TEXT - Fitch rates Alaska Muni Bond Bank GOs 'AA+'

Fri Feb 8, 2013 3:45pm EST

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Feb 8 - Fitch Ratings assigns an 'AA+' rating to $94.205 million of Alaska
Municipal Bond Bank general obligation (GO) bonds, 2013 series one, issued under
the bond bank's 2005 GO bond resolution. 

The bonds are expected to sell via negotiation the week of Feb. 25, 2013. 

In addition, Fitch affirms the following ratings: 

--Approximately $589.9 million in outstanding parity bond bank GO bonds at 
'AA+';

--Approximately $4.6 million in outstanding GO bond bank bonds issued under its 
2010 bond resolution at 'AA'; 

--Approximately $47.8 million in bonds outstanding under various revenue bond 
resolutions at 'AA'.

The Rating Outlook is Stable. 

SECURITY 

The bonds are general obligations of the bond bank, for which the state also 
maintains a standing appropriation of state general fund resources to replenish 
the bonds' reserve fund in the event of borrower default. This standing 
appropriation is the basis for the assigned rating on the 2005 resolution bonds.


KEY RATING DRIVERS 

STATE ANNUAL APPROPRIATION: The State of Alaska includes as part of its annual 
debt service appropriation in its operating budget an appropriation for reserve 
fund replenishment in the event of a draw related to default by a participating 
municipality (borrower), resulting in a rating one notch below the state's 'AAA'
GO rating. 

PROVEN STATE SUPPORT AND STRONG REPAYMENT HISTORY: The bond bank's programs have
a solid history of debt repayment, and the state of Alaska has a demonstrated 
history of support for and involvement with the bond bank. The bond bank has 
consistently worked with the state to strengthen bondholder protections while 
achieving its programmatic goals. The state's own resources are substantial. 

MULTIPLE LAYERS OF SECURITY: Multiple layers of security support bond bank 
issues in the event of a local government's failure to pay debt service on its 
obligations to the bond bank. Security enhancements include issuer reserve 
funds, bond bank reserve funds, the state's standing appropriation for reserve 
fund replenishment, the state's statutory moral obligation, and the bond bank's 
statutory authority to intercept aid to local governments. Coverage of maximum 
annual debt service by state aid is substantial. 

CREDIT PROFILE 

The 'AA+' rating is based on the state's commitment to GO bonds of the bond bank
issued under the 2005 GO resolution in the form of a standing appropriation of 
general funds for program reserve fund replenishment. GO bonds of the bond bank 
issued under the 2005 resolution also incorporate multiple layers of security on
both the borrower level and state level. Issuance requires either a borrower's 
GO or revenue pledge or other evidence of pledged revenues for allowable debt 
obligations, with a borrower reserve available for revenue bonds. 

Bond bank borrowers must demonstrate project essentiality and ability to repay 
to access financing. The current bonds will fund several, separate local 
government projects presently estimated as follows; a total $39.2 million loan 
to the city and borough of Sitka for improvement to its electric generation 
system and boat harbor; a $2.55 million loan to the city and borough of Juneau 
for various capital projects and a $22.78 million loan to refund a 2004 
revenue-secured loan from the bond bank; a $4.735 million loan to the Ketchikan 
Gateway Borough for various school district improvements; a $1.2 million loan to
the Kenai Peninsula Borough for construction of a new fire and emergency 
services facility; a $21.195 million loan to the Kodiak Island Borough for 
school improvements; and a $2.58 million loan to the city of Sand Point for 
harbor improvements. 

The bond bank maintains a pooled program reserve fund for the 2005 resolution 
bonds, funded at approximately $41.3 million as of Feb. 1, 2013, backed by a 
moral obligation of the state established by state statute requiring 
establishment of a reserve and that the bond bank seek a general fund 
appropriation in the event of a borrower's payment default. This pledge was 
strengthened with the bond bank's commitment to seek a standing appropriation 
for these bonds, and the state's subsequent appropriation, beginning in fiscal 
2010. 

The 'AA' rating on bonds issued under the 2010 GO resolution, two notches below 
the state's GO rating, incorporates the underlying annual appropriation pledge 
of the local borrowers, in contrast to a GO or revenue pledge under the 2005 GO 
resolution, as well as the state's moral obligation for reserve fund 
replenishment. However, the rating also reflects the absence of the bond bank's 
pledge to seek a standing appropriation for state general fund resources to be 
used in the event of a program reserve draw. Bonds issued under this resolution 
have benefited from a standing appropriation in the state's recent fiscal year 
budgets, including the governor's proposed fiscal 2014 budget. 

Similarly, the 'AA' rating on bonds issued under various revenue bond 
resolutions incorporates many of the same credit factors as those for bonds 
issued under the 2010 resolution. Issuers' revenue pledge for bond repayment is 
enhanced by the state's moral obligation pledge for reserve fund replenishment; 
however, the rating reflects the absence of the bond bank's pledge to seek a 
standing appropriation for state general fund resources to be used in the event 
of a program reserve draw. These bonds have also benefited from the inclusion of
a standing appropriation in the state's recent fiscal year budgets. Following 
the issuance of the 2013 series one bonds, only three stand-alone revenue bond 
issues will remain outstanding.

The bond bank was established in 1975 to provide access to low-cost capital 
financing for Alaska local governments. Not inclusive of the current sale, 
approximately $590 million in 2005 GO resolution bonds are currently 
outstanding; the new bonds are the 25th under the 2005 GO resolution. Total bond
bank obligations outstanding at any one time may not exceed $1 billion; 
inclusive of the current sale, the total amount outstanding will be 
approximately $789.3 million. 

As noted above, the moral obligation for the bonds was strengthened by inclusion
in the state's annual budget, beginning in fiscal 2010, of an appropriation to 
restore any deficiency in the 2005 program reserve fund. Further protections 
include a state intercept of local aid for borrowers and the ability to access a
bond bank custodian account. The custodian account, bolstered by recent state 
deposits and funded at approximately $21.4 million as of Feb. 1, 2013, is 
expected to be utilized for deposits to the pooled program reserve fund on this,
and upcoming, bond issues. 

Payments by the borrowers are due seven days prior to debt service payment; 
there have been no payment defaults under the program to date. Program reserve 
funding is required at the IRS maximum; currently cash funded by bond proceeds 
and bond bank resources although external enhancement may be used. State statute
requires the bond bank chair to certify annually the sum necessary to restore 
the program reserve to the required level. The appropriation for program reserve
replenishment is combined with the state's appropriation for its own GO and 
lease-backed debt. A supplemental resolution for the 2005 resolution bonds 
requires the bond bank to seek the appropriation annually. 

The state's 'AAA' GO rating reflects its very substantial reserve balances, 
conservative financial planning, and moderate debt levels. Risks include the 
volatility inherent in state revenues, which fluctuate significantly with oil 
prices and production; the state levies no personal income or general sales 
taxes. Longer-term challenges include the forecasted slow decline in existing 
oil production and the state's ability to offset it with new oil production or 
increased economic diversification. For further information on the state, please
see Fitch's press release dated Jan. 7, 2013, 'Fitch Rates Alaska GOs 'AAA' 
Upgrades Outstanding GO Debt to 'AAA',' available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
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