FOREX-Euro tumbles after Cyprus bailout plan spooks markets

Mon Mar 18, 2013 5:19am EDT

Related Topics

* Investors jittery after proposal to tax Cypriot deposits
    * Euro falls broadly, hits 3-month low vs dollar
    * Focus on Cyprus parliament vote, peripheral bond yields

    By Nia Williams
    LONDON, March 18 (Reuters) - The euro slumped on Monday as
investors took news of a bailout plan for Cyprus that involves
taxing bank deposits as a dangerous precedent that could
ultimately lead to bank runs elsewhere in the euro zone.
    Euro zone finance ministers demanded at the weekend that
Cypriots pay up to 9.9 percent of their deposits in exchange for
a 10 billion euro ($13 billion) bailout. 
    The move broke with previous EU protocol that citizens'
savings are sacrosanct and led to worried Cypriots emptying cash
machines on the island as they rushed to access their funds.
    Cyprus's parliament will vote on the plan on Monday, with
growing speculation the tax on deposits below 100,000 euros
might be lowered to lessen the blow for smaller savers.
     Analysts said the vote should offer some clarity and help
limit further losses in the euro for now, but the single
currency would remain vulnerable.
    "If this tax is levied it will set a precedent. It raises
questions over whether other deposits will be safeguarded in
other countries," said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at
Rabobank. 
    "Euro zone politicians will be at pains today to manage down
the danger of contagion to other (peripheral) markets. The euro
will find a little bit of support from that but markets will
remain jittery."
    The single currency dropped to a three-month low of
$1.2882, before paring losses to last trade down 0.8 percent on
the day at $1.2965.
    Against the yen, the euro tumbled as mush as 2.1
percent, briefly breaking through support at 121.681, its 55-day
moving average. It was last down 1.1 percent at 123.07 yen
.
    The euro also fell 0.5 percent against the Swiss franc to
1.2213 francs and 0.9 percent against the British
pound to 85.64 pence.
    "It was a big shock to hear that they will tax savings, and
the worry is that this could impact larger countries like Spain
or Italy," said Kenichi Asada, manager of forex at Trust &
Custody Services Bank. 
    Market players will keep a close watch on peripheral euro
zone bond spreads for signs of contagion from Cyprus. 
 
    YEN CHOPPY
    The yen shot higher across the board as speculative sellers
were caught short of the currency, and had to unwind positions.
The highly liquid Japanese currency is considered a safe haven
by many investors and tends to rise in times of market stress.
    The dollar dropped to as low as 93.45 yen in volatile
early trade, its lowest since March 6 and moving away from a
3-1/2 year peak of 96.71 struck on March 12. It was last down
0.4 percent at 94.87 yen.
    Some strategists said the yen's strength would be
short-lived given bets on more aggressive easing steps from the
Bank of Japan, and expectations that euro zone politicians will
be able to reassure markets.
    "It's short-term negative for risk, the euro and dollar/yen
but we think it shouldn't last too long ... The broad trend for
yen weakness is still intact despite the near-term upside," said
Bill Diviney, currency strategist at Barclays in Tokyo.
    "Our view is that ultimately the backstops are in place to
prevent any more contagion. The ECB's policies and also banks
are in a much better position than they were last year."
    The U.S. dollar rose 0.4 percent against a basket of
currencies to 82.603.
    An improving U.S. economy has underpinned the dollar in
recent weeks. Data released on Friday showed U.S. manufacturing
was growing, although consumer sentiment in the world's biggest
economy faltered to its weakest in over a year and inflation
picked up.
FILED UNDER:
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.