockholders' equity              1,210,694                  847,914             
                                         $      4,613,814           $        3,655,754  
                                                                                        


 NOTE: These preliminary condensed consolidated balance sheets have been prepared on a basis consistent with our previously prepared balance sheets filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for our prior quarter and annual report, but do not include the footnotes required by generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, for complete financial statements.  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   


                                                                                                                    
 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. and Subsidiaries                                                                          
 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations                                                                    
 Twelve Week Periods Ended                                                                                          
 December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011                                                                            
 (in thousands, except per share data)                                                                              
 (unaudited)                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                    
                                                                December 29,               December 31,             
                                                                2012                       2011                     
                                                                                                                    
 Net sales                                                      $      1,329,201           $      1,327,572         
 Cost of sales, including purchasing and warehousing costs      666,046                    676,834                  
 Gross profit                                                   663,155                    650,738                  
 Selling, general and administrative expenses                   549,959                    538,820                  
 Operating income                                               113,196                    111,918                  
 Other, net:                                                                                                        
 Interest expense                                               (7,992            )        (5,073            )      
 Other (expense) income, net                                    (159              )        314                      
 Total other, net                                               (8,151            )        (4,759            )      
 Income before provision for income taxes                       105,045                    107,159                  
 Provision for income taxes                                     39,990                     40,720                   
 Net income                                                     $      65,055              $      66,439            
                                                                                                                    
 Basic earnings per share (a)                                   $      0.89                $      0.92              
 Diluted earnings per share (a)                                 $      0.88                $      0.90              
                                                                                                                    
 Average common shares outstanding (a)                          73,221                     72,394                   
 Average common shares outstanding - assuming dilution (a)      74,002                     73,807                   
                                                                                                                    


 (a)    Average common shares outstanding is calculated based on the weighted average number of shares outstanding during the quarter. At December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we had 73,383 and 72,799 shares outstanding, respectively.  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               


 NOTE: These preliminary condensed consolidated statements of operations have been prepared on a basis consistent with our previously prepared statements of operations filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for our prior quarter and annual report, but do not include the footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         


                                                                                                                    
 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. and Subsidiaries                                                                          
 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations                                                                    
 Fifty-Two Week Periods Ended                                                                                       
 December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011                                                                            
 (in thousands, except per share data)                                                                              
 (unaudited)                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                    
                                                                December 29,               December 31,             
                                                                2012                       2011                     
                                                                                                                    
 Net sales                                                      $      6,205,003           $      6,170,462         
 Cost of sales, including purchasing and warehousing costs      3,106,967                  3,101,172                
 Gross profit                                                   3,098,036                  3,069,290                
 Selling, general and administrative expenses                   2,440,721                  2,404,648                
 Operating income                                               657,315                    664,642                  
 Other, net:                                                                                                        
 Interest expense                                               (33,841           )        (30,949           )      
 Other income (expense), net                                    600                        (457              )      
 Total other, net                                               (33,241           )        (31,406           )      
 Income before provision for income taxes                       624,074                    633,236                  
 Provision for income taxes                                     236,404                    238,554                  
 Net income                                                     $      387,670             $      394,682           
                                                                                                                    
 Basic earnings per share (a)                                   $      5.29                $      5.21              
 Diluted earnings per share (a)                                 $      5.22                $      5.11              
                                                                                                                    
 Average common shares outstanding (a)                          73,091                     75,620                   
 Average common shares outstanding - assuming dilution (a)      74,062                     77,071                   
                                                                                                                    


 (a)    Average common shares outstanding is calculated based on the weighted average number of shares outstanding during the year. At December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we had 73,383 and 72,799 shares outstanding, respectively.  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            


 NOTE: These preliminary condensed consolidated statements of operations have been prepared on a basis consistent with our previously prepared statements of operations filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for our prior quarter and annual report, but do not include the footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         


                                                                                                                                    
 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. and Subsidiaries                                                                                          
 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows                                                                                    
 Fifty-Two Week Periods Ended                                                                                                       
 December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011                                                                                            
 (in thousands)                                                                                                                     
 (unaudited)                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                    December 29,             December 31,           
                                                                                    2012                     2011                   
                                                                                                                                    
 Cash flows from operating activities:                                                                                              
 Net income                                                                         $      387,670           $      394,682         
 Depreciation and amortization                                                      189,544                  175,949                
 Share-based compensation                                                           15,236                   19,553                 
 Provision for deferred income taxes                                                26,893                   53,037                 
 Excess tax benefit from share-based compensation                                   (23,099         )        (9,663          )      
 Other non-cash adjustments to net income                                           4,281                    6,326                  
 (Increase) decrease in:                                                                                                            
 Receivables, net                                                                   (89,482         )        (15,372         )      
 Inventories, net                                                                   (260,298        )        (179,288        )      
 Other assets                                                                       8,213                    23,073                 
 Increase (decrease) in:                                                                                                            
 Accounts payable                                                                   376,631                  360,678                
 Accrued expenses                                                                   40,936                   (15,901         )      
 Other liabilities                                                                  8,756                    15,775                 
 Net cash provided by operating activities                                          685,281                  828,849                
                                                                                                                                    
 Cash flows from investing activities:                                                                                              
 Purchases of property and equipment                                                (271,182        )        (268,129        )      
 Business acquisitions, net of cash acquired                                        (8,369          )        (23,133         )      
 Proceeds from sales of property and equipment                                      6,573                    1,288                  
 Net cash used in investing activities                                              (272,978        )        (289,974        )      
 Cash flows from financing activities:                                                                                              
 (Decrease) increase in bank overdrafts                                             (7,459          )        6,625                  
 Decrease in financed vendor accounts payable                                       -                        (31,648         )      
 Net (payments) borrowings on credit facilities                                     (115,000        )        115,000                
 Issuance of senior unsecured notes                                                 299,904                  -                      
 Payment of debt related costs                                                      (2,942          )        (3,656          )      
 Dividends paid                                                                     (17,596         )        (18,554         )      
 Proceeds from the issuance of common stock, primarily exercise of stock options    8,495                    21,056                 
 Tax withholdings related to the exercise of stock appreciation rights              (26,677         )        (6,582          )      
 Excess tax benefit from share-based compensation                                   23,099                   9,663                  
 Repurchase of common stock                                                         (27,095         )        (631,149        )      
 Contingent consideration related to previous business acquisitions                 (10,911         )        -                      
 Other                                                                              4,089                    (938            )      
 Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities                                127,907                  (540,183        )      
                                                                                                                                    
 Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents                               540,210                  (1,308          )      
 Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period                                     57,901                   59,209                 
 Cash and cash equivalents, end of period                                           $      598,111           $      57,901          
                                                                                                                                    


 NOTE: These preliminary condensed consolidated statements of cash flows have been prepared on a consistent basis with previously prepared statements of cash flows filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for our prior quarter and annual report, but do not include the footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. 
       


                                                                                                 
 Advance Auto Parts, Inc. and Subsidiaries                                                       
 Supplemental Financial Schedules                                                                
 Fifty-Two Week Periods Ended                                                                    
 December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011                                                         
 (in thousands)                                                                                  
 (unaudited)                                                                                     
                                                                                                 
 Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow:                                                               
                                                                                                 
                                                 December 29,             December 31,           
                                                 2012                     2011                   
                                                                                                 
 Cash flows from operating activities            $      685,281           $      828,849         
 Cash flows used in investing activities         (272,978        )        (289,974        )      
                                                 412,303                  538,875                
                                                                                                 
 Decrease in financed vendor accounts payable    -                        (31,648         )      
                                                                                                 
 Free cash flow                                  $      412,303           $      507,227         
                                                                                                 


 Note: Management uses free cash flow as a measure of our liquidity and believes it is a useful indicator to stockholders of our ability to implement our growth strategies and service our debt. Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure and should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, information contained in our condensed consolidated statement of cash flows. 
       


                                                                                                                     
 Detail of Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Calculation:                                                            
                                                             Last Four Quarters Ended                                
                                                             December 29, 2012              December 31, 2011        
                                                                                                                     
 Net income                                                  $       387,671                $       394,682          
 Add:                                                                                                                
 After-tax interest expense and other, net                   20,649                         19,575                   
 After-tax rent expense                                      198,960                        194,755                  
 After-Tax Operating Earnings                                607,280                        609,012                  
                                                                                                                     
 Average assets (less cash)                                  3,806,779                      3,446,432                
 Less: Average liabilities (excluding total debt)            (2,594,945       )             (2,202,439       )       
 Add: Capitalized lease obligation (rent expense * 6) (a)    1,921,722                      1,874,814                
 Total Invested Capital                                      3,133,556                      3,118,807                
                                                                                                                     
 ROIC                                                        19.4             %             19.5             %       
                                                                                                                     
 Rent expense                                                $       320,287                $       312,469          
 Interest expense and other, net                             $       33,241                 $       31,406           
                                                                                                                     


 (a) Capitalized lease obligation is estimated as annualized rent expense for the applicable period times six years.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  
 Note: Management uses ROIC to evaluate return on investments to the business and believes it is a useful indicator to stockholders given the future investments the Company plans to make in areas including information technology, supply chain and stores. ROIC is a non-GAAP measure and should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, information contained in our condensed consolidated financial statements. Management believes our comparable results of operations are a useful indicator to      
 stockholders for consistency purposes.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  


Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Media Contact
Shelly Whitaker, APR, 540-561-8452
shelly.whitaker@advanceautoparts.com
or
Investor Contact
Joshua Moore, 952-715-5076
joshua.moore@advanceautoparts.com



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