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TEXT-Fitch downgrades 8 classes of Merrill Lynch 2004-BPC1
March 1 - Fitch Ratings has downgraded eight classes and affirmed nine classes Merrill Lynch Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates, series 2004-BPC1 due to an increase in Fitch's expected losses. A detailed list of rating actions follows at the end of this press release. KEY RATING DRIVERS Fitch modeled losses of 11.5% of the remaining pool; expected losses on the original pool balance total 8.3%, including losses already incurred. The pool has experienced $21.4 million (1.7% of the original pool balance) in realized losses to date. Fitch has designated 19 loans (32.7%) as Fitch Loans of Concern, which includes six specially serviced assets (10.1%). RATING SENSITIVITIES The ratings to the super senior classes are expected to remain stable. The A-J, B, and C classes may be subject to a downgrade if there is further deterioration to the pool's cash flow performance and/or decrease in value of the specially serviced loans. Additional downgrades to the distressed classes (those rated below B) are expected as losses are realized. As of the February 2013 distribution date, the pool's aggregate principal balance has been reduced by 42.8% to $710.6 million from $1.24 billion at issuance. Per the servicer reporting, five loans (5.3% of the pool) have defeased since issuance. Interest shortfalls are currently affecting classes G through Q. The largest contributor to expected losses is the specially-serviced REO Prium Office Portfolio (3.9% of the pool), which is secured by a portfolio of 10 office buildings totaling 287,921 square feet (sf) located in Washington state, mainly around the state capital. The tenants are primarily state agencies and other official state tenants. The loan was transferred to special servicing in July 2010 after the borrower placed junior financing on the properties without lender consent. Performance has deteriorated; the combined occupancy of the all the buildings is 10.6%. The special servicer has sold three of the properties and the remaining seven are REO. The next largest contributor to expected losses is the Simon - Washington Square Mall (3.8%), which is secured by by a 448,762 sf portion of a regional mall totaling 922,614 sf located in Indianapolis, IN. The loan transferred to special servicing in June 2010 and was modified. The modification closed in December 2010, and the loan was transferred back to the master servicer in March 2011. The loan was split into a $15 million A-Note and $12.5 million B-Note. The borrower made an equity contribution to fund additional reserves and paydown a portion of the outstanding balance. The maturity of the loan has been extended to July 1, 2016 and the IO period was extended to December 2011. As of December 2011 the NCF DSCR was 1.39x but would be 1.19x assuming the loan was amortizing during that period. Fitch expects losses at maturity of the loan as current performance of the property does not support the refinance of both the A and B notes. The third largest contributor to expected losses is a 92,522 sf (1.3%) office property located in independence, MO. The property became REO in May 2012 and is currently 11% occupied. The loan was transferred to the special servicer in February 2011 due to monetary default when the largest tenant, State Farm, vacated 74% of the net rentable area. The property is expected to be marketed for sale in the near term. Fitch downgrades the following classes and assigns or revises Rating Outlooks and Recovery Estimates (REs) as indicated: --$94.8 million class AJ to 'AAsf' from 'AAAsf'; Outlook to Negative from Stable; --$26.4 million class B to 'BBB-sf' from 'Asf'; Outlook to Negative from Stable; --$12.4 million class C to 'BBsf' from 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Negative; --$18.6 million class D to 'CCCsf' from 'Bsf'; RE 100%; --$9.3 million class E to 'CCsf' from 'CCCsf'; RE 0%; --$15.5 million class F to 'CCsf' from 'CCCsf'; RE 0%; --$10.9 million class G to 'Csf' from 'CCsf'; RE 0%; --$15.5 million class H to 'Csf' from 'CCsf'; RE 0%. Fitch affirms the following classes as indicated: --$77.6 million class A-1A at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$8.7 million class A-4 at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$397.2 million class A-5 at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; --$6.2 million class J at 'Csf'; RE 0%; --$4.7 million class K at 'Csf'; RE 0%; --$6.2 million class L at 'Csf'; RE 0%; --$4.7 million class M at 'Csf'; RE 0%; --$1.9 million class N at 'Dsf'; RE 0%; --$0 class P at 'Dsf'; RE 0%. The class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates have paid in full. Fitch does not rate the class Q certificates. Fitch previously withdrew the ratings on the interest-only class XC and XP certificates. (For additional information on the withdrawal of the rating on class X, see 'Fitch Revises Practice for Rating IO & Pre-Payment Related Structured Finance Securities', dated June 23, 2010.) Additional information on Fitch's criteria for analyzing U.S. CMBS transactions is available in the Dec. 18, 2012 report, 'U.S. Fixed-Rate Multiborrower CMBS Surveillance and Re-REMIC Criteria', which is available at 'www.fitchratings.com' under the following headers: Structured Finance >> CMBS >> Criteria Reports Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings. Applicable Criteria and Related Research: --'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' (June 6, 2012); --'U.S. Fixed-Rate Multiborrower CMBS Surveillance and Re-REMIC Criteria' (Dec. 18, 2012). Applicable Criteria and Related Research Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria U.S. Fixed-Rate Multiborrower CMBS Surveillance and Re-REMIC Criteria
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