TEXT-Fitch affirms Unum Group's ratings, outlook stable

Mon Feb 11, 2013 2:42pm EST

Feb 11 - Fitch Ratings has affirmed Unum Group Inc.'s (NYSE: UNM)
holding company ratings, including the senior debt rating at 'BBB', as well as
the Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) ratings of all domestic operating
subsidiaries at 'A'. The Rating Outlook is Stable. See below for a complete
listing of all ratings.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

The rating rationale includes UNM's overall operating performance which has
remained strong despite a weak global economy; conservative investment
portfolio; solid capital and liquidity at both the insurance subsidiary and
holding company levels; the company's leadership position in the U.S. employee
benefits market; and increased diversification. Offsetting these positives are
Unum U.K.'s weak recent results and continued challenges UNM faces in managing
its run-off long-term care book of business, especially in the current low
interest rate environment.

The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's belief that while UNM's premium growth and
operating margins continue to be challenged by the weak economic environment and
competitive market conditions, the company's overall profitability will continue
to support the current rating. Operating margins in UNM's U.S. disability
business have held up better than Fitch's expectations, and they have been
better than those of peers.

While Unum U.K. results have shown deterioration, particularly within the group
life segment, the company has taken steps to improve results going forward
including implementing significant rate increases and claims management
improvements while reducing its focus on the large case market. Unum U.K. also
entered into a 50% coinsurance arrangement effective Jan. 1, 2013 designed to
reduce earnings volatility and capital requirements.

During 2012, UNM repurchased $500 million of its shares. Fitch's expectation is
that further share repurchases will be funded through operating earnings to
mitigate the impact on financial leverage and the capitalization of the
operating subsidiaries. Further, Fitch generally views measured stock repurchase
as a more prudent use of capital than acquisitions or premium growth in a soft
rate environment.

UNM's financial leverage was 25% at year-end 2012. Fitch considers the company's
debt service capacity as being strong for the rating level with GAAP earnings
based interest coverage at 10x in 2012. Holding company liquidity totaled $805
million at year-end 2012, up from approximately $756 million at year-end 2011.
UNM's risk-based capital of its U.S. insurance subsidiaries was estimated at
396% at year-end 2012, at the high end of management's near to intermediate term
target of 375%-400%.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

The key rating triggers that could lead to an upgrade include:

--Improved general economic conditions including a growth in employment,
salaries and disposable income which enable UNM to achieve its long-term target
of 5%-7% annual earnings growth on its core operations.
--GAAP earnings-based interest coverage over 12x and statutory maximum allowable
dividend coverage of interest expense over 5x.
--U.S. risk-based capital ratio above 400% and run-rate financial leverage below
20%.

Key rating triggers that could lead to a downgrade include:

--Deterioration in financial results that includes an increase in the U.S. group
disability benefit ratio over 87%; GAAP earnings-based interest coverage falling
below 8x and statutory maximum allowable dividend interest expense coverage
falling below 3x. --Any additional reserve strengthening charges in the near
term;
--Holding company cash falls below management's target of approximately 1x fixed
charges (interest expense plus common stock dividend), or roughly $290 million.
--U.S. risk-based capital ratio below 350% and financial leverage above 25%.

Fitch affirms the following ratings with a Stable Outlook:

Unum Group Inc.
--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+';
--7.125% senior notes due Sept. 30, 2016 at 'BBB';
--7% senior notes due July 15, 2018 at 'BBB';
--5.625% senior notes due Sept. 15, 2020 at 'BBB';
--7.25% senior notes due March 15, 2028 at 'BBB';
--6.75% senior notes due Dec. 15, 2028 at 'BBB';
--7.375% senior notes due June 15, 2032 at 'BBB';
--5.75% senior notes due Aug. 15, 2042 at 'BBB'.

Provident Financing Trust I
--7.405% junior subordinated capital securities at 'BB+'.

UnumProvident Finance Company plc,
--6.85% senior notes due Nov. 15, 2015 at 'BBB'.

Unum Group members:
Unum Life Insurance Company of America
Provident Life & Accident Insurance Company
Provident Life and Casualty Insurance Company
The Paul Revere Life Insurance Company
The Paul Revere Variable Annuity Insurance Company
First Unum Life Insurance Company
Colonial Life & Accident Insurance Company
--IFS at 'A'.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above
were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been
compensated for the provision of the ratings.


Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
--'Insurance Rating Methodology' (Jan. 11, 2013).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
Insurance Rating Methodology - Amended
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